Oklahoma's U.S. Senate seat opened after Sen. Markwayne Mullin's March 2026 Senate confirmation as DHS Secretary, yet trader consensus holds Republicans at 92.5% implied probability, reflecting the state's R+20 partisan voter index, historical GOP dominance—no Democratic Senate win since 1948—and Rep. Kevin Hern's lead in early primary polling (52% in March Club for Growth survey) with endorsements from Sens. Thune and Scott. Democrat N'Kiyla Jasmine Thomas advances in a low-profile primary June 16. The commanding position persists absent recent catalysts; challenges would require a fractured GOP runoff, frontrunner scandal, or anomalous midterm turnout surge before November 3 resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$13,481 ปริมาณ
$13,481 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
93%
Democrat
6%
$13,481 ปริมาณ
$13,481 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
$8,234 ปริมาณ
93%
Democrat
$5,247 ปริมาณ
6%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Oklahoma's U.S. Senate seat opened after Sen. Markwayne Mullin's March 2026 Senate confirmation as DHS Secretary, yet trader consensus holds Republicans at 92.5% implied probability, reflecting the state's R+20 partisan voter index, historical GOP dominance—no Democratic Senate win since 1948—and Rep. Kevin Hern's lead in early primary polling (52% in March Club for Growth survey) with endorsements from Sens. Thune and Scott. Democrat N'Kiyla Jasmine Thomas advances in a low-profile primary June 16. The commanding position persists absent recent catalysts; challenges would require a fractured GOP runoff, frontrunner scandal, or anomalous midterm turnout surge before November 3 resolution.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$13,481วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Oklahoma's U.S. Senate seat opened after Sen. Markwayne Mullin's March 2026 Senate confirmation as DHS Secretary, yet trader consensus holds Republicans at 92.5% implied probability, reflecting the state's R+20 partisan voter index, historical GOP dominance—no Democratic Senate win since 1948—and Rep. Kevin Hern's lead in early primary polling (52% in March Club for Growth survey) with endorsements from Sens. Thune and Scott. Democrat N'Kiyla Jasmine Thomas advances in a low-profile primary June 16. The commanding position persists absent recent catalysts; challenges would require a fractured GOP runoff, frontrunner scandal, or anomalous midterm turnout surge before November 3 resolution.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$13,481วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Oklahoma's U.S. Senate seat opened after Sen. Markwayne Mullin's March 2026 Senate confirmation as DHS Secretary, yet trader consensus holds Republicans at 92.5% implied probability, reflecting the state's R+20 partisan voter index, historical GOP dominance—no Democratic Senate win since 1948—and Rep. Kevin Hern's lead in early primary polling (52% in March Club for Growth survey) with endorsements from Sens. Thune and Scott. Democrat N'Kiyla Jasmine Thomas advances in a low-profile primary June 16. The commanding position persists absent recent catalysts; challenges would require a fractured GOP runoff, frontrunner scandal, or anomalous midterm turnout surge before November 3 resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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