Trader sentiment on Polymarket's SpaceX IPO raise market centers on the 50-60 billion dollar bucket at 38.8% implied probability, reflecting caution amid reports of an imminent prospectus filing next week targeting a 75 billion dollar raise at up to 1.75 trillion dollar valuation. This positioning follows a December 2025 tender offer at 800 billion dollar valuation—shares at 421 dollars—and Brookfield's recent 2 billion dollar pre-IPO investment signaling strong institutional interest, yet traders factor in execution risks from regulatory scrutiny like the NYC Comptroller's letter on Texas reincorporation and dual-class shares preserving Elon Musk's control. Starlink's revenue acceleration to 15-16 billion dollars in 2025 and Starship progress underpin optimism, with key catalysts including the prospectus release and June 8 roadshow.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$138,944 ปริมาณ
$138,944 ปริมาณ
<40B
12%
40-50B
8%
50-60B
38%
60-70B
10%
70-80B
24%
80-90B
19%
90-100B
6%
100-110B
4%
110-120B
4%
120B+
7%
$138,944 ปริมาณ
$138,944 ปริมาณ
<40B
$10,245 ปริมาณ
12%
40-50B
$5,642 ปริมาณ
8%
50-60B
$33,182 ปริมาณ
38%
60-70B
$14,185 ปริมาณ
10%
70-80B
$24,628 ปริมาณ
24%
80-90B
$15,593 ปริมาณ
19%
90-100B
$10,727 ปริมาณ
6%
100-110B
$7,565 ปริมาณ
4%
110-120B
$9,411 ปริมาณ
4%
120B+
$7,767 ปริมาณ
7%
This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by SpaceX in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader sentiment on Polymarket's SpaceX IPO raise market centers on the 50-60 billion dollar bucket at 38.8% implied probability, reflecting caution amid reports of an imminent prospectus filing next week targeting a 75 billion dollar raise at up to 1.75 trillion dollar valuation. This positioning follows a December 2025 tender offer at 800 billion dollar valuation—shares at 421 dollars—and Brookfield's recent 2 billion dollar pre-IPO investment signaling strong institutional interest, yet traders factor in execution risks from regulatory scrutiny like the NYC Comptroller's letter on Texas reincorporation and dual-class shares preserving Elon Musk's control. Starlink's revenue acceleration to 15-16 billion dollars in 2025 and Starship progress underpin optimism, with key catalysts including the prospectus release and June 8 roadshow.
This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by SpaceX in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Mar 25, 2026, 6:14 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$138,944ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 25, 2026, 6:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by SpaceX in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader sentiment on Polymarket's SpaceX IPO raise market centers on the 50-60 billion dollar bucket at 38.8% implied probability, reflecting caution amid reports of an imminent prospectus filing next week targeting a 75 billion dollar raise at up to 1.75 trillion dollar valuation. This positioning follows a December 2025 tender offer at 800 billion dollar valuation—shares at 421 dollars—and Brookfield's recent 2 billion dollar pre-IPO investment signaling strong institutional interest, yet traders factor in execution risks from regulatory scrutiny like the NYC Comptroller's letter on Texas reincorporation and dual-class shares preserving Elon Musk's control. Starlink's revenue acceleration to 15-16 billion dollars in 2025 and Starship progress underpin optimism, with key catalysts including the prospectus release and June 8 roadshow.
This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by SpaceX in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$138,944ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 25, 2026, 6:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment on Polymarket's SpaceX IPO raise market centers on the 50-60 billion dollar bucket at 38.8% implied probability, reflecting caution amid reports of an imminent prospectus filing next week targeting a 75 billion dollar raise at up to 1.75 trillion dollar valuation. This positioning follows a December 2025 tender offer at 800 billion dollar valuation—shares at 421 dollars—and Brookfield's recent 2 billion dollar pre-IPO investment signaling strong institutional interest, yet traders factor in execution risks from regulatory scrutiny like the NYC Comptroller's letter on Texas reincorporation and dual-class shares preserving Elon Musk's control. Starlink's revenue acceleration to 15-16 billion dollars in 2025 and Starship progress underpin optimism, with key catalysts including the prospectus release and June 8 roadshow.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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