KPRF leads the market for second place in Russia's September 2026 State Duma election because traders view its established regional structures, historical voter base, and consistent polling as more reliable than newer challengers. Recent VCIOM surveys have shown New People briefly topping other systemic opposition parties at around 13%, fueled by appeals to voters frustrated with online restrictions, while LDPR and CPRF hover near 10-12% in the same data. FOM and other polls often reverse this order, and public perception surveys give CPRF a modest edge over LDPR for silver-medal status. New People lacks the organizational depth of the older parties despite recent momentum, LDPR benefits from nationalist positioning but trails in most head-to-head assessments, and United Russia is projected to retain its dominant majority. These dynamics underpin the current trader consensus reflected in the prices.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วRussia Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) 66%
New People (NL) 21%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 13%
United Russia (ER) 2.0%
$60,020 ปริมาณ
$60,020 ปริมาณ

United Russia (ER)
2%

Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
66%

A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
<1%

Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
13%

New People (NL)
21%

Rodina
<1%

Civic Platform (GP)
<1%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) 66%
New People (NL) 21%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 13%
United Russia (ER) 2.0%
$60,020 ปริมาณ
$60,020 ปริมาณ

United Russia (ER)
2%

Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
66%

A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
<1%

Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
13%

New People (NL)
21%

Rodina
<1%

Civic Platform (GP)
<1%
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 21, 2026, 3:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...KPRF leads the market for second place in Russia's September 2026 State Duma election because traders view its established regional structures, historical voter base, and consistent polling as more reliable than newer challengers. Recent VCIOM surveys have shown New People briefly topping other systemic opposition parties at around 13%, fueled by appeals to voters frustrated with online restrictions, while LDPR and CPRF hover near 10-12% in the same data. FOM and other polls often reverse this order, and public perception surveys give CPRF a modest edge over LDPR for silver-medal status. New People lacks the organizational depth of the older parties despite recent momentum, LDPR benefits from nationalist positioning but trails in most head-to-head assessments, and United Russia is projected to retain its dominant majority. These dynamics underpin the current trader consensus reflected in the prices.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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