United Russia maintains a commanding lead in trader consensus for securing the most seats in the September 2026 State Duma election, reflecting its status as the incumbent ruling party with extensive regional structures and institutional support. Recent polling from VCIOM and FOM shows the party holding 35-52 percent support, far ahead of rivals, while United Russia's ongoing candidate primaries in late May aim to boost turnout and candidate selection ahead of the official campaign launch. New People has posted modest gains in some telephone surveys by addressing voter concerns such as internet restrictions, yet it trails significantly in face-to-face polling and lacks comparable organizational reach. Other parties including LDPR, KPRF, and A Just Russia remain distant in both surveys and implied probabilities, consistent with their historical performance under Russia's mixed electoral system.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วพรรคใดจะได้ที่นั่งมากที่สุดในการเลือกตั้งรัฐสภารัสเซีย?
พรรคใดจะได้ที่นั่งมากที่สุดในการเลือกตั้งรัฐสภารัสเซีย?
รัสเซียรวม (ER) 62%
พรรคผู้คนใหม่ (NL) 29.1%
พรรคเสรีประชาธิปไตยแห่งรัสเซีย (LDPR) 5.5%
พรรคคอมมิวนิสต์แห่งสหพันธรัฐรัสเซีย (KPRF) 3.9%
$8,175,157 ปริมาณ
$8,175,157 ปริมาณ
Sep 30, 2026
รัสเซียรวม (ER)
62%
พรรคผู้คนใหม่ (NL)
29%
พรรคเสรีประชาธิปไตยแห่งรัสเซีย (LDPR)
5%
พรรคคอมมิวนิสต์แห่งสหพันธรัฐรัสเซีย (KPRF)
4%
พรรคยุติธรรมรัสเซีย – เพื่อความจริง (SRZP)
1%
Rodina
<1%
พรรคแพลตฟอร์มพลเมือง (GP)
<1%
รัสเซียรวม (ER) 62%
พรรคผู้คนใหม่ (NL) 29.1%
พรรคเสรีประชาธิปไตยแห่งรัสเซีย (LDPR) 5.5%
พรรคคอมมิวนิสต์แห่งสหพันธรัฐรัสเซีย (KPRF) 3.9%
$8,175,157 ปริมาณ
$8,175,157 ปริมาณ
Sep 30, 2026
รัสเซียรวม (ER)
$2,129,434 ปริมาณ
62%
พรรคผู้คนใหม่ (NL)
$1,039,777 ปริมาณ
29%
พรรคเสรีประชาธิปไตยแห่งรัสเซีย (LDPR)
$2,272,834 ปริมาณ
5%
พรรคคอมมิวนิสต์แห่งสหพันธรัฐรัสเซีย (KPRF)
$654,488 ปริมาณ
4%
พรรคยุติธรรมรัสเซีย – เพื่อความจริง (SRZP)
$571,026 ปริมาณ
1%
Rodina
$928,262 ปริมาณ
<1%
พรรคแพลตฟอร์มพลเมือง (GP)
$579,580 ปริมาณ
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia maintains a commanding lead in trader consensus for securing the most seats in the September 2026 State Duma election, reflecting its status as the incumbent ruling party with extensive regional structures and institutional support. Recent polling from VCIOM and FOM shows the party holding 35-52 percent support, far ahead of rivals, while United Russia's ongoing candidate primaries in late May aim to boost turnout and candidate selection ahead of the official campaign launch. New People has posted modest gains in some telephone surveys by addressing voter concerns such as internet restrictions, yet it trails significantly in face-to-face polling and lacks comparable organizational reach. Other parties including LDPR, KPRF, and A Just Russia remain distant in both surveys and implied probabilities, consistent with their historical performance under Russia's mixed electoral system.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$8,175,157วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia maintains a commanding lead in trader consensus for securing the most seats in the September 2026 State Duma election, reflecting its status as the incumbent ruling party with extensive regional structures and institutional support. Recent polling from VCIOM and FOM shows the party holding 35-52 percent support, far ahead of rivals, while United Russia's ongoing candidate primaries in late May aim to boost turnout and candidate selection ahead of the official campaign launch. New People has posted modest gains in some telephone surveys by addressing voter concerns such as internet restrictions, yet it trails significantly in face-to-face polling and lacks comparable organizational reach. Other parties including LDPR, KPRF, and A Just Russia remain distant in both surveys and implied probabilities, consistent with their historical performance under Russia's mixed electoral system.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$8,175,157วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...United Russia maintains a commanding lead in trader consensus for securing the most seats in the September 2026 State Duma election, reflecting its status as the incumbent ruling party with extensive regional structures and institutional support. Recent polling from VCIOM and FOM shows the party holding 35-52 percent support, far ahead of rivals, while United Russia's ongoing candidate primaries in late May aim to boost turnout and candidate selection ahead of the official campaign launch. New People has posted modest gains in some telephone surveys by addressing voter concerns such as internet restrictions, yet it trails significantly in face-to-face polling and lacks comparable organizational reach. Other parties including LDPR, KPRF, and A Just Russia remain distant in both surveys and implied probabilities, consistent with their historical performance under Russia's mixed electoral system.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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