Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Democrat Mary Peltola at 61% implied probability to win Alaska's 2026 U.S. Senate race over incumbent Republican Dan Sullivan at 37%, reflecting recent polling averages showing her narrow lead of 47-50% to his 44-46%, including an April Alaska Survey Research poll with Peltola at 50%. Her first-quarter fundraising haul of $8.9 million—quadrupling Sullivan's—combined with a May 9 announcement of 4,500 volunteers, signals building campaign momentum and organizational strength under Alaska's top-four primary and ranked-choice voting system. Sullivan benefits from incumbency and Trump endorsement but faces 51% unfavorable ratings; the race remains competitive ahead of the August top-four primary and November 3 general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วAlaska Senate Election Winner
Alaska Senate Election Winner
Mary Peltola 61%
Dan Sullivan 37%
Dustin Darden <1%
Ann Diener <1%
$319,239 ปริมาณ
$319,239 ปริมาณ
Mary Peltola
61%
Dan Sullivan
37%
Dustin Darden
<1%
Ann Diener
<1%
Richard Grayson
<1%
Mary Peltola 61%
Dan Sullivan 37%
Dustin Darden <1%
Ann Diener <1%
$319,239 ปริมาณ
$319,239 ปริมาณ
Mary Peltola
61%
Dan Sullivan
37%
Dustin Darden
<1%
Ann Diener
<1%
Richard Grayson
<1%
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Democrat Mary Peltola at 61% implied probability to win Alaska's 2026 U.S. Senate race over incumbent Republican Dan Sullivan at 37%, reflecting recent polling averages showing her narrow lead of 47-50% to his 44-46%, including an April Alaska Survey Research poll with Peltola at 50%. Her first-quarter fundraising haul of $8.9 million—quadrupling Sullivan's—combined with a May 9 announcement of 4,500 volunteers, signals building campaign momentum and organizational strength under Alaska's top-four primary and ranked-choice voting system. Sullivan benefits from incumbency and Trump endorsement but faces 51% unfavorable ratings; the race remains competitive ahead of the August top-four primary and November 3 general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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