Lai Jui-lung of the Democratic Progressive Party holds an 87.5% implied probability in the Kaohsiung mayoral election, scheduled for November 28, 2026, reflecting trader consensus on his strong positioning as the successor to incumbent Mayor Chen Chi-mai. Recent campaign activity centers on economic development, with both Lai and Kuomintang rival Ko Chih-en (13%) outlining plans for AI computing centers, semiconductor facilities, and support for traditional industries amid the city's power and land advantages. Debates and rallies have highlighted continuity versus calls for greater oversight, while Lai has emphasized infrastructure upgrades and social welfare measures. Minor candidates, including independents and smaller-party contenders, register near-zero odds due to limited visibility in polling and ballot positioning. The race features five main contenders overall, with voter focus on industrial upgrading and regional ties in the final weeks.