Tesla’s Cybercab remains focused on internal robotaxi fleet expansion rather than retail sales, with over 300 units now operating unsupervised rides in Austin and scaling to additional cities using vision-based Full Self-Driving software. Production began at Gigafactory Texas in early 2026 with unboxed manufacturing and capacity exceeding 125,000 units annually, yet Tesla has not opened consumer ordering, published a base MSRP, or completed qualifying retail deliveries of the steering-wheel-free autonomous vehicle. Regulatory requirements for personal ownership of Level 4 systems without manual controls, combined with safety validation priorities and a short remaining timeline in 2026, reinforce trader consensus around the 81.5% “No” odds. Key near-term catalysts include any public pricing announcement or broader regulatory approvals.