Russian President Vladimir Putin remains firmly entrenched in power following his May 9, 2026, Victory Day parade appearance in Moscow, where he publicly addressed the Ukraine conflict as nearing an end and vowed continued resolve, dispelling immediate speculation despite unverified health rumors over his visibly aged look. Heightened Kremlin security measures reported in early May, attributed to assassination or coup fears by Western intelligence, reflect regime caution amid ongoing war strains but show no elite fractures or institutional challenges to his leadership. Traders' 88.5% implied probability on "No" aligns with Putin's constitutional term extending to 2030, historical dismissal of recurrent health claims, and absence of verified catalysts like resignation statements, no-confidence votes, or successor announcements in the past 30 days. Late-breaking diplomatic shifts or health disclosures could alter consensus.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วปูตินออกจากตำแหน่งประธานาธิบดีรัสเซียภายในวันที่ 31 ธันวาคม 2026?
ปูตินออกจากตำแหน่งประธานาธิบดีรัสเซียภายในวันที่ 31 ธันวาคม 2026?
ใช่
$4,270,274 ปริมาณ
$4,270,274 ปริมาณ
ใช่
$4,270,274 ปริมาณ
$4,270,274 ปริมาณ
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 6, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Russian President Vladimir Putin remains firmly entrenched in power following his May 9, 2026, Victory Day parade appearance in Moscow, where he publicly addressed the Ukraine conflict as nearing an end and vowed continued resolve, dispelling immediate speculation despite unverified health rumors over his visibly aged look. Heightened Kremlin security measures reported in early May, attributed to assassination or coup fears by Western intelligence, reflect regime caution amid ongoing war strains but show no elite fractures or institutional challenges to his leadership. Traders' 88.5% implied probability on "No" aligns with Putin's constitutional term extending to 2030, historical dismissal of recurrent health claims, and absence of verified catalysts like resignation statements, no-confidence votes, or successor announcements in the past 30 days. Late-breaking diplomatic shifts or health disclosures could alter consensus.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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