United Russia maintains its commanding lead in the 2026 State Duma election market due to its entrenched position as the ruling party, extensive administrative resources, and Kremlin-aligned electoral management ahead of the September vote. Preparations include leadership restructuring with Dmitry Medvedev heading the party list alongside figures tied to the Ukraine conflict, alongside continued exclusion or marginalization of non-systemic opposition through registration rules and legal pressures. Systemic parties such as the CPRF, LDPR, and New People remain fragmented and dependent on controlled participation, as evidenced by recent regional results favoring United Russia candidates. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages and historical patterns of supermajority outcomes, though scenarios like significant war-related public shifts or unexpected elite realignments could theoretically alter seat distributions if they materialize before voting.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วUnited Russia (ER) 93.8%
New People (NL) 2.9%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) 1.1%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) <1%
$1,669,396 ปริมาณ
$1,669,396 ปริมาณ
Sep 30, 2026
United Russia (ER)
94%
New People (NL)
3%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
1%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
1%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
<1%
Civic Platform (GP)
<1%
Rodina
<1%
United Russia (ER) 93.8%
New People (NL) 2.9%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) 1.1%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) <1%
$1,669,396 ปริมาณ
$1,669,396 ปริมาณ
Sep 30, 2026
United Russia (ER)
$587,231 ปริมาณ
94%
New People (NL)
$91,312 ปริมาณ
3%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
$113,880 ปริมาณ
1%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
$106,352 ปริมาณ
1%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
$302,033 ปริมาณ
<1%
Civic Platform (GP)
$150,753 ปริมาณ
<1%
Rodina
$317,835 ปริมาณ
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.United Russia maintains its commanding lead in the 2026 State Duma election market due to its entrenched position as the ruling party, extensive administrative resources, and Kremlin-aligned electoral management ahead of the September vote. Preparations include leadership restructuring with Dmitry Medvedev heading the party list alongside figures tied to the Ukraine conflict, alongside continued exclusion or marginalization of non-systemic opposition through registration rules and legal pressures. Systemic parties such as the CPRF, LDPR, and New People remain fragmented and dependent on controlled participation, as evidenced by recent regional results favoring United Russia candidates. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages and historical patterns of supermajority outcomes, though scenarios like significant war-related public shifts or unexpected elite realignments could theoretically alter seat distributions if they materialize before voting.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,669,396วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.United Russia maintains its commanding lead in the 2026 State Duma election market due to its entrenched position as the ruling party, extensive administrative resources, and Kremlin-aligned electoral management ahead of the September vote. Preparations include leadership restructuring with Dmitry Medvedev heading the party list alongside figures tied to the Ukraine conflict, alongside continued exclusion or marginalization of non-systemic opposition through registration rules and legal pressures. Systemic parties such as the CPRF, LDPR, and New People remain fragmented and dependent on controlled participation, as evidenced by recent regional results favoring United Russia candidates. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages and historical patterns of supermajority outcomes, though scenarios like significant war-related public shifts or unexpected elite realignments could theoretically alter seat distributions if they materialize before voting.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,669,396วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...United Russia maintains its commanding lead in the 2026 State Duma election market due to its entrenched position as the ruling party, extensive administrative resources, and Kremlin-aligned electoral management ahead of the September vote. Preparations include leadership restructuring with Dmitry Medvedev heading the party list alongside figures tied to the Ukraine conflict, alongside continued exclusion or marginalization of non-systemic opposition through registration rules and legal pressures. Systemic parties such as the CPRF, LDPR, and New People remain fragmented and dependent on controlled participation, as evidenced by recent regional results favoring United Russia candidates. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages and historical patterns of supermajority outcomes, though scenarios like significant war-related public shifts or unexpected elite realignments could theoretically alter seat distributions if they materialize before voting.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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