**U.S. recognition of María Corina Machado as Venezuela’s leader by December 31 faces near-certain trader consensus against it at 96.6 percent.** Following the January 2026 U.S. operation that removed Nicolás Maduro, the Trump administration installed and recognized Delcy Rodríguez as interim president, reestablished diplomatic ties with her government, and prioritized stabilization and negotiations that sidelined Machado and Edmundo González. Recent rounds of talks have proceeded without opposition leaders, and U.S. statements have emphasized continuity with the current interim authorities rather than installing Machado. Machado, the 2025 Nobel laureate, remains in exile, has publicly criticized the process, and plans a return only by late 2026 to contest future elections. This alignment of U.S. policy with Rodríguez’s interim role, combined with the absence of any announced shift toward recognizing Machado as head of state, underpins the strong market pricing. While a sudden policy reversal, breakthrough elections favoring her, or major diplomatic rupture could theoretically alter the outcome before year-end, no such catalysts have emerged in recent months.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วU.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?
4% โอกาส
$179,084 ปริมาณ
$179,084 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
4% โอกาส
$179,084 ปริมาณ
$179,084 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Maria Corina Machado as the leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.
A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**U.S. recognition of María Corina Machado as Venezuela’s leader by December 31 faces near-certain trader consensus against it at 96.6 percent.**
Following the January 2026 U.S. operation that removed Nicolás Maduro, the Trump administration installed and recognized Delcy Rodríguez as interim president, reestablished diplomatic ties with her government, and prioritized stabilization and negotiations that sidelined Machado and Edmundo González. Recent rounds of talks have proceeded without opposition leaders, and U.S. statements have emphasized continuity with the current interim authorities rather than installing Machado. Machado, the 2025 Nobel laureate, remains in exile, has publicly criticized the process, and plans a return only by late 2026 to contest future elections.
This alignment of U.S. policy with Rodríguez’s interim role, combined with the absence of any announced shift toward recognizing Machado as head of state, underpins the strong market pricing. While a sudden policy reversal, breakthrough elections favoring her, or major diplomatic rupture could theoretically alter the outcome before year-end, no such catalysts have emerged in recent months.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Maria Corina Machado as the leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.
A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.
A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 30, 2026, 7:21 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$179,084วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 30, 2026, 7:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Maria Corina Machado as the leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.
A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**U.S. recognition of María Corina Machado as Venezuela’s leader by December 31 faces near-certain trader consensus against it at 96.6 percent.**
Following the January 2026 U.S. operation that removed Nicolás Maduro, the Trump administration installed and recognized Delcy Rodríguez as interim president, reestablished diplomatic ties with her government, and prioritized stabilization and negotiations that sidelined Machado and Edmundo González. Recent rounds of talks have proceeded without opposition leaders, and U.S. statements have emphasized continuity with the current interim authorities rather than installing Machado. Machado, the 2025 Nobel laureate, remains in exile, has publicly criticized the process, and plans a return only by late 2026 to contest future elections.
This alignment of U.S. policy with Rodríguez’s interim role, combined with the absence of any announced shift toward recognizing Machado as head of state, underpins the strong market pricing. While a sudden policy reversal, breakthrough elections favoring her, or major diplomatic rupture could theoretically alter the outcome before year-end, no such catalysts have emerged in recent months.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Maria Corina Machado as the leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.
A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.
A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$179,084วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 30, 2026, 7:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**U.S. recognition of María Corina Machado as Venezuela’s leader by December 31 faces near-certain trader consensus against it at 96.6 percent.** Following the January 2026 U.S. operation that removed Nicolás Maduro, the Trump administration installed and recognized Delcy Rodríguez as interim president, reestablished diplomatic ties with her government, and prioritized stabilization and negotiations that sidelined Machado and Edmundo González. Recent rounds of talks have proceeded without opposition leaders, and U.S. statements have emphasized continuity with the current interim authorities rather than installing Machado. Machado, the 2025 Nobel laureate, remains in exile, has publicly criticized the process, and plans a return only by late 2026 to contest future elections. This alignment of U.S. policy with Rodríguez’s interim role, combined with the absence of any announced shift toward recognizing Machado as head of state, underpins the strong market pricing. While a sudden policy reversal, breakthrough elections favoring her, or major diplomatic rupture could theoretically alter the outcome before year-end, no such catalysts have emerged in recent months.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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