The Kuomintang holds a dominant position ahead of the November 28, 2026 local elections, drawing on its 2022 incumbency across 14 municipalities and a March cooperation pact with the Taiwan People’s Party that selects joint candidates through coordinated opinion polls in battlegrounds such as New Taipei City and Yilan County. Recent developments include the April sentencing of TPP founder Ko Wen-je on corruption charges, which has sharply curtailed the smaller party’s prospects, alongside KMT Chair Cheng Li-wun’s April meeting with Chinese President Xi Jinping that reinforced core support without major domestic erosion. The ruling Democratic Progressive Party faces midterm fatigue and legislative gridlock under President Lai Ching-te, limiting its ability to expand beyond current holdings. The Taiwan People’s Party remains a marginal factor as the junior partner amid leadership disruption.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner
Kuomintang (KMT) 84%
Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) 17%
Taiwan People’s Party (TPP) <1%
$110,812 ปริมาณ
$110,812 ปริมาณ

Kuomintang (KMT)
84%

Democratic Progressive Party (DPP)
17%

Taiwan People’s Party (TPP)
<1%
Kuomintang (KMT) 84%
Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) 17%
Taiwan People’s Party (TPP) <1%
$110,812 ปริมาณ
$110,812 ปริมาณ

Kuomintang (KMT)
84%

Democratic Progressive Party (DPP)
17%

Taiwan People’s Party (TPP)
<1%
This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the most head of local government (mayor or magistrate) elections for Taiwan’s major special municipalities, counties, and cities during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Taiwan’s local governments include the following cities, special municipalities, and counties:
Cities/special municipalities (mayoral elections): Taipei City, New Taipei City, Taoyuan City, Taichung City, Tainan City, Kaohsiung City, Keelung City, Hsinchu City, Chiayi City
Counties (magistrate elections): Yilan County, Hsinchu County, Miaoli County, Changhua County, Nantou County, Yunlin County, Chiayi County, Pingtung County, Taitung County, Hualien County, Penghu County, Lienchiang County, Kinmen County
Only elections for the listed cities, special municipalities or counties will be counted for this market. A party will have won as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for any other party to equal or surpass its number of wins in these elections.
In the case of a tie between two or more parties for the greatest number of relevant head of local government elections won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose English name comes first in alphabetical order, as listed in this market group.
Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until a party has won or until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 Taiwanese local elections aren’t known by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 Taiwanese local elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 4, 2025, 3:31 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the most head of local government (mayor or magistrate) elections for Taiwan’s major special municipalities, counties, and cities during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Taiwan’s local governments include the following cities, special municipalities, and counties:
Cities/special municipalities (mayoral elections): Taipei City, New Taipei City, Taoyuan City, Taichung City, Tainan City, Kaohsiung City, Keelung City, Hsinchu City, Chiayi City
Counties (magistrate elections): Yilan County, Hsinchu County, Miaoli County, Changhua County, Nantou County, Yunlin County, Chiayi County, Pingtung County, Taitung County, Hualien County, Penghu County, Lienchiang County, Kinmen County
Only elections for the listed cities, special municipalities or counties will be counted for this market. A party will have won as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for any other party to equal or surpass its number of wins in these elections.
In the case of a tie between two or more parties for the greatest number of relevant head of local government elections won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose English name comes first in alphabetical order, as listed in this market group.
Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until a party has won or until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 Taiwanese local elections aren’t known by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 Taiwanese local elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Kuomintang holds a dominant position ahead of the November 28, 2026 local elections, drawing on its 2022 incumbency across 14 municipalities and a March cooperation pact with the Taiwan People’s Party that selects joint candidates through coordinated opinion polls in battlegrounds such as New Taipei City and Yilan County. Recent developments include the April sentencing of TPP founder Ko Wen-je on corruption charges, which has sharply curtailed the smaller party’s prospects, alongside KMT Chair Cheng Li-wun’s April meeting with Chinese President Xi Jinping that reinforced core support without major domestic erosion. The ruling Democratic Progressive Party faces midterm fatigue and legislative gridlock under President Lai Ching-te, limiting its ability to expand beyond current holdings. The Taiwan People’s Party remains a marginal factor as the junior partner amid leadership disruption.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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