Recent releases of Claude Opus 5 from Anthropic and GPT-5.6 variants from OpenAI have solidified their positions atop the arena.ai Text Arena Math leaderboard through demonstrated gains in complex reasoning benchmarks, yet the third-place slot remains fluid. Chinese labs including Alibaba, Moonshot (Kimi), and Z.ai have narrowed performance gaps via targeted math fine-tuning and efficient scaling, while Meta and Google advance through iterative Gemini and Llama updates. With probabilities clustered near 20% for leading contenders, trader sentiment highlights the impact of any October model drops or benchmark refinements before resolution, underscoring how incremental capability edges can rapidly reorder lab rankings in this specialized domain.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วThird-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?
Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?
Google 23%
Alibaba 22%
Z.ai 13%
OpenAI 13%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Oct 31, 2026
19%
Alibaba
22%
Z.ai
13%
OpenAI
13%
Baidu
11%
Moonshot
8%
Anthropic
7%
Meituan
6%
Mistral
6%
Microsoft
6%
Nvidia
6%
MiniMax
6%
Bytedance
6%
Meta
4%
Amazon
1%
SpaceXAI
1%
Xiaomi
1%
DeepSeek
1%
Tencent
1%
StepFun
1%
Google 23%
Alibaba 22%
Z.ai 13%
OpenAI 13%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Oct 31, 2026
$56 ปริมาณ
19%
Alibaba
$95 ปริมาณ
22%
Z.ai
$80 ปริมาณ
13%
OpenAI
$80 ปริมาณ
13%
Baidu
$90 ปริมาณ
11%
Moonshot
$90 ปริมาณ
8%
Anthropic
$80 ปริมาณ
7%
Meituan
$223 ปริมาณ
6%
Mistral
$184 ปริมาณ
6%
Microsoft
$103 ปริมาณ
6%
Nvidia
$127 ปริมาณ
6%
MiniMax
$186 ปริมาณ
6%
Bytedance
$141 ปริมาณ
6%
Meta
$80 ปริมาณ
4%
Amazon
$84 ปริมาณ
1%
SpaceXAI
$75 ปริมาณ
1%
Xiaomi
$80 ปริมาณ
1%
DeepSeek
$65 ปริมาณ
1%
Tencent
$65 ปริมาณ
1%
StepFun
$71 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Recent releases of Claude Opus 5 from Anthropic and GPT-5.6 variants from OpenAI have solidified their positions atop the arena.ai Text Arena Math leaderboard through demonstrated gains in complex reasoning benchmarks, yet the third-place slot remains fluid. Chinese labs including Alibaba, Moonshot (Kimi), and Z.ai have narrowed performance gaps via targeted math fine-tuning and efficient scaling, while Meta and Google advance through iterative Gemini and Llama updates. With probabilities clustered near 20% for leading contenders, trader sentiment highlights the impact of any October model drops or benchmark refinements before resolution, underscoring how incremental capability edges can rapidly reorder lab rankings in this specialized domain.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 12, 2026, 7:54 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,056วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 12, 2026, 7:54 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Recent releases of Claude Opus 5 from Anthropic and GPT-5.6 variants from OpenAI have solidified their positions atop the arena.ai Text Arena Math leaderboard through demonstrated gains in complex reasoning benchmarks, yet the third-place slot remains fluid. Chinese labs including Alibaba, Moonshot (Kimi), and Z.ai have narrowed performance gaps via targeted math fine-tuning and efficient scaling, while Meta and Google advance through iterative Gemini and Llama updates. With probabilities clustered near 20% for leading contenders, trader sentiment highlights the impact of any October model drops or benchmark refinements before resolution, underscoring how incremental capability edges can rapidly reorder lab rankings in this specialized domain.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,056วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 12, 2026, 7:54 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent releases of Claude Opus 5 from Anthropic and GPT-5.6 variants from OpenAI have solidified their positions atop the arena.ai Text Arena Math leaderboard through demonstrated gains in complex reasoning benchmarks, yet the third-place slot remains fluid. Chinese labs including Alibaba, Moonshot (Kimi), and Z.ai have narrowed performance gaps via targeted math fine-tuning and efficient scaling, while Meta and Google advance through iterative Gemini and Llama updates. With probabilities clustered near 20% for leading contenders, trader sentiment highlights the impact of any October model drops or benchmark refinements before resolution, underscoring how incremental capability edges can rapidly reorder lab rankings in this specialized domain.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย