The split in conservative support between Abelardo de la Espriella and Paloma Valencia underpins trader consensus that Iván Cepeda will advance alongside de la Espriella from Colombia’s May 31 first round. Recent polls show Cepeda consolidating left-leaning voters at 35–44 percent while the right-wing vote fragments, with de la Espriella holding a narrow lead over Valencia in most surveys. Ongoing public exchanges between the two conservatives, including de la Espriella’s recent debate challenge and controversial remarks, have kept attention on their head-to-head contest without shifting the overall ordering. Valencia’s center-right Democratic Center base and de la Espriella’s outsider appeal continue to divide potential runoff challengers, leaving little room for an outright first-round winner or any other pairing in the implied probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วColombia Election: Who will advance to 2nd round?
Colombia Election: Who will advance to 2nd round?
Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro 68%
Paloma Valencia & Iván Cepeda Castro 18%
1st Round Outright Winner 13%
Other 5%
ใหม่
ใหม่
May 31, 2026
Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro
68%
Paloma Valencia & Iván Cepeda Castro
18%
1st Round Outright Winner
13%
Other
5%
Abelardo de la Espriella & Paloma Valencia
2%
Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro 68%
Paloma Valencia & Iván Cepeda Castro 18%
1st Round Outright Winner 13%
Other 5%
ใหม่
ใหม่
May 31, 2026
Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro
$154 ปริมาณ
68%
Paloma Valencia & Iván Cepeda Castro
$463 ปริมาณ
18%
1st Round Outright Winner
$166 ปริมาณ
13%
Other
$39 ปริมาณ
5%
Abelardo de la Espriella & Paloma Valencia
$341 ปริมาณ
2%
Colombia's presidential election first round is scheduled for May 31, 2026, with two candidates advancing to a second round on June 21, 2026 if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.
If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).The split in conservative support between Abelardo de la Espriella and Paloma Valencia underpins trader consensus that Iván Cepeda will advance alongside de la Espriella from Colombia’s May 31 first round. Recent polls show Cepeda consolidating left-leaning voters at 35–44 percent while the right-wing vote fragments, with de la Espriella holding a narrow lead over Valencia in most surveys. Ongoing public exchanges between the two conservatives, including de la Espriella’s recent debate challenge and controversial remarks, have kept attention on their head-to-head contest without shifting the overall ordering. Valencia’s center-right Democratic Center base and de la Espriella’s outsider appeal continue to divide potential runoff challengers, leaving little room for an outright first-round winner or any other pairing in the implied probabilities.
Colombia's presidential election first round is scheduled for May 31, 2026, with two candidates advancing to a second round on June 21, 2026 if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.
If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.
If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 13, 2026, 2:51 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,162วันสิ้นสุด
May 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 13, 2026, 2:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Colombia's presidential election first round is scheduled for May 31, 2026, with two candidates advancing to a second round on June 21, 2026 if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.
If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).The split in conservative support between Abelardo de la Espriella and Paloma Valencia underpins trader consensus that Iván Cepeda will advance alongside de la Espriella from Colombia’s May 31 first round. Recent polls show Cepeda consolidating left-leaning voters at 35–44 percent while the right-wing vote fragments, with de la Espriella holding a narrow lead over Valencia in most surveys. Ongoing public exchanges between the two conservatives, including de la Espriella’s recent debate challenge and controversial remarks, have kept attention on their head-to-head contest without shifting the overall ordering. Valencia’s center-right Democratic Center base and de la Espriella’s outsider appeal continue to divide potential runoff challengers, leaving little room for an outright first-round winner or any other pairing in the implied probabilities.
Colombia's presidential election first round is scheduled for May 31, 2026, with two candidates advancing to a second round on June 21, 2026 if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.
If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.
If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,162วันสิ้นสุด
May 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 13, 2026, 2:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The split in conservative support between Abelardo de la Espriella and Paloma Valencia underpins trader consensus that Iván Cepeda will advance alongside de la Espriella from Colombia’s May 31 first round. Recent polls show Cepeda consolidating left-leaning voters at 35–44 percent while the right-wing vote fragments, with de la Espriella holding a narrow lead over Valencia in most surveys. Ongoing public exchanges between the two conservatives, including de la Espriella’s recent debate challenge and controversial remarks, have kept attention on their head-to-head contest without shifting the overall ordering. Valencia’s center-right Democratic Center base and de la Espriella’s outsider appeal continue to divide potential runoff challengers, leaving little room for an outright first-round winner or any other pairing in the implied probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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