Trader consensus prices a Ukraine peace referendum before 2027 at just 22.5% ("No" leading at 77.5%), driven by ongoing martial law—extended to August 2, 2026—which constitutionally bars national referendums and elections amid active conflict. Early February reports of President Zelenskyy announcing a vote tied to U.S.-backed peace terms fizzled without delivery on the February 24 invasion anniversary, as Kyiv insists on prior ceasefire and security guarantees unmet by stalled talks. A U.S.-brokered three-day truce May 9–11 saw mutual violation accusations and no escalation to sustained de-escalation, reinforcing structural and diplomatic barriers despite polls showing conditional public support. Upcoming Rada votes on further extensions heighten improbability.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วUkraine peace referendum passed before 2027?
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?
$13,102 ปริมาณ
$13,102 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
$13,102 ปริมาณ
$13,102 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially passed in Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices a Ukraine peace referendum before 2027 at just 22.5% ("No" leading at 77.5%), driven by ongoing martial law—extended to August 2, 2026—which constitutionally bars national referendums and elections amid active conflict. Early February reports of President Zelenskyy announcing a vote tied to U.S.-backed peace terms fizzled without delivery on the February 24 invasion anniversary, as Kyiv insists on prior ceasefire and security guarantees unmet by stalled talks. A U.S.-brokered three-day truce May 9–11 saw mutual violation accusations and no escalation to sustained de-escalation, reinforcing structural and diplomatic barriers despite polls showing conditional public support. Upcoming Rada votes on further extensions heighten improbability.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially passed in Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 29, 2025, 4:52 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$13,102วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 29, 2025, 4:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially passed in Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices a Ukraine peace referendum before 2027 at just 22.5% ("No" leading at 77.5%), driven by ongoing martial law—extended to August 2, 2026—which constitutionally bars national referendums and elections amid active conflict. Early February reports of President Zelenskyy announcing a vote tied to U.S.-backed peace terms fizzled without delivery on the February 24 invasion anniversary, as Kyiv insists on prior ceasefire and security guarantees unmet by stalled talks. A U.S.-brokered three-day truce May 9–11 saw mutual violation accusations and no escalation to sustained de-escalation, reinforcing structural and diplomatic barriers despite polls showing conditional public support. Upcoming Rada votes on further extensions heighten improbability.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially passed in Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$13,102วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 29, 2025, 4:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices a Ukraine peace referendum before 2027 at just 22.5% ("No" leading at 77.5%), driven by ongoing martial law—extended to August 2, 2026—which constitutionally bars national referendums and elections amid active conflict. Early February reports of President Zelenskyy announcing a vote tied to U.S.-backed peace terms fizzled without delivery on the February 24 invasion anniversary, as Kyiv insists on prior ceasefire and security guarantees unmet by stalled talks. A U.S.-brokered three-day truce May 9–11 saw mutual violation accusations and no escalation to sustained de-escalation, reinforcing structural and diplomatic barriers despite polls showing conditional public support. Upcoming Rada votes on further extensions heighten improbability.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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