Recent diplomatic signals have kept attention on potential Russia-Ukraine peace talks, though core disputes over territory, security guarantees, and ceasefires continue to limit momentum. As of mid-July 2026 the Kremlin stated no immediate prospects for resuming negotiations despite openness to Turkish facilitation, while earlier Geneva talks in February and proposals for direct leader meetings in June produced little progress. U.S. officials, including Secretary of State Marco Rubio in early August, indicated renewed efforts over coming weeks to test resumption, amid battlefield realities where Russia controls roughly one-fifth of Ukrainian territory and recent intensified strikes. Traders weigh these stalled conditions against periodic mediation attempts and holiday ceasefires that have not translated into sustained dialogue.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$280,641 ปริมาณ
September 30
36%
December 31
62%
$280,641 ปริมาณ
September 30
36%
December 31
62%
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Meetings or talks limited to humanitarian issues will not qualify unless they also include substantive negotiation regarding broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 17, 2026, 10:20 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Meetings or talks limited to humanitarian issues will not qualify unless they also include substantive negotiation regarding broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Recent diplomatic signals have kept attention on potential Russia-Ukraine peace talks, though core disputes over territory, security guarantees, and ceasefires continue to limit momentum. As of mid-July 2026 the Kremlin stated no immediate prospects for resuming negotiations despite openness to Turkish facilitation, while earlier Geneva talks in February and proposals for direct leader meetings in June produced little progress. U.S. officials, including Secretary of State Marco Rubio in early August, indicated renewed efforts over coming weeks to test resumption, amid battlefield realities where Russia controls roughly one-fifth of Ukrainian territory and recent intensified strikes. Traders weigh these stalled conditions against periodic mediation attempts and holiday ceasefires that have not translated into sustained dialogue.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว


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