Trader consensus assigns the Communist Party of the Russian Federation a 61% implied probability of finishing second in the September 2026 State Duma elections, reflecting its established role as the leading systemic opposition with durable regional structures and 19% support in the prior cycle. Recent April VCIOM telephone surveys place New People ahead at 13-17% by tapping youth and middle-class concerns over internet controls, yet face-to-face FOM polls keep the Communists and Liberal Democratic Party slightly ahead. Preparations including KPRF primaries and New People's targeted messaging on current irritants have intensified ahead of the mid-June campaign launch, while the mixed proportional and single-mandate system continues to favor parties with stronger local networks.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วRussia Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
Russia Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) 61%
New People (NL) 25%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 13%
United Russia (ER) 3.5%
$16,158 ปริมาณ
$16,158 ปริมาณ
Sep 20, 2026
United Russia (ER)
4%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
61%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
1%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
13%
New People (NL)
25%
Rodina
1%
Civic Platform (GP)
2%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) 61%
New People (NL) 25%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 13%
United Russia (ER) 3.5%
$16,158 ปริมาณ
$16,158 ปริมาณ
Sep 20, 2026
United Russia (ER)
$2,449 ปริมาณ
4%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
$2,363 ปริมาณ
61%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
$1,667 ปริมาณ
1%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
$2,165 ปริมาณ
13%
New People (NL)
$2,290 ปริมาณ
25%
Rodina
$2,822 ปริมาณ
1%
Civic Platform (GP)
$2,403 ปริมาณ
2%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.Trader consensus assigns the Communist Party of the Russian Federation a 61% implied probability of finishing second in the September 2026 State Duma elections, reflecting its established role as the leading systemic opposition with durable regional structures and 19% support in the prior cycle. Recent April VCIOM telephone surveys place New People ahead at 13-17% by tapping youth and middle-class concerns over internet controls, yet face-to-face FOM polls keep the Communists and Liberal Democratic Party slightly ahead. Preparations including KPRF primaries and New People's targeted messaging on current irritants have intensified ahead of the mid-June campaign launch, while the mixed proportional and single-mandate system continues to favor parties with stronger local networks.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 21, 2026, 3:36 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$16,158วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 21, 2026, 3:36 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.Trader consensus assigns the Communist Party of the Russian Federation a 61% implied probability of finishing second in the September 2026 State Duma elections, reflecting its established role as the leading systemic opposition with durable regional structures and 19% support in the prior cycle. Recent April VCIOM telephone surveys place New People ahead at 13-17% by tapping youth and middle-class concerns over internet controls, yet face-to-face FOM polls keep the Communists and Liberal Democratic Party slightly ahead. Preparations including KPRF primaries and New People's targeted messaging on current irritants have intensified ahead of the mid-June campaign launch, while the mixed proportional and single-mandate system continues to favor parties with stronger local networks.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$16,158วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 21, 2026, 3:36 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus assigns the Communist Party of the Russian Federation a 61% implied probability of finishing second in the September 2026 State Duma elections, reflecting its established role as the leading systemic opposition with durable regional structures and 19% support in the prior cycle. Recent April VCIOM telephone surveys place New People ahead at 13-17% by tapping youth and middle-class concerns over internet controls, yet face-to-face FOM polls keep the Communists and Liberal Democratic Party slightly ahead. Preparations including KPRF primaries and New People's targeted messaging on current irritants have intensified ahead of the mid-June campaign launch, while the mixed proportional and single-mandate system continues to favor parties with stronger local networks.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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