United Russia maintains overwhelming dominance in pre-election polling and institutional positioning ahead of the September 18-20, 2026, State Duma vote, supported by its control of single-member districts, administrative resources, and consistent leads of 40% or higher in state-affiliated surveys. New People has registered gains in select VCIOM readings, occasionally reaching double digits and challenging for second place among systemic parties, yet lacks comparable regional structures or single-mandate strength to threaten the leader's seat total. LDPR, KPRF, and smaller registered parties trail further behind amid standard five-percent thresholds and limited campaign access. Multi-day voting, new districts in occupied territories, and candidate-list announcements headed by figures such as Dmitry Medvedev have reinforced expectations of continuity. Trader consensus prices these structural and polling patterns directly into the probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วพรรคใดจะได้ที่นั่งมากที่สุดในการเลือกตั้งรัฐสภารัสเซีย?
พรรคใดจะได้ที่นั่งมากที่สุดในการเลือกตั้งรัฐสภารัสเซีย?
รัสเซียรวม (ER) 74%
พรรคผู้คนใหม่ (NL) 18.4%
พรรคเสรีประชาธิปไตยแห่งรัสเซีย (LDPR) 5.6%
พรรคคอมมิวนิสต์แห่งสหพันธรัฐรัสเซีย (KPRF) 1.4%
$20,681,907 ปริมาณ
$20,681,907 ปริมาณ
Sep 29, 2026
รัสเซียรวม (ER)
74%
พรรคผู้คนใหม่ (NL)
18%
พรรคเสรีประชาธิปไตยแห่งรัสเซีย (LDPR)
6%
พรรคคอมมิวนิสต์แห่งสหพันธรัฐรัสเซีย (KPRF)
1%
Rodina
<1%
พรรคยุติธรรมรัสเซีย – เพื่อความจริง (SRZP)
<1%
Yabloko
<1%
พรรคแพลตฟอร์มพลเมือง (GP)
<1%
รัสเซียรวม (ER) 74%
พรรคผู้คนใหม่ (NL) 18.4%
พรรคเสรีประชาธิปไตยแห่งรัสเซีย (LDPR) 5.6%
พรรคคอมมิวนิสต์แห่งสหพันธรัฐรัสเซีย (KPRF) 1.4%
$20,681,907 ปริมาณ
$20,681,907 ปริมาณ
Sep 29, 2026
รัสเซียรวม (ER)
$7,383,179 ปริมาณ
74%
พรรคผู้คนใหม่ (NL)
$2,153,228 ปริมาณ
18%
พรรคเสรีประชาธิปไตยแห่งรัสเซีย (LDPR)
$3,238,519 ปริมาณ
6%
พรรคคอมมิวนิสต์แห่งสหพันธรัฐรัสเซีย (KPRF)
$1,356,840 ปริมาณ
1%
Rodina
$2,492,357 ปริมาณ
<1%
พรรคยุติธรรมรัสเซีย – เพื่อความจริง (SRZP)
$1,556,894 ปริมาณ
<1%
Yabloko
$1,225,827 ปริมาณ
<1%
พรรคแพลตฟอร์มพลเมือง (GP)
$1,275,063 ปริมาณ
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: Per market rules, the market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the listed party “compared to [the number of seats they held] before the election,” specifically meaning the party’s seat count in the outgoing State Duma as of 12:00 PM Moscow time on the calendar day immediately preceding the official scheduled date of the 2026 Russian parliamentary election, as determined by a consensus of credible reporting; if there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on Russian government sources such as the State Duma or its official media outlets (e.g., https://dumatv.ru/fractions).United Russia maintains overwhelming dominance in pre-election polling and institutional positioning ahead of the September 18-20, 2026, State Duma vote, supported by its control of single-member districts, administrative resources, and consistent leads of 40% or higher in state-affiliated surveys. New People has registered gains in select VCIOM readings, occasionally reaching double digits and challenging for second place among systemic parties, yet lacks comparable regional structures or single-mandate strength to threaten the leader's seat total. LDPR, KPRF, and smaller registered parties trail further behind amid standard five-percent thresholds and limited campaign access. Multi-day voting, new districts in occupied territories, and candidate-list announcements headed by figures such as Dmitry Medvedev have reinforced expectations of continuity. Trader consensus prices these structural and polling patterns directly into the probabilities.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$20,681,907วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: Per market rules, the market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the listed party “compared to [the number of seats they held] before the election,” specifically meaning the party’s seat count in the outgoing State Duma as of 12:00 PM Moscow time on the calendar day immediately preceding the official scheduled date of the 2026 Russian parliamentary election, as determined by a consensus of credible reporting; if there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on Russian government sources such as the State Duma or its official media outlets (e.g., https://dumatv.ru/fractions).United Russia maintains overwhelming dominance in pre-election polling and institutional positioning ahead of the September 18-20, 2026, State Duma vote, supported by its control of single-member districts, administrative resources, and consistent leads of 40% or higher in state-affiliated surveys. New People has registered gains in select VCIOM readings, occasionally reaching double digits and challenging for second place among systemic parties, yet lacks comparable regional structures or single-mandate strength to threaten the leader's seat total. LDPR, KPRF, and smaller registered parties trail further behind amid standard five-percent thresholds and limited campaign access. Multi-day voting, new districts in occupied territories, and candidate-list announcements headed by figures such as Dmitry Medvedev have reinforced expectations of continuity. Trader consensus prices these structural and polling patterns directly into the probabilities.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$20,681,907วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...United Russia maintains overwhelming dominance in pre-election polling and institutional positioning ahead of the September 18-20, 2026, State Duma vote, supported by its control of single-member districts, administrative resources, and consistent leads of 40% or higher in state-affiliated surveys. New People has registered gains in select VCIOM readings, occasionally reaching double digits and challenging for second place among systemic parties, yet lacks comparable regional structures or single-mandate strength to threaten the leader's seat total. LDPR, KPRF, and smaller registered parties trail further behind amid standard five-percent thresholds and limited campaign access. Multi-day voting, new districts in occupied territories, and candidate-list announcements headed by figures such as Dmitry Medvedev have reinforced expectations of continuity. Trader consensus prices these structural and polling patterns directly into the probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วที่เกี่ยวข้อง
พรรครัสเซียรวมชาติ (ER) จะชนะที่นั่งมากที่สุดในการเลือกตั้งรัฐสภารัสเซียครั้งหน้าหรือไม่?
98%
ใช่
Will New People (NL) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
38%
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
82%
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