A U.S.-brokered three-day ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine from May 9-11 collapsed amid mutual accusations of violations, with fighting resuming immediately thereafter; Ukraine launched drone strikes on Russian oil refineries and ports on May 13, while Russia intensified barrages on Ukrainian cities. Moscow renewed hardline demands for Ukrainian withdrawal from Donbas regions, demilitarization, and neutrality as preconditions for any broader truce, rejecting negotiations without capitulation. Kyiv insists on full Russian troop withdrawal and security guarantees. No progress emerged from the limited prisoner swap, and broader peace talks remain stalled following February's Geneva trilateral meetings, leaving diplomatic prospects dim ahead of any potential year-end resolution amid ongoing escalation signals.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?
ใหม่
$197,770 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
May 31
4%
June 30
11%
October 31
29%
December 31
43%
$197,770 ปริมาณ
May 31
$67,985 ปริมาณ
4%
June 30
$75,391 ปริมาณ
11%
October 31
$14,751 ปริมาณ
29%
December 31
$39,643 ปริมาณ
43%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if there is a ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A ceasefire agreement refers to any mutually-agreed suspension of direct military engagement between Russia and Ukraine, which is either officially announced by both countries or confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting to have been mutually agreed by both countries.
A broader peace deal, normalization agreement, political framework, truce, or humanitarian pause will qualify if it includes a mutually agreed suspension of direct military engagement, to be effective on a specified date. Agreements that outline future negotiations or de-escalation measures without an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not qualify.
Any form of informal understanding, backchannel communication, de-escalation without an announced agreement, or unilateral pause in hostilities will not be considered a ceasefire agreement.
Only agreements which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Agreements which only apply to specific conflict categories (e.g. restrictions on certain target categories or certain locations) will not qualify.
If a qualifying agreement is officially reached before this market’s end date, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of whether the ceasefire agreement officially takes effect after that date.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine and a consensus of credible reporting.A U.S.-brokered three-day ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine from May 9-11 collapsed amid mutual accusations of violations, with fighting resuming immediately thereafter; Ukraine launched drone strikes on Russian oil refineries and ports on May 13, while Russia intensified barrages on Ukrainian cities. Moscow renewed hardline demands for Ukrainian withdrawal from Donbas regions, demilitarization, and neutrality as preconditions for any broader truce, rejecting negotiations without capitulation. Kyiv insists on full Russian troop withdrawal and security guarantees. No progress emerged from the limited prisoner swap, and broader peace talks remain stalled following February's Geneva trilateral meetings, leaving diplomatic prospects dim ahead of any potential year-end resolution amid ongoing escalation signals.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if there is a ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A ceasefire agreement refers to any mutually-agreed suspension of direct military engagement between Russia and Ukraine, which is either officially announced by both countries or confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting to have been mutually agreed by both countries.
A broader peace deal, normalization agreement, political framework, truce, or humanitarian pause will qualify if it includes a mutually agreed suspension of direct military engagement, to be effective on a specified date. Agreements that outline future negotiations or de-escalation measures without an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not qualify.
Any form of informal understanding, backchannel communication, de-escalation without an announced agreement, or unilateral pause in hostilities will not be considered a ceasefire agreement.
Only agreements which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Agreements which only apply to specific conflict categories (e.g. restrictions on certain target categories or certain locations) will not qualify.
If a qualifying agreement is officially reached before this market’s end date, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of whether the ceasefire agreement officially takes effect after that date.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine and a consensus of credible reporting.
A ceasefire agreement refers to any mutually-agreed suspension of direct military engagement between Russia and Ukraine, which is either officially announced by both countries or confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting to have been mutually agreed by both countries.
A broader peace deal, normalization agreement, political framework, truce, or humanitarian pause will qualify if it includes a mutually agreed suspension of direct military engagement, to be effective on a specified date. Agreements that outline future negotiations or de-escalation measures without an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not qualify.
Any form of informal understanding, backchannel communication, de-escalation without an announced agreement, or unilateral pause in hostilities will not be considered a ceasefire agreement.
Only agreements which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Agreements which only apply to specific conflict categories (e.g. restrictions on certain target categories or certain locations) will not qualify.
