Delcy Rodríguez holds a commanding lead in trader consensus as Venezuela’s de facto leader through the end of 2026 because she assumed interim presidential powers in January 2026 after U.S. forces captured Nicolás Maduro, with the Supreme Tribunal of Justice designating her acting president and the military high command endorsing continuity. She has since consolidated authority through cabinet control, selective prisoner releases, judicial and media adjustments, and energy-sector deals that secured U.S. recognition and sanctions relief. Ongoing talks between National Assembly President Jorge Rodríguez and opposition figures such as Dinorah Figuera have produced incremental reforms but no firm election timeline. A sudden shift in U.S. policy, internal military realignment, or accelerated transition negotiations could still alter the outcome before year-end.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วVenezuela de facto leader end of 2026?
Delcy Rodríguez 93%
María Corina Machado 4.0%
Marco Rubio 1.4%
No Head of State <1%
$399,640 ปริมาณ
$399,640 ปริมาณ
Delcy Rodríguez
93%
María Corina Machado
4%
Marco Rubio
1%
No Head of State
1%
Dinorah Figuera
<1%
Jorge Rodríguez
<1%
Edmundo González
<1%
Dan Caine
<1%
Frank Donovan
<1%
Nicolás Maduro
<1%
Diosdado Cabello Rondón
<1%
Donald Trump
<1%
Vladimir Padrino López
<1%
Evan Pettus
<1%
Pete Hegseth
<1%
Richard Grenell
<1%
Delcy Rodríguez 93%
María Corina Machado 4.0%
Marco Rubio 1.4%
No Head of State <1%
$399,640 ปริมาณ
$399,640 ปริมาณ
Delcy Rodríguez
93%
María Corina Machado
4%
Marco Rubio
1%
No Head of State
1%
Dinorah Figuera
<1%
Jorge Rodríguez
<1%
Edmundo González
<1%
Dan Caine
<1%
Frank Donovan
<1%
Nicolás Maduro
<1%
Diosdado Cabello Rondón
<1%
Donald Trump
<1%
Vladimir Padrino López
<1%
Evan Pettus
<1%
Pete Hegseth
<1%
Richard Grenell
<1%
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 4, 2026, 3:50 PM ET
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Delcy Rodríguez holds a commanding lead in trader consensus as Venezuela’s de facto leader through the end of 2026 because she assumed interim presidential powers in January 2026 after U.S. forces captured Nicolás Maduro, with the Supreme Tribunal of Justice designating her acting president and the military high command endorsing continuity. She has since consolidated authority through cabinet control, selective prisoner releases, judicial and media adjustments, and energy-sector deals that secured U.S. recognition and sanctions relief. Ongoing talks between National Assembly President Jorge Rodríguez and opposition figures such as Dinorah Figuera have produced incremental reforms but no firm election timeline. A sudden shift in U.S. policy, internal military realignment, or accelerated transition negotiations could still alter the outcome before year-end.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว



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