Ongoing military stalemate, unresolved territorial disputes, and stalled U.S.-mediated talks have kept any viable peace agreement out of reach through mid-2026. Ukrainian officials have floated referendum ideas tied to elections or deal approval, yet constitutional and legal barriers under martial law, NGO opposition, and absence of mutually acceptable terms have blocked progress. Recent proposals and envoy visits have produced no breakthroughs amid continued fighting and maximalist positions from both sides. Traders assign the outcome a low implied probability because historical negotiation patterns, polling on Ukrainian preferences, and institutional requirements indicate insufficient time remains before 2027 for a completed referendum. A rapid diplomatic shift or major battlefield change could still open a narrow path.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วUkraine peace referendum passed before 2027?
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?
5% โอกาส
$63,449 ปริมาณ
$63,449 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
5% โอกาส
$63,449 ปริมาณ
$63,449 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially passed in Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ongoing military stalemate, unresolved territorial disputes, and stalled U.S.-mediated talks have kept any viable peace agreement out of reach through mid-2026. Ukrainian officials have floated referendum ideas tied to elections or deal approval, yet constitutional and legal barriers under martial law, NGO opposition, and absence of mutually acceptable terms have blocked progress. Recent proposals and envoy visits have produced no breakthroughs amid continued fighting and maximalist positions from both sides. Traders assign the outcome a low implied probability because historical negotiation patterns, polling on Ukrainian preferences, and institutional requirements indicate insufficient time remains before 2027 for a completed referendum. A rapid diplomatic shift or major battlefield change could still open a narrow path.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially passed in Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 29, 2025, 4:52 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$63,449วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 29, 2025, 4:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially passed in Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ongoing military stalemate, unresolved territorial disputes, and stalled U.S.-mediated talks have kept any viable peace agreement out of reach through mid-2026. Ukrainian officials have floated referendum ideas tied to elections or deal approval, yet constitutional and legal barriers under martial law, NGO opposition, and absence of mutually acceptable terms have blocked progress. Recent proposals and envoy visits have produced no breakthroughs amid continued fighting and maximalist positions from both sides. Traders assign the outcome a low implied probability because historical negotiation patterns, polling on Ukrainian preferences, and institutional requirements indicate insufficient time remains before 2027 for a completed referendum. A rapid diplomatic shift or major battlefield change could still open a narrow path.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially passed in Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$63,449วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 29, 2025, 4:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing military stalemate, unresolved territorial disputes, and stalled U.S.-mediated talks have kept any viable peace agreement out of reach through mid-2026. Ukrainian officials have floated referendum ideas tied to elections or deal approval, yet constitutional and legal barriers under martial law, NGO opposition, and absence of mutually acceptable terms have blocked progress. Recent proposals and envoy visits have produced no breakthroughs amid continued fighting and maximalist positions from both sides. Traders assign the outcome a low implied probability because historical negotiation patterns, polling on Ukrainian preferences, and institutional requirements indicate insufficient time remains before 2027 for a completed referendum. A rapid diplomatic shift or major battlefield change could still open a narrow path.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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