Traders assign a 61.5% probability to no Trump-Putin meeting by year-end because no bilateral summit has been scheduled or announced in 2026, despite ongoing references to their 2025 Anchorage talks on Ukraine. Recent diplomatic activity, including Putin’s May visit to Beijing and speculation around a possible G20 invitation in Miami, supports China at 18.5% as a plausible neutral venue. Lower odds for Russia, the United States, Gulf states, and Turkey reflect the absence of confirmed plans or invitations, while historical patterns of U.S.-Russia summits occurring on short notice or at multilateral events continue to shape expectations for any late-year development.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWhere will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
No meeting by December 31 62%
China 19%
Russia 5%
Gulf country 5%
$47,285 ปริมาณ
$47,285 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
No meeting by December 31
62%
China
19%
Russia
5%
Gulf country
5%
United States
5%
Turkey
3%
Switzerland
2%
Belarus
2%
Other
1%
Other EU country
1%
South Korea
1%
Ukraine
1%
Finland
1%
Japan
<1%
Australia
<1%
No meeting by December 31 62%
China 19%
Russia 5%
Gulf country 5%
$47,285 ปริมาณ
$47,285 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
No meeting by December 31
$6,272 ปริมาณ
62%
China
$10,109 ปริมาณ
19%
Russia
$3,040 ปริมาณ
5%
Gulf country
$2,159 ปริมาณ
5%
United States
$2,281 ปริมาณ
5%
Turkey
$3,176 ปริมาณ
3%
Switzerland
$2,680 ปริมาณ
2%
Belarus
$2,679 ปริมาณ
2%
Other
$3,137 ปริมาณ
1%
Other EU country
$2,141 ปริมาณ
1%
South Korea
$1,887 ปริมาณ
1%
Ukraine
$1,911 ปริมาณ
1%
Finland
$2,048 ปริมาณ
1%
Japan
$1,907 ปริมาณ
<1%
Australia
$1,858 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Traders assign a 61.5% probability to no Trump-Putin meeting by year-end because no bilateral summit has been scheduled or announced in 2026, despite ongoing references to their 2025 Anchorage talks on Ukraine. Recent diplomatic activity, including Putin’s May visit to Beijing and speculation around a possible G20 invitation in Miami, supports China at 18.5% as a plausible neutral venue. Lower odds for Russia, the United States, Gulf states, and Turkey reflect the absence of confirmed plans or invitations, while historical patterns of U.S.-Russia summits occurring on short notice or at multilateral events continue to shape expectations for any late-year development.
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$47,285วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Traders assign a 61.5% probability to no Trump-Putin meeting by year-end because no bilateral summit has been scheduled or announced in 2026, despite ongoing references to their 2025 Anchorage talks on Ukraine. Recent diplomatic activity, including Putin’s May visit to Beijing and speculation around a possible G20 invitation in Miami, supports China at 18.5% as a plausible neutral venue. Lower odds for Russia, the United States, Gulf states, and Turkey reflect the absence of confirmed plans or invitations, while historical patterns of U.S.-Russia summits occurring on short notice or at multilateral events continue to shape expectations for any late-year development.
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$47,285วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign a 61.5% probability to no Trump-Putin meeting by year-end because no bilateral summit has been scheduled or announced in 2026, despite ongoing references to their 2025 Anchorage talks on Ukraine. Recent diplomatic activity, including Putin’s May visit to Beijing and speculation around a possible G20 invitation in Miami, supports China at 18.5% as a plausible neutral venue. Lower odds for Russia, the United States, Gulf states, and Turkey reflect the absence of confirmed plans or invitations, while historical patterns of U.S.-Russia summits occurring on short notice or at multilateral events continue to shape expectations for any late-year development.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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