United Russia maintains overwhelming trader consensus as the likely winner of the September 18–20 2026 State Duma election due to its position as the incumbent ruling party holding a constitutional majority of seats and extensive administrative resources. Recent preparations, including leadership restructuring, a pro-war party list led by Dmitry Medvedev, and three-day voting procedures, reinforce its structural advantages. Genuine opposition faces significant constraints, highlighted by the Supreme Court’s recent disqualification of Yabloko, while registered systemic parties such as the CPRF, LDPR, and New People operate within narrow limits. Scenarios that could alter the outcome remain limited to major unforeseen shifts in the Ukraine conflict, elite realignments, or unexpected turnout dynamics in the final weeks before the vote.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วพรรครัสเซียรวมชาติ (ER) 98.3%
Yabloko <1%
พรรคเสรีประชาธิปไตยรัสเซีย (LDPR) <1%
พรรคคอมมิวนิสต์แห่งสหพันธรัฐรัสเซีย (KPRF) <1%
$3,164,522 ปริมาณ
$3,164,522 ปริมาณ
Sep 30, 2026
พรรครัสเซียรวมชาติ (ER)
98%
Yabloko
1%
พรรคเสรีประชาธิปไตยรัสเซีย (LDPR)
<1%
พรรคคอมมิวนิสต์แห่งสหพันธรัฐรัสเซีย (KPRF)
<1%
พรรคคนใหม่ (NL)
<1%
พรรครัสเซียยุติธรรม – เพื่อความจริง (SRZP)
<1%
Rodina
<1%
พรรคเวทีพลเมือง (GP)
<1%
พรรครัสเซียรวมชาติ (ER) 98.3%
Yabloko <1%
พรรคเสรีประชาธิปไตยรัสเซีย (LDPR) <1%
พรรคคอมมิวนิสต์แห่งสหพันธรัฐรัสเซีย (KPRF) <1%
$3,164,522 ปริมาณ
$3,164,522 ปริมาณ
Sep 30, 2026
พรรครัสเซียรวมชาติ (ER)
$792,445 ปริมาณ
98%
Yabloko
$30,991 ปริมาณ
1%
พรรคเสรีประชาธิปไตยรัสเซีย (LDPR)
$203,865 ปริมาณ
<1%
พรรคคอมมิวนิสต์แห่งสหพันธรัฐรัสเซีย (KPRF)
$159,959 ปริมาณ
<1%
พรรคคนใหม่ (NL)
$135,245 ปริมาณ
<1%
พรรครัสเซียยุติธรรม – เพื่อความจริง (SRZP)
$735,901 ปริมาณ
<1%
Rodina
$502,708 ปริมาณ
<1%
พรรคเวทีพลเมือง (GP)
$603,407 ปริมาณ
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.United Russia maintains overwhelming trader consensus as the likely winner of the September 18–20 2026 State Duma election due to its position as the incumbent ruling party holding a constitutional majority of seats and extensive administrative resources. Recent preparations, including leadership restructuring, a pro-war party list led by Dmitry Medvedev, and three-day voting procedures, reinforce its structural advantages. Genuine opposition faces significant constraints, highlighted by the Supreme Court’s recent disqualification of Yabloko, while registered systemic parties such as the CPRF, LDPR, and New People operate within narrow limits. Scenarios that could alter the outcome remain limited to major unforeseen shifts in the Ukraine conflict, elite realignments, or unexpected turnout dynamics in the final weeks before the vote.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,164,522วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.United Russia maintains overwhelming trader consensus as the likely winner of the September 18–20 2026 State Duma election due to its position as the incumbent ruling party holding a constitutional majority of seats and extensive administrative resources. Recent preparations, including leadership restructuring, a pro-war party list led by Dmitry Medvedev, and three-day voting procedures, reinforce its structural advantages. Genuine opposition faces significant constraints, highlighted by the Supreme Court’s recent disqualification of Yabloko, while registered systemic parties such as the CPRF, LDPR, and New People operate within narrow limits. Scenarios that could alter the outcome remain limited to major unforeseen shifts in the Ukraine conflict, elite realignments, or unexpected turnout dynamics in the final weeks before the vote.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,164,522วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...United Russia maintains overwhelming trader consensus as the likely winner of the September 18–20 2026 State Duma election due to its position as the incumbent ruling party holding a constitutional majority of seats and extensive administrative resources. Recent preparations, including leadership restructuring, a pro-war party list led by Dmitry Medvedev, and three-day voting procedures, reinforce its structural advantages. Genuine opposition faces significant constraints, highlighted by the Supreme Court’s recent disqualification of Yabloko, while registered systemic parties such as the CPRF, LDPR, and New People operate within narrow limits. Scenarios that could alter the outcome remain limited to major unforeseen shifts in the Ukraine conflict, elite realignments, or unexpected turnout dynamics in the final weeks before the vote.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วที่เกี่ยวข้อง
Will New People (NL) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
43%
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
84%
รัสเซียรวม (ER) จะได้ที่นั่งมากที่สุดในการเลือกตั้งรัฐสภาครั้งหน้าของรัสเซียหรือไม่?
74%
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