Alberto Núñez Feijóo leads the market at 80.5% because consistent polling since the 2023 election shows his People's Party (PP) ahead nationally, with recent regional results in Andalusia and elsewhere confirming a rightward shift that positions PP and Vox to secure a congressional majority ahead of the 2027 vote. Pedro Sánchez’s PSOE government has faced repeated regional defeats, corruption investigations involving associates and family, and coalition strains, lowering his odds to 13.6% despite his stated intent to seek re-election. Vox leader Santiago Abascal and other figures trail due to vote-splitting dynamics and limited independent paths to forming a government. Traders price in these structural advantages for Feijóo while discounting early-election risks or major reversals before the next contest.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNext Prime Minister of Spain?
Next Prime Minister of Spain?
Alberto Núñez Feijóo 81%
Pedro Sánchez 13.6%
Santiago Abascal 5.7%
Isabel Díaz Ayuso <1%
$102,227 ปริมาณ
$102,227 ปริมาณ
Alberto Núñez Feijóo
81%
Pedro Sánchez
14%
Santiago Abascal
6%
Isabel Díaz Ayuso
1%
Carlos Cuerpo
<1%
Aitor Esteban
<1%
Miguel Tellado
<1%
Ester Muñoz
<1%
María Jesús Montero
<1%
Cuca Gamarra
<1%
Carles Puigdemont
<1%
Óscar Puente
<1%
Yolanda Díaz
<1%
Ernest Urtasun
<1%
Pepa Millán
<1%
Borja Sémper
<1%
Alberto Núñez Feijóo 81%
Pedro Sánchez 13.6%
Santiago Abascal 5.7%
Isabel Díaz Ayuso <1%
$102,227 ปริมาณ
$102,227 ปริมาณ
Alberto Núñez Feijóo
81%
Pedro Sánchez
14%
Santiago Abascal
6%
Isabel Díaz Ayuso
1%
Carlos Cuerpo
<1%
Aitor Esteban
<1%
Miguel Tellado
<1%
Ester Muñoz
<1%
María Jesús Montero
<1%
Cuca Gamarra
<1%
Carles Puigdemont
<1%
Óscar Puente
<1%
Yolanda Díaz
<1%
Ernest Urtasun
<1%
Pepa Millán
<1%
Borja Sémper
<1%
To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 26, 2026, 1:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Alberto Núñez Feijóo leads the market at 80.5% because consistent polling since the 2023 election shows his People's Party (PP) ahead nationally, with recent regional results in Andalusia and elsewhere confirming a rightward shift that positions PP and Vox to secure a congressional majority ahead of the 2027 vote. Pedro Sánchez’s PSOE government has faced repeated regional defeats, corruption investigations involving associates and family, and coalition strains, lowering his odds to 13.6% despite his stated intent to seek re-election. Vox leader Santiago Abascal and other figures trail due to vote-splitting dynamics and limited independent paths to forming a government. Traders price in these structural advantages for Feijóo while discounting early-election risks or major reversals before the next contest.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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