Incumbent Republican Tom Cole secured his party's nomination in the June 2026 primary and faces Democrat Mitchell Jacob and independent Rocco Bonacci in the November general election for Oklahoma's 4th congressional district. The district's consistent Republican lean, reflected in Cole's prior victories including a 65% margin in 2024, combined with the state's overall partisan makeup, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Primary results and nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solidly Republican have reinforced this positioning with minimal recent shifts. A late scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Democratic performance could theoretically narrow the gap, though such developments remain uncommon in this district based on historical patterns.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วOK-04 House Election Winner
OK-04 House Election Winner
$25,389 ปริมาณ
$25,389 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
6%
$25,389 ปริมาณ
$25,389 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$14,515 ปริมาณ
94%
Democratic Party
$10,874 ปริมาณ
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Tom Cole secured his party's nomination in the June 2026 primary and faces Democrat Mitchell Jacob and independent Rocco Bonacci in the November general election for Oklahoma's 4th congressional district. The district's consistent Republican lean, reflected in Cole's prior victories including a 65% margin in 2024, combined with the state's overall partisan makeup, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Primary results and nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solidly Republican have reinforced this positioning with minimal recent shifts. A late scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Democratic performance could theoretically narrow the gap, though such developments remain uncommon in this district based on historical patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$25,389วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Tom Cole secured his party's nomination in the June 2026 primary and faces Democrat Mitchell Jacob and independent Rocco Bonacci in the November general election for Oklahoma's 4th congressional district. The district's consistent Republican lean, reflected in Cole's prior victories including a 65% margin in 2024, combined with the state's overall partisan makeup, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Primary results and nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solidly Republican have reinforced this positioning with minimal recent shifts. A late scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Democratic performance could theoretically narrow the gap, though such developments remain uncommon in this district based on historical patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$25,389วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Tom Cole secured his party's nomination in the June 2026 primary and faces Democrat Mitchell Jacob and independent Rocco Bonacci in the November general election for Oklahoma's 4th congressional district. The district's consistent Republican lean, reflected in Cole's prior victories including a 65% margin in 2024, combined with the state's overall partisan makeup, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Primary results and nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solidly Republican have reinforced this positioning with minimal recent shifts. A late scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Democratic performance could theoretically narrow the gap, though such developments remain uncommon in this district based on historical patterns.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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