**Wildberries (RWB LLC), Russia’s dominant e-commerce platform, maintains strong trader consensus against announcing bankruptcy before 2027, reflected in the 91% probability for “No.”** The company reported 6.1 trillion rubles in 2025 turnover and 175 billion rubles in net profit, underscoring its scale despite elevated debt levels of roughly 830 billion–1.3 trillion rubles, primarily to state-linked VTB Bank, and prior covenant breaches that creditors have not enforced. Ukrainian drone strikes from July through August 2026 damaged or destroyed multiple warehouses, inflicting estimated losses in the hundreds of billions of rubles on the firm and especially its sellers (150–235 billion rubles range cited across reports). These events triggered payment delays, revised seller terms limiting liability, and targeted government measures including tax deferrals, preferential loans up to 50 billion rubles, and bank restructuring support. Wildberries has responded with operational continuity, security investments such as anti-drone netting, and partial seller assistance programs. Its systemic role in Russian retail logistics, employment, and tax revenue, combined with access to major state-connected creditors and a history of debt restructuring over outright insolvency, underpins the current market pricing. No bankruptcy filing has occurred, and recent September 2026 payment disruptions tied to DDoS attacks have been attributed to defensive measures rather than liquidity collapse. Key variables through year-end 2026 include further conflict-related disruptions, creditor actions, and the scope of any additional official support.