Recent Kremlin statements highlight the November 18-19 APEC summit in Shenzhen, China, as the most likely venue for a Trump-Putin encounter, with aides confirming both leaders plan to attend and discussing a possible bilateral or trilateral meeting with Xi Jinping on the sidelines following their September 8 phone call. This positions China as the frontrunner among traders, reflecting the event's timing within the 2026 window and Russia's public emphasis on the opportunity. No other bilateral summit has been scheduled, and White House confirmation of Trump's participation remains pending. The substantial share for no meeting by year-end accounts for attendance uncertainty and the absence of alternative confirmed dates or locations. Lower-probability options such as the United States, Gulf states, or Europe lack recent supporting diplomatic signals or announcements.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วChina 52%
No meeting by December 31 33%
United States 3.9%
Gulf country 2.1%
$1,119,819 ปริมาณ
$1,119,819 ปริมาณ
China
52%
No meeting by December 31
33%
United States
4%
Gulf country
2%
Russia
2%
Other
1%
Turkey
1%
Switzerland
1%
South Korea
1%
Finland
<1%
Belarus
<1%
Japan
<1%
Australia
<1%
Other EU country
<1%
Ukraine
<1%
China 52%
No meeting by December 31 33%
United States 3.9%
Gulf country 2.1%
$1,119,819 ปริมาณ
$1,119,819 ปริมาณ
China
52%
No meeting by December 31
33%
United States
4%
Gulf country
2%
Russia
2%
Other
1%
Turkey
1%
Switzerland
1%
South Korea
1%
Finland
<1%
Belarus
<1%
Japan
<1%
Australia
<1%
Other EU country
<1%
Ukraine
<1%
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent Kremlin statements highlight the November 18-19 APEC summit in Shenzhen, China, as the most likely venue for a Trump-Putin encounter, with aides confirming both leaders plan to attend and discussing a possible bilateral or trilateral meeting with Xi Jinping on the sidelines following their September 8 phone call. This positions China as the frontrunner among traders, reflecting the event's timing within the 2026 window and Russia's public emphasis on the opportunity. No other bilateral summit has been scheduled, and White House confirmation of Trump's participation remains pending. The substantial share for no meeting by year-end accounts for attendance uncertainty and the absence of alternative confirmed dates or locations. Lower-probability options such as the United States, Gulf states, or Europe lack recent supporting diplomatic signals or announcements.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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