The 2026 Russian State Duma elections, set for mid-September, feature United Russia as the clear frontrunner for first place due to its dominant position in the legislature and consistent polling above 40%. For second place, the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) holds the strongest position among systemic opposition parties, backed by established regional organizations, historical voter base, and recent primaries that maintained its structure ahead of the vote. New People has shown polling gains in some surveys, reaching double digits at times, while the LDPR benefits from leadership transitions and public perception as a contender, yet both trail in organizational depth and consistent nationwide support. Other registered parties face significantly lower viability due to weaker infrastructure and limited recent momentum. Trader consensus reflects these structural and polling dynamics with the election less than five weeks away.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วRussia Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) 83%
New People (NL) 8.3%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 7.6%
United Russia (ER) <1%
$313,744 ปริมาณ
$313,744 ปริมาณ

United Russia (ER)
1%

Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
83%

A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
<1%

Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
8%

New People (NL)
8%

Rodina
<1%

Civic Platform (GP)
<1%

Yabloko
1%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) 83%
New People (NL) 8.3%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 7.6%
United Russia (ER) <1%
$313,744 ปริมาณ
$313,744 ปริมาณ

United Russia (ER)
1%

Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
83%

A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
<1%

Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
8%

New People (NL)
8%

Rodina
<1%

Civic Platform (GP)
<1%

Yabloko
1%
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 21, 2026, 3:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 Russian State Duma elections, set for mid-September, feature United Russia as the clear frontrunner for first place due to its dominant position in the legislature and consistent polling above 40%. For second place, the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) holds the strongest position among systemic opposition parties, backed by established regional organizations, historical voter base, and recent primaries that maintained its structure ahead of the vote. New People has shown polling gains in some surveys, reaching double digits at times, while the LDPR benefits from leadership transitions and public perception as a contender, yet both trail in organizational depth and consistent nationwide support. Other registered parties face significantly lower viability due to weaker infrastructure and limited recent momentum. Trader consensus reflects these structural and polling dynamics with the election less than five weeks away.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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