Trader consensus on the Colombia presidential election’s first-round second-place finisher reflects recent polling trends showing Iván Cepeda leading as the standard-bearer for the ruling Historic Pact coalition and its policy continuity. Abelardo de la Espriella has consolidated right-wing support through an outsider campaign focused on security, military action against armed groups, and rejection of prior peace processes, placing him ahead of Paloma Valencia of the Democratic Centre in most surveys. With the May 31 vote approaching, the fragmented field and absence of an outright majority have reinforced expectations that Cepeda and de la Espriella will advance, while other contenders such as Mauricio Cárdenas and Gustavo Bolívar remain marginal. Upcoming final campaign stops and any late shifts in undecided voters could still alter second-place positioning before ballots close.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วColombia Presidential Election 1st round: 2nd place
Colombia Presidential Election 1st round: 2nd place
Abelardo de la Espriella 71%
Paloma Valencia 19%
Iván Cepeda Castro 14.4%
Mauricio Cárdenas <1%
$89,193 ปริมาณ
$89,193 ปริมาณ
Abelardo de la Espriella
71%
Paloma Valencia
19%
Iván Cepeda Castro
14%
Mauricio Cárdenas
<1%
Gustavo Bolívar
<1%
Sergio Fajardo
<1%
Germán Vargas Lleras
<1%
Juan Manuel Galán
<1%
Roy Barreras
<1%
Juan Carlos Pinzón
<1%
Enrique Peñalosa
<1%
Vicky Dávila
<1%
Claudia López
<1%
David Luna Sánchez
<1%
Juan Daniel Oviedo
<1%
Luis Gilberto Murillo
<1%
Daniel Quintero
<1%
Abelardo de la Espriella 71%
Paloma Valencia 19%
Iván Cepeda Castro 14.4%
Mauricio Cárdenas <1%
$89,193 ปริมาณ
$89,193 ปริมาณ
Abelardo de la Espriella
71%
Paloma Valencia
19%
Iván Cepeda Castro
14%
Mauricio Cárdenas
<1%
Gustavo Bolívar
<1%
Sergio Fajardo
<1%
Germán Vargas Lleras
<1%
Juan Manuel Galán
<1%
Roy Barreras
<1%
Juan Carlos Pinzón
<1%
Enrique Peñalosa
<1%
Vicky Dávila
<1%
Claudia López
<1%
David Luna Sánchez
<1%
Juan Daniel Oviedo
<1%
Luis Gilberto Murillo
<1%
Daniel Quintero
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 21, 2026, 3:26 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on the Colombia presidential election’s first-round second-place finisher reflects recent polling trends showing Iván Cepeda leading as the standard-bearer for the ruling Historic Pact coalition and its policy continuity. Abelardo de la Espriella has consolidated right-wing support through an outsider campaign focused on security, military action against armed groups, and rejection of prior peace processes, placing him ahead of Paloma Valencia of the Democratic Centre in most surveys. With the May 31 vote approaching, the fragmented field and absence of an outright majority have reinforced expectations that Cepeda and de la Espriella will advance, while other contenders such as Mauricio Cárdenas and Gustavo Bolívar remain marginal. Upcoming final campaign stops and any late shifts in undecided voters could still alter second-place positioning before ballots close.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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