Iran's supreme leadership underwent a rapid transition after Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was killed in a U.S.-Israeli airstrike on February 28, 2026, during the Iran war. The Assembly of Experts selected his son Mojtaba Khamenei as the new supreme leader on March 9 following interim council arrangements under Article 111 of the constitution. Trader focus has since shifted to Mojtaba's limited public role, reported health concerns in April, and the ongoing influence of figures such as Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf amid continued military pressure and economic strain. Key upcoming factors include any further institutional announcements, war developments, or internal regime adjustments that could affect stability through year-end.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$23,395,217 ปริมาณ
Aug 15, 2026
August 15
<1%
August 22
1%
August 31
3%
September 30
7%
October 31
11%
November 30
14%
31 ธันวาคม
18%
June 30, 2027
25%
$23,395,217 ปริมาณ
August 15
$52,624 ปริมาณ
<1%
August 22
$22,316 ปริมาณ
1%
August 31
$1,126,232 ปริมาณ
3%
September 30
$431,462 ปริมาณ
7%
October 31
$7,555 ปริมาณ
11%
November 30
$8,923 ปริมาณ
14%
31 ธันวาคม
$3,967,645 ปริมาณ
18%
June 30, 2027
$232,084 ปริมาณ
25%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Iran's supreme leadership underwent a rapid transition after Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was killed in a U.S.-Israeli airstrike on February 28, 2026, during the Iran war. The Assembly of Experts selected his son Mojtaba Khamenei as the new supreme leader on March 9 following interim council arrangements under Article 111 of the constitution. Trader focus has since shifted to Mojtaba's limited public role, reported health concerns in April, and the ongoing influence of figures such as Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf amid continued military pressure and economic strain. Key upcoming factors include any further institutional announcements, war developments, or internal regime adjustments that could affect stability through year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 7, 2026, 10:24 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$23,395,217วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 7, 2026, 10:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Iran's supreme leadership underwent a rapid transition after Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was killed in a U.S.-Israeli airstrike on February 28, 2026, during the Iran war. The Assembly of Experts selected his son Mojtaba Khamenei as the new supreme leader on March 9 following interim council arrangements under Article 111 of the constitution. Trader focus has since shifted to Mojtaba's limited public role, reported health concerns in April, and the ongoing influence of figures such as Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf amid continued military pressure and economic strain. Key upcoming factors include any further institutional announcements, war developments, or internal regime adjustments that could affect stability through year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$23,395,217วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 7, 2026, 10:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Iran's supreme leadership underwent a rapid transition after Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was killed in a U.S.-Israeli airstrike on February 28, 2026, during the Iran war. The Assembly of Experts selected his son Mojtaba Khamenei as the new supreme leader on March 9 following interim council arrangements under Article 111 of the constitution. Trader focus has since shifted to Mojtaba's limited public role, reported health concerns in April, and the ongoing influence of figures such as Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf amid continued military pressure and economic strain. Key upcoming factors include any further institutional announcements, war developments, or internal regime adjustments that could affect stability through year-end.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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