Stalled diplomatic efforts continue to shape trader views on the low likelihood of a Ukraine-Russia peace agreement before 2027. Russia's insistence on Ukrainian withdrawal from Donbas and other claimed territories as a precondition for substantive talks, combined with Kyiv's requirement for any such concessions to pass a national referendum, has kept negotiations paused following the February 2026 Geneva meetings. Recent Kremlin statements, including Dmitry Peskov's May comments that full-scale talks remain distant and Sergey Lavrov's earlier remarks downplaying urgency, align with ongoing Russian battlefield gains and maximalist positions. These factors sustain the current market pricing, reflecting persistent gaps in territorial and security demands despite intermittent U.S.-mediated contacts and limited humanitarian exchanges.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$571,405 ปริมาณ
$571,405 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
$571,405 ปริมาณ
$571,405 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Ukraine signs any written instrument (e.g., treaty, ceasefire/armistice, framework/“roadmap,” exchange of letters, or mediated agreement text) that: (i) includes both Ukraine and the Russian Federation as parties, and (ii) either ends hostilities/establishes a ceasefire or commits both sides to a defined process toward ending the war (i.e., stated objective of peace/normalization plus principles, steps, and/or a timetable) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Stalled diplomatic efforts continue to shape trader views on the low likelihood of a Ukraine-Russia peace agreement before 2027. Russia's insistence on Ukrainian withdrawal from Donbas and other claimed territories as a precondition for substantive talks, combined with Kyiv's requirement for any such concessions to pass a national referendum, has kept negotiations paused following the February 2026 Geneva meetings. Recent Kremlin statements, including Dmitry Peskov's May comments that full-scale talks remain distant and Sergey Lavrov's earlier remarks downplaying urgency, align with ongoing Russian battlefield gains and maximalist positions. These factors sustain the current market pricing, reflecting persistent gaps in territorial and security demands despite intermittent U.S.-mediated contacts and limited humanitarian exchanges.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Ukraine signs any written instrument (e.g., treaty, ceasefire/armistice, framework/“roadmap,” exchange of letters, or mediated agreement text) that: (i) includes both Ukraine and the Russian Federation as parties, and (ii) either ends hostilities/establishes a ceasefire or commits both sides to a defined process toward ending the war (i.e., stated objective of peace/normalization plus principles, steps, and/or a timetable) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Nov 5, 2025, 12:56 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$571,405วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 5, 2025, 12:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Ukraine signs any written instrument (e.g., treaty, ceasefire/armistice, framework/“roadmap,” exchange of letters, or mediated agreement text) that: (i) includes both Ukraine and the Russian Federation as parties, and (ii) either ends hostilities/establishes a ceasefire or commits both sides to a defined process toward ending the war (i.e., stated objective of peace/normalization plus principles, steps, and/or a timetable) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Stalled diplomatic efforts continue to shape trader views on the low likelihood of a Ukraine-Russia peace agreement before 2027. Russia's insistence on Ukrainian withdrawal from Donbas and other claimed territories as a precondition for substantive talks, combined with Kyiv's requirement for any such concessions to pass a national referendum, has kept negotiations paused following the February 2026 Geneva meetings. Recent Kremlin statements, including Dmitry Peskov's May comments that full-scale talks remain distant and Sergey Lavrov's earlier remarks downplaying urgency, align with ongoing Russian battlefield gains and maximalist positions. These factors sustain the current market pricing, reflecting persistent gaps in territorial and security demands despite intermittent U.S.-mediated contacts and limited humanitarian exchanges.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Ukraine signs any written instrument (e.g., treaty, ceasefire/armistice, framework/“roadmap,” exchange of letters, or mediated agreement text) that: (i) includes both Ukraine and the Russian Federation as parties, and (ii) either ends hostilities/establishes a ceasefire or commits both sides to a defined process toward ending the war (i.e., stated objective of peace/normalization plus principles, steps, and/or a timetable) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$571,405วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 5, 2025, 12:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Stalled diplomatic efforts continue to shape trader views on the low likelihood of a Ukraine-Russia peace agreement before 2027. Russia's insistence on Ukrainian withdrawal from Donbas and other claimed territories as a precondition for substantive talks, combined with Kyiv's requirement for any such concessions to pass a national referendum, has kept negotiations paused following the February 2026 Geneva meetings. Recent Kremlin statements, including Dmitry Peskov's May comments that full-scale talks remain distant and Sergey Lavrov's earlier remarks downplaying urgency, align with ongoing Russian battlefield gains and maximalist positions. These factors sustain the current market pricing, reflecting persistent gaps in territorial and security demands despite intermittent U.S.-mediated contacts and limited humanitarian exchanges.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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