Trader consensus prices a Ukraine coup attempt by June 30 at just 4.2%, reflecting no verifiable signs of internal dissent or plotting amid martial law, which suspends elections and centralizes President Zelenskyy's authority. Ukraine's security service (SBU) continues thwarting Russian-backed subversion, as seen in prior cases, while armed forces remain unified on the frontline against invasion. Absent major developments in the past 30 days—like high-profile defections or battlefield collapses—stability persists despite mobilization strains. Scenarios that could shift odds include elite betrayals, assassination attempts, or sudden territorial losses, though structural loyalty and Western support make these improbable before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วใหม่
ใหม่
Jun 30, 2026
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus prices a Ukraine coup attempt by June 30 at just 4.2%, reflecting no verifiable signs of internal dissent or plotting amid martial law, which suspends elections and centralizes President Zelenskyy's authority. Ukraine's security service (SBU) continues thwarting Russian-backed subversion, as seen in prior cases, while armed forces remain unified on the frontline against invasion. Absent major developments in the past 30 days—like high-profile defections or battlefield collapses—stability persists despite mobilization strains. Scenarios that could shift odds include elite betrayals, assassination attempts, or sudden territorial losses, though structural loyalty and Western support make these improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 29, 2025, 4:46 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$9,714วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 29, 2025, 4:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus prices a Ukraine coup attempt by June 30 at just 4.2%, reflecting no verifiable signs of internal dissent or plotting amid martial law, which suspends elections and centralizes President Zelenskyy's authority. Ukraine's security service (SBU) continues thwarting Russian-backed subversion, as seen in prior cases, while armed forces remain unified on the frontline against invasion. Absent major developments in the past 30 days—like high-profile defections or battlefield collapses—stability persists despite mobilization strains. Scenarios that could shift odds include elite betrayals, assassination attempts, or sudden territorial losses, though structural loyalty and Western support make these improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$9,714วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 29, 2025, 4:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices a Ukraine coup attempt by June 30 at just 4.2%, reflecting no verifiable signs of internal dissent or plotting amid martial law, which suspends elections and centralizes President Zelenskyy's authority. Ukraine's security service (SBU) continues thwarting Russian-backed subversion, as seen in prior cases, while armed forces remain unified on the frontline