If a qualifying agreement is officially reached before this market’s end date, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of whether the ceasefire agreement officially takes effect after that date.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine and a consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 12, 2026, 11:28 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$197,770วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 12, 2026, 11:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if there is a ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A ceasefire agreement refers to any mutually-agreed suspension of direct military engagement between Russia and Ukraine, which is either officially announced by both countries or confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting to have been mutually agreed by both countries.
A broader peace deal, normalization agreement, political framework, truce, or humanitarian pause will qualify if it includes a mutually agreed suspension of direct military engagement, to be effective on a specified date. Agreements that outline future negotiations or de-escalation measures without an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not qualify.
Any form of informal understanding, backchannel communication, de-escalation without an announced agreement, or unilateral pause in hostilities will not be considered a ceasefire agreement.
Only agreements which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Agreements which only apply to specific conflict categories (e.g. restrictions on certain target categories or certain locations) will not qualify.
If a qualifying agreement is officially reached before this market’s end date, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of whether the ceasefire agreement officially takes effect after that date.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine and a consensus of credible reporting.A U.S.-brokered three-day ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine from May 9-11 collapsed amid mutual accusations of violations, with fighting resuming immediately thereafter; Ukraine launched drone strikes on Russian oil refineries and ports on May 13, while Russia intensified barrages on Ukrainian cities. Moscow renewed hardline demands for Ukrainian withdrawal from Donbas regions, demilitarization, and neutrality as preconditions for any broader truce, rejecting negotiations without capitulation. Kyiv insists on full Russian troop withdrawal and security guarantees. No progress emerged from the limited prisoner swap, and broader peace talks remain stalled following February's Geneva trilateral meetings, leaving diplomatic prospects dim ahead of any potential year-end resolution amid ongoing escalation signals.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if there is a ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A ceasefire agreement refers to any mutually-agreed suspension of direct military engagement between Russia and Ukraine, which is either officially announced by both countries or confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting to have been mutually agreed by both countries.
A broader peace deal, normalization agreement, political framework, truce, or humanitarian pause will qualify if it includes a mutually agreed suspension of direct military engagement, to be effective on a specified date. Agreements that outline future negotiations or de-escalation measures without an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not qualify.
Any form of informal understanding, backchannel communication, de-escalation without an announced agreement, or unilateral pause in hostilities will not be considered a ceasefire agreement.
Only agreements which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Agreements which only apply to specific conflict categories (e.g. restrictions on certain target categories or certain locations) will not qualify.
If a qualifying agreement is officially reached before this market’s end date, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of whether the ceasefire agreement officially takes effect after that date.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine and a consensus of credible reporting.
A ceasefire agreement refers to any mutually-agreed suspension of direct military engagement between Russia and Ukraine, which is either officially announced by both countries or confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting to have been mutually agreed by both countries.
A broader peace deal, normalization agreement, political framework, truce, or humanitarian pause will qualify if it includes a mutually agreed suspension of direct military engagement, to be effective on a specified date. Agreements that outline future negotiations or de-escalation measures without an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not qualify.
Any form of informal understanding, backchannel communication, de-escalation without an announced agreement, or unilateral pause in hostilities will not be considered a ceasefire agreement.
Only agreements which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Agreements which only apply to specific conflict categories (e.g. restrictions on certain target categories or certain locations) will not qualify.
If a qualifying agreement is officially reached before this market’s end date, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of whether the ceasefire agreement officially takes effect after that date.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine and a consensus of credible reporting.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$197,770วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 12, 2026, 11:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...A U.S.-brokered three-day ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine from May 9-11 collapsed amid mutual accusations of violations, with fighting resuming immediately thereafter; Ukraine launched drone strikes on Russian oil refineries and ports on May 13, while Russia intensified barrages on Ukrainian cities. Moscow renewed hardline demands for Ukrainian withdrawal from Donbas regions, demilitarization, and neutrality as preconditions for any broader truce, rejecting negotiations without capitulation. Kyiv insists on full Russian troop withdrawal and security guarantees. No progress emerged from the limited prisoner swap, and broader peace talks remain stalled following February's Geneva trilateral meetings, leaving diplomatic prospects dim ahead of any potential year-end resolution amid ongoing escalation signals.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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