United Russia maintains its commanding position in the September 2026 State Duma election market due to its incumbency advantages, extensive administrative resources, and dominance in single-mandate districts under Russia's mixed electoral system. Kremlin preparations, including the party list led by Dmitry Medvedev and featuring prominent pro-government figures, reinforce expectations of a continued supermajority. Polling from state-linked sources shows the party holding steady leads well above the five percent threshold, while systemic opposition parties like New People, the Communist Party, and LDPR remain fragmented and constrained by registration rules and campaign restrictions. Scenarios that could narrow United Russia's margin include significant economic deterioration, shifts in public attitudes toward the ongoing conflict, or unexpected voter mobilization, though the controlled political environment limits the likelihood of such disruptions before voting concludes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วพรรครัสเซียรวมชาติ (ER) 96.0%
พรรคคนใหม่ (NL) 2.3%
พรรคคอมมิวนิสต์แห่งสหพันธรัฐรัสเซีย (KPRF) 1.0%
พรรครัสเซียยุติธรรม – เพื่อความจริง (SRZP) <1%
$1,347,879 ปริมาณ
$1,347,879 ปริมาณ
Sep 30, 2026
พรรครัสเซียรวมชาติ (ER)
96%
พรรคคนใหม่ (NL)
2%
พรรคคอมมิวนิสต์แห่งสหพันธรัฐรัสเซีย (KPRF)
1%
พรรครัสเซียยุติธรรม – เพื่อความจริง (SRZP)
<1%
พรรคเสรีประชาธิปไตยรัสเซีย (LDPR)
<1%
Rodina
<1%
พรรคเวทีพลเมือง (GP)
<1%
พรรครัสเซียรวมชาติ (ER) 96.0%
พรรคคนใหม่ (NL) 2.3%
พรรคคอมมิวนิสต์แห่งสหพันธรัฐรัสเซีย (KPRF) 1.0%
พรรครัสเซียยุติธรรม – เพื่อความจริง (SRZP) <1%
$1,347,879 ปริมาณ
$1,347,879 ปริมาณ
Sep 30, 2026
พรรครัสเซียรวมชาติ (ER)
$521,568 ปริมาณ
96%
พรรคคนใหม่ (NL)
$80,740 ปริมาณ
2%
พรรคคอมมิวนิสต์แห่งสหพันธรัฐรัสเซีย (KPRF)
$103,899 ปริมาณ
1%
พรรครัสเซียยุติธรรม – เพื่อความจริง (SRZP)
$229,383 ปริมาณ
<1%
พรรคเสรีประชาธิปไตยรัสเซีย (LDPR)
$79,346 ปริมาณ
<1%
Rodina
$222,577 ปริมาณ
<1%
พรรคเวทีพลเมือง (GP)
$110,366 ปริมาณ
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.United Russia maintains its commanding position in the September 2026 State Duma election market due to its incumbency advantages, extensive administrative resources, and dominance in single-mandate districts under Russia's mixed electoral system. Kremlin preparations, including the party list led by Dmitry Medvedev and featuring prominent pro-government figures, reinforce expectations of a continued supermajority. Polling from state-linked sources shows the party holding steady leads well above the five percent threshold, while systemic opposition parties like New People, the Communist Party, and LDPR remain fragmented and constrained by registration rules and campaign restrictions. Scenarios that could narrow United Russia's margin include significant economic deterioration, shifts in public attitudes toward the ongoing conflict, or unexpected voter mobilization, though the controlled political environment limits the likelihood of such disruptions before voting concludes.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,347,879วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.United Russia maintains its commanding position in the September 2026 State Duma election market due to its incumbency advantages, extensive administrative resources, and dominance in single-mandate districts under Russia's mixed electoral system. Kremlin preparations, including the party list led by Dmitry Medvedev and featuring prominent pro-government figures, reinforce expectations of a continued supermajority. Polling from state-linked sources shows the party holding steady leads well above the five percent threshold, while systemic opposition parties like New People, the Communist Party, and LDPR remain fragmented and constrained by registration rules and campaign restrictions. Scenarios that could narrow United Russia's margin include significant economic deterioration, shifts in public attitudes toward the ongoing conflict, or unexpected voter mobilization, though the controlled political environment limits the likelihood of such disruptions before voting concludes.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,347,879วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...United Russia maintains its commanding position in the September 2026 State Duma election market due to its incumbency advantages, extensive administrative resources, and dominance in single-mandate districts under Russia's mixed electoral system. Kremlin preparations, including the party list led by Dmitry Medvedev and featuring prominent pro-government figures, reinforce expectations of a continued supermajority. Polling from state-linked sources shows the party holding steady leads well above the five percent threshold, while systemic opposition parties like New People, the Communist Party, and LDPR remain fragmented and constrained by registration rules and campaign restrictions. Scenarios that could narrow United Russia's margin include significant economic deterioration, shifts in public attitudes toward the ongoing conflict, or unexpected voter mobilization, though the controlled political environment limits the likelihood of such disruptions before voting concludes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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