Robust early-week TSA volumes exceeding 7.2 million through May 13 have anchored trader consensus on the 17.5-18 million bin at 65.5% implied probability for the May 11-17 period, fueled by a post-Mother’s Day surge and the broader 2026 travel boom. Daily averages holding above 2.4 million despite midweek dips mirror historical mid-May patterns as summer leisure demand builds toward Memorial Day, with Fridays and Sundays often pushing past 2.5 million. The absence of major disruptions or staffing crises has kept sub-17 million outcomes at lower odds, while the slim 0.5% chance above 18.5 million reflects caution around potential weekend softening. Fresh daily releases through May 17 stand as the key catalysts that could shift momentum in this closely watched travel gauge.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNumber of TSA passengers May 11 - May 17?
Number of TSA passengers May 11 - May 17?
17.5-18m 66%
18-18.5m 42%
17-17.5m 14%
16.5-17m 5%
ใหม่
ใหม่
May 17, 2026
<16.5m
2%
16.5-17m
5%
17-17.5m
14%
17.5-18m
66%
18-18.5m
42%
>18.5m
17%
17.5-18m 66%
18-18.5m 42%
17-17.5m 14%
16.5-17m 5%
ใหม่
ใหม่
May 17, 2026
<16.5m
$358 ปริมาณ
2%
16.5-17m
$30 ปริมาณ
5%
17-17.5m
$105 ปริมาณ
14%
17.5-18m
$2 ปริมาณ
66%
18-18.5m
$3 ปริมาณ
42%
>18.5m
$452 ปริมาณ
17%
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported between May 11, 2026 and May 17, 2026 (inclusive).
The total number of TSA passengers will be calculated by summing all of the TSA daily checkpoint throughputs reported for this date range (e.g. if there were a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 2 million reported on December 1 and a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 3 million reported on December 2, the total number of TSA passengers for December 1-2 would be 5 million).
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for all dates within the listed range. Any revisions published to data for dates December 8, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for any of the dates from May 11, 2026 to May 17, 2026 by June 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.Robust early-week TSA volumes exceeding 7.2 million through May 13 have anchored trader consensus on the 17.5-18 million bin at 65.5% implied probability for the May 11-17 period, fueled by a post-Mother’s Day surge and the broader 2026 travel boom. Daily averages holding above 2.4 million despite midweek dips mirror historical mid-May patterns as summer leisure demand builds toward Memorial Day, with Fridays and Sundays often pushing past 2.5 million. The absence of major disruptions or staffing crises has kept sub-17 million outcomes at lower odds, while the slim 0.5% chance above 18.5 million reflects caution around potential weekend softening. Fresh daily releases through May 17 stand as the key catalysts that could shift momentum in this closely watched travel gauge.
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported between May 11, 2026 and May 17, 2026 (inclusive).
The total number of TSA passengers will be calculated by summing all of the TSA daily checkpoint throughputs reported for this date range (e.g. if there were a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 2 million reported on December 1 and a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 3 million reported on December 2, the total number of TSA passengers for December 1-2 would be 5 million).
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for all dates within the listed range. Any revisions published to data for dates December 8, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for any of the dates from May 11, 2026 to May 17, 2026 by June 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
The total number of TSA passengers will be calculated by summing all of the TSA daily checkpoint throughputs reported for this date range (e.g. if there were a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 2 million reported on December 1 and a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 3 million reported on December 2, the total number of TSA passengers for December 1-2 would be 5 million).
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for all dates within the listed range. Any revisions published to data for dates December 8, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for any of the dates from May 11, 2026 to May 17, 2026 by June 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 9, 2026, 12:33 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$951วันสิ้นสุด
May 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 9, 2026, 12:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported between May 11, 2026 and May 17, 2026 (inclusive).
The total number of TSA passengers will be calculated by summing all of the TSA daily checkpoint throughputs reported for this date range (e.g. if there were a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 2 million reported on December 1 and a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 3 million reported on December 2, the total number of TSA passengers for December 1-2 would be 5 million).
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for all dates within the listed range. Any revisions published to data for dates December 8, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for any of the dates from May 11, 2026 to May 17, 2026 by June 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.Robust early-week TSA volumes exceeding 7.2 million through May 13 have anchored trader consensus on the 17.5-18 million bin at 65.5% implied probability for the May 11-17 period, fueled by a post-Mother’s Day surge and the broader 2026 travel boom. Daily averages holding above 2.4 million despite midweek dips mirror historical mid-May patterns as summer leisure demand builds toward Memorial Day, with Fridays and Sundays often pushing past 2.5 million. The absence of major disruptions or staffing crises has kept sub-17 million outcomes at lower odds, while the slim 0.5% chance above 18.5 million reflects caution around potential weekend softening. Fresh daily releases through May 17 stand as the key catalysts that could shift momentum in this closely watched travel gauge.
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported between May 11, 2026 and May 17, 2026 (inclusive).
The total number of TSA passengers will be calculated by summing all of the TSA daily checkpoint throughputs reported for this date range (e.g. if there were a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 2 million reported on December 1 and a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 3 million reported on December 2, the total number of TSA passengers for December 1-2 would be 5 million).
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for all dates within the listed range. Any revisions published to data for dates December 8, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for any of the dates from May 11, 2026 to May 17, 2026 by June 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
The total number of TSA passengers will be calculated by summing all of the TSA daily checkpoint throughputs reported for this date range (e.g. if there were a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 2 million reported on December 1 and a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 3 million reported on December 2, the total number of TSA passengers for December 1-2 would be 5 million).
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for all dates within the listed range. Any revisions published to data for dates December 8, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for any of the dates from May 11, 2026 to May 17, 2026 by June 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$951วันสิ้นสุด
May 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 9, 2026, 12:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Robust early-week TSA volumes exceeding 7.2 million through May 13 have anchored trader consensus on the 17.5-18 million bin at 65.5% implied probability for the May 11-17 period, fueled by a post-Mother’s Day surge and the broader 2026 travel boom. Daily averages holding above 2.4 million despite midweek dips mirror historical mid-May patterns as summer leisure demand builds toward Memorial Day, with Fridays and Sundays often pushing past 2.5 million. The absence of major disruptions or staffing crises has kept sub-17 million outcomes at lower odds, while the slim 0.5% chance above 18.5 million reflects caution around potential weekend softening. Fresh daily releases through May 17 stand as the key catalysts that could shift momentum in this closely watched travel gauge.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย