The US capture of Nicolás Maduro in a January 2026 military operation and Delcy Rodríguez’s subsequent assumption of interim authority have anchored trader expectations around regime continuity through the end of 2026, with loyalist networks and military reshuffles preserving institutional control despite the transition. Delcy’s cabinet adjustments, including new defense leadership, and the passage of an amnesty law under pressure from the United States reflect incremental policy shifts without a decisive break from chavismo, sustaining her position as the strongest alternative while opposition figures such as María Corina Machado and Edmundo González remain sidelined by exile, internal divisions, and limited institutional access. Scheduled diplomatic engagements and oil-sector negotiations with Washington further signal external recognition of the interim structure, limiting near-term openings for challengers. Market pricing therefore embeds the view that structural barriers to full power rotation will persist absent major new military or electoral developments before December 2026.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วผู้นำเวเนซุเอลาสิ้นสุดปี 2026?
ผู้นำเวเนซุเอลาสิ้นสุดปี 2026?
นิโคลัส มาดูโร 63.5%
เดลซี โรดริเกซ 21%
มาเรีย โครีนา มาชาโด 9%
ดิโอสดาโด คาเบโญ่ รอนดอน 1.0%
$88,033,680 ปริมาณ
$88,033,680 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
นิโคลัส มาดูโร
63%
เดลซี โรดริเกซ
21%
มาเรีย โครีนา มาชาโด
9%
ดิโอสดาโด คาเบโญ่ รอนดอน
1%
ฆอร์เก้ โรดริเกซ
1%
โดนัลด์ ทรัมป์
1%
เอ็ดมันโด กอนซาเลซ
1%
ไม่มีประมุขแห่งรัฐ
1%
อีวาน เพตัส
<1%
มาร์โก รูบิโอ
<1%
Dinorah Figuera
<1%
วลาดิเมียร์ ปาดริโน โลเปซ
<1%
แดน เคน
<1%
ปีเตอร์ เฮกเซธ
<1%
แฟรงค์ โดโนแวน
<1%
ริชาร์ด เกรเนลล์
<1%
นิโคลัส มาดูโร 63.5%
เดลซี โรดริเกซ 21%
มาเรีย โครีนา มาชาโด 9%
ดิโอสดาโด คาเบโญ่ รอนดอน 1.0%
$88,033,680 ปริมาณ
$88,033,680 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
นิโคลัส มาดูโร
$1,696,166 ปริมาณ
63%
เดลซี โรดริเกซ
$1,597,188 ปริมาณ
21%
มาเรีย โครีนา มาชาโด
$1,054,558 ปริมาณ
9%
ดิโอสดาโด คาเบโญ่ รอนดอน
$1,673,990 ปริมาณ
1%
ฆอร์เก้ โรดริเกซ
$1,002,494 ปริมาณ
1%
โดนัลด์ ทรัมป์
$912,727 ปริมาณ
1%
เอ็ดมันโด กอนซาเลซ
$811,806 ปริมาณ
1%
ไม่มีประมุขแห่งรัฐ
$1,066,055 ปริมาณ
1%
อีวาน เพตัส
$5,067,335 ปริมาณ
<1%
มาร์โก รูบิโอ
$953,612 ปริมาณ
<1%
Dinorah Figuera
$2,339,239 ปริมาณ
<1%
วลาดิเมียร์ ปาดริโน โลเปซ
$666,111 ปริมาณ
<1%
แดน เคน
$3,564,041 ปริมาณ
<1%
ปีเตอร์ เฮกเซธ
$8,572,883 ปริมาณ
<1%
แฟรงค์ โดโนแวน
$25,048,442 ปริมาณ
<1%
ริชาร์ด เกรเนลล์
$32,007,953 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
The US capture of Nicolás Maduro in a January 2026 military operation and Delcy Rodríguez’s subsequent assumption of interim authority have anchored trader expectations around regime continuity through the end of 2026, with loyalist networks and military reshuffles preserving institutional control despite the transition. Delcy’s cabinet adjustments, including new defense leadership, and the passage of an amnesty law under pressure from the United States reflect incremental policy shifts without a decisive break from chavismo, sustaining her position as the strongest alternative while opposition figures such as María Corina Machado and Edmundo González remain sidelined by exile, internal divisions, and limited institutional access. Scheduled diplomatic engagements and oil-sector negotiations with Washington further signal external recognition of the interim structure, limiting near-term openings for challengers. Market pricing therefore embeds the view that structural barriers to full power rotation will persist absent major new military or electoral developments before December 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$88,033,680วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
The US capture of Nicolás Maduro in a January 2026 military operation and Delcy Rodríguez’s subsequent assumption of interim authority have anchored trader expectations around regime continuity through the end of 2026, with loyalist networks and military reshuffles preserving institutional control despite the transition. Delcy’s cabinet adjustments, including new defense leadership, and the passage of an amnesty law under pressure from the United States reflect incremental policy shifts without a decisive break from chavismo, sustaining her position as the strongest alternative while opposition figures such as María Corina Machado and Edmundo González remain sidelined by exile, internal divisions, and limited institutional access. Scheduled diplomatic engagements and oil-sector negotiations with Washington further signal external recognition of the interim structure, limiting near-term openings for challengers. Market pricing therefore embeds the view that structural barriers to full power rotation will persist absent major new military or electoral developments before December 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$88,033,680วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The US capture of Nicolás Maduro in a January 2026 military operation and Delcy Rodríguez’s subsequent assumption of interim authority have anchored trader expectations around regime continuity through the end of 2026, with loyalist networks and military reshuffles preserving institutional control despite the transition. Delcy’s cabinet adjustments, including new defense leadership, and the passage of an amnesty law under pressure from the United States reflect incremental policy shifts without a decisive break from chavismo, sustaining her position as the strongest alternative while opposition figures such as María Corina Machado and Edmundo González remain sidelined by exile, internal divisions, and limited institutional access. Scheduled diplomatic engagements and oil-sector negotiations with Washington further signal external recognition of the interim structure, limiting near-term openings for challengers. Market pricing therefore embeds the view that structural barriers to full power rotation will persist absent major new military or electoral developments before December 2026.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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