Nicolás Maduro holds an overwhelming 82% implied probability as Venezuela's leader by the end of 2026, reflecting trader assessment that core regime structures and military loyalties have endured despite his January 2026 removal by U.S. forces. Delcy Rodríguez, sworn in as interim president and a close Maduro ally, sits at 9.5% amid ongoing cooperation with Washington on oil and sanctions relief. Opposition figures including María Corina Machado trail sharply at 2.5%, as formal talks between the acting government and select opposition representatives opened in early August 2026 with a focus on institutional reforms and a potential election roadmap, yet without a firm timeline or guarantees of power transfer. Recent prisoner releases and diplomatic engagement have not yet altered the balance of control or shifted consensus away from continuity under chavista networks.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วผู้นำเวเนซุเอลาสิ้นสุดปี 2026?
ผู้นำเวเนซุเอลาสิ้นสุดปี 2026?
นิโคลัส มาดูโร 82.1%
เดลซี โรดริเกซ 10%
มาเรีย โครีนา มาชาโด 2.6%
ไม่มีประมุขแห่งรัฐ <1%
$95,572,360 ปริมาณ
$95,572,360 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
นิโคลัส มาดูโร
82%
เดลซี โรดริเกซ
10%
มาเรีย โครีนา มาชาโด
3%
ไม่มีประมุขแห่งรัฐ
1%
ฆอร์เก้ โรดริเกซ
<1%
เอ็ดมันโด กอนซาเลซ
<1%
ดิโอสดาโด คาเบโญ่ รอนดอน
<1%
วลาดิเมียร์ ปาดริโน โลเปซ
<1%
Dinorah Figuera
<1%
อีวาน เพตัส
<1%
โดนัลด์ ทรัมป์
<1%
มาร์โก รูบิโอ
<1%
ปีเตอร์ เฮกเซธ
<1%
แฟรงค์ โดโนแวน
<1%
แดน เคน
<1%
ริชาร์ด เกรเนลล์
<1%
นิโคลัส มาดูโร 82.1%
เดลซี โรดริเกซ 10%
มาเรีย โครีนา มาชาโด 2.6%
ไม่มีประมุขแห่งรัฐ <1%
$95,572,360 ปริมาณ
$95,572,360 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
นิโคลัส มาดูโร
$2,749,634 ปริมาณ
82%
เดลซี โรดริเกซ
$1,765,342 ปริมาณ
10%
มาเรีย โครีนา มาชาโด
$1,443,258 ปริมาณ
3%
ไม่มีประมุขแห่งรัฐ
$1,512,106 ปริมาณ
1%
ฆอร์เก้ โรดริเกซ
$1,152,012 ปริมาณ
<1%
เอ็ดมันโด กอนซาเลซ
$1,213,253 ปริมาณ
<1%
ดิโอสดาโด คาเบโญ่ รอนดอน
$2,086,363 ปริมาณ
<1%
วลาดิเมียร์ ปาดริโน โลเปซ
$802,484 ปริมาณ
<1%
Dinorah Figuera
$2,972,345 ปริมาณ
<1%
อีวาน เพตัส
$5,632,052 ปริมาณ
<1%
โดนัลด์ ทรัมป์
$1,120,476 ปริมาณ
<1%
มาร์โก รูบิโอ
$1,397,332 ปริมาณ
<1%
ปีเตอร์ เฮกเซธ
$9,174,212 ปริมาณ
<1%
แฟรงค์ โดโนแวน
$25,800,625 ปริมาณ
<1%
แดน เคน
$4,113,079 ปริมาณ
<1%
ริชาร์ด เกรเนลล์
$32,638,258 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
Nicolás Maduro holds an overwhelming 82% implied probability as Venezuela's leader by the end of 2026, reflecting trader assessment that core regime structures and military loyalties have endured despite his January 2026 removal by U.S. forces. Delcy Rodríguez, sworn in as interim president and a close Maduro ally, sits at 9.5% amid ongoing cooperation with Washington on oil and sanctions relief. Opposition figures including María Corina Machado trail sharply at 2.5%, as formal talks between the acting government and select opposition representatives opened in early August 2026 with a focus on institutional reforms and a potential election roadmap, yet without a firm timeline or guarantees of power transfer. Recent prisoner releases and diplomatic engagement have not yet altered the balance of control or shifted consensus away from continuity under chavista networks.
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$95,572,360วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
Nicolás Maduro holds an overwhelming 82% implied probability as Venezuela's leader by the end of 2026, reflecting trader assessment that core regime structures and military loyalties have endured despite his January 2026 removal by U.S. forces. Delcy Rodríguez, sworn in as interim president and a close Maduro ally, sits at 9.5% amid ongoing cooperation with Washington on oil and sanctions relief. Opposition figures including María Corina Machado trail sharply at 2.5%, as formal talks between the acting government and select opposition representatives opened in early August 2026 with a focus on institutional reforms and a potential election roadmap, yet without a firm timeline or guarantees of power transfer. Recent prisoner releases and diplomatic engagement have not yet altered the balance of control or shifted consensus away from continuity under chavista networks.
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$95,572,360วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Nicolás Maduro holds an overwhelming 82% implied probability as Venezuela's leader by the end of 2026, reflecting trader assessment that core regime structures and military loyalties have endured despite his January 2026 removal by U.S. forces. Delcy Rodríguez, sworn in as interim president and a close Maduro ally, sits at 9.5% amid ongoing cooperation with Washington on oil and sanctions relief. Opposition figures including María Corina Machado trail sharply at 2.5%, as formal talks between the acting government and select opposition representatives opened in early August 2026 with a focus on institutional reforms and a potential election roadmap, yet without a firm timeline or guarantees of power transfer. Recent prisoner releases and diplomatic engagement have not yet altered the balance of control or shifted consensus away from continuity under chavista networks.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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