United Russia's entrenched position as Russia's ruling party, reinforced by Kremlin-aligned preparations ahead of the September 2026 State Duma elections, drives the overwhelming trader consensus for its victory. Leadership restructuring in 2025 placed figures such as Dmitry Medvedev at the top of its party list alongside pro-war voices, while systemic controls, candidate restrictions, and exclusion of independent opposition limit competition from parties like the CPRF, LDPR, and New People. Recent regional votes and polling trends reflect this managed environment, where United Russia retains a constitutional majority path despite fluctuating approval ratings around 30-40 percent in some surveys. Potential shifts could arise from major developments in the Ukraine conflict, acute economic pressures, or unforeseen elite realignments, though these face significant structural hurdles in the current system.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วพรรครัสเซียรวมชาติ (ER) 98.3%
Yabloko <1%
พรรคเสรีประชาธิปไตยรัสเซีย (LDPR) <1%
พรรคคอมมิวนิสต์แห่งสหพันธรัฐรัสเซีย (KPRF) <1%
$3,156,113 ปริมาณ
$3,156,113 ปริมาณ
Sep 30, 2026
พรรครัสเซียรวมชาติ (ER)
98%
Yabloko
1%
พรรคเสรีประชาธิปไตยรัสเซีย (LDPR)
<1%
พรรคคอมมิวนิสต์แห่งสหพันธรัฐรัสเซีย (KPRF)
<1%
พรรคคนใหม่ (NL)
<1%
พรรครัสเซียยุติธรรม – เพื่อความจริง (SRZP)
<1%
Rodina
<1%
พรรคเวทีพลเมือง (GP)
<1%
พรรครัสเซียรวมชาติ (ER) 98.3%
Yabloko <1%
พรรคเสรีประชาธิปไตยรัสเซีย (LDPR) <1%
พรรคคอมมิวนิสต์แห่งสหพันธรัฐรัสเซีย (KPRF) <1%
$3,156,113 ปริมาณ
$3,156,113 ปริมาณ
Sep 30, 2026
พรรครัสเซียรวมชาติ (ER)
$790,677 ปริมาณ
98%
Yabloko
$29,531 ปริมาณ
1%
พรรคเสรีประชาธิปไตยรัสเซีย (LDPR)
$202,181 ปริมาณ
<1%
พรรคคอมมิวนิสต์แห่งสหพันธรัฐรัสเซีย (KPRF)
$158,765 ปริมาณ
<1%
พรรคคนใหม่ (NL)
$134,290 ปริมาณ
<1%
พรรครัสเซียยุติธรรม – เพื่อความจริง (SRZP)
$734,555 ปริมาณ
<1%
Rodina
$502,708 ปริมาณ
<1%
พรรคเวทีพลเมือง (GP)
$603,407 ปริมาณ
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.United Russia's entrenched position as Russia's ruling party, reinforced by Kremlin-aligned preparations ahead of the September 2026 State Duma elections, drives the overwhelming trader consensus for its victory. Leadership restructuring in 2025 placed figures such as Dmitry Medvedev at the top of its party list alongside pro-war voices, while systemic controls, candidate restrictions, and exclusion of independent opposition limit competition from parties like the CPRF, LDPR, and New People. Recent regional votes and polling trends reflect this managed environment, where United Russia retains a constitutional majority path despite fluctuating approval ratings around 30-40 percent in some surveys. Potential shifts could arise from major developments in the Ukraine conflict, acute economic pressures, or unforeseen elite realignments, though these face significant structural hurdles in the current system.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,156,113วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.United Russia's entrenched position as Russia's ruling party, reinforced by Kremlin-aligned preparations ahead of the September 2026 State Duma elections, drives the overwhelming trader consensus for its victory. Leadership restructuring in 2025 placed figures such as Dmitry Medvedev at the top of its party list alongside pro-war voices, while systemic controls, candidate restrictions, and exclusion of independent opposition limit competition from parties like the CPRF, LDPR, and New People. Recent regional votes and polling trends reflect this managed environment, where United Russia retains a constitutional majority path despite fluctuating approval ratings around 30-40 percent in some surveys. Potential shifts could arise from major developments in the Ukraine conflict, acute economic pressures, or unforeseen elite realignments, though these face significant structural hurdles in the current system.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,156,113วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...United Russia's entrenched position as Russia's ruling party, reinforced by Kremlin-aligned preparations ahead of the September 2026 State Duma elections, drives the overwhelming trader consensus for its victory. Leadership restructuring in 2025 placed figures such as Dmitry Medvedev at the top of its party list alongside pro-war voices, while systemic controls, candidate restrictions, and exclusion of independent opposition limit competition from parties like the CPRF, LDPR, and New People. Recent regional votes and polling trends reflect this managed environment, where United Russia retains a constitutional majority path despite fluctuating approval ratings around 30-40 percent in some surveys. Potential shifts could arise from major developments in the Ukraine conflict, acute economic pressures, or unforeseen elite realignments, though these face significant structural hurdles in the current system.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วที่เกี่ยวข้อง
Will New People (NL) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
42%
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
84%
รัสเซียรวม (ER) จะได้ที่นั่งมากที่สุดในการเลือกตั้งรัฐสภาครั้งหน้าของรัสเซียหรือไม่?
71%
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