Ukraine’s ongoing martial law, extended since 2022, continues to prohibit national referendums or elections, blocking any formal scheduling of a peace vote on a deal with Russia absent a prior ceasefire and security guarantees. President Zelenskyy has repeatedly tied such steps to those conditions while rejecting unilateral territorial concessions in Donbas, a stance reinforced during February 2026 Geneva talks and subsequent U.S.-mediated efforts that produced no framework agreement. Recent army reform announcements in May 2026 underscore Kyiv’s focus on sustaining operations amid stalled bilateral negotiations and rejected holiday ceasefires. Public polling shows roughly half of Ukrainians open to a referendum under specific terms, yet over fifty civil society groups have labeled the approach unconstitutional, and Moscow’s demands for further territorial control remain unresolved. These structural and diplomatic barriers sustain low trader expectations for an official scheduling in the near term.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วUkraine peace referendum scheduled by...?
$432,511 ปริมาณ
June 30
5%
September 30
13%
December 31
21%
$432,511 ปริมาณ
June 30
5%
September 30
13%
December 31
21%
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be scheduled once a date for the referendum to take place has been officially scheduled and publicly announced by a relevant Ukrainian government authority with the legal jurisdiction to do so.
Once a qualifying referendum has been scheduled, this market will resolve to “Yes.” Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 29, 2025, 1:32 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be scheduled once a date for the referendum to take place has been officially scheduled and publicly announced by a relevant Ukrainian government authority with the legal jurisdiction to do so.
Once a qualifying referendum has been scheduled, this market will resolve to “Yes.” Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Ukraine’s ongoing martial law, extended since 2022, continues to prohibit national referendums or elections, blocking any formal scheduling of a peace vote on a deal with Russia absent a prior ceasefire and security guarantees. President Zelenskyy has repeatedly tied such steps to those conditions while rejecting unilateral territorial concessions in Donbas, a stance reinforced during February 2026 Geneva talks and subsequent U.S.-mediated efforts that produced no framework agreement. Recent army reform announcements in May 2026 underscore Kyiv’s focus on sustaining operations amid stalled bilateral negotiations and rejected holiday ceasefires. Public polling shows roughly half of Ukrainians open to a referendum under specific terms, yet over fifty civil society groups have labeled the approach unconstitutional, and Moscow’s demands for further territorial control remain unresolved. These structural and diplomatic barriers sustain low trader expectations for an official scheduling in the near term.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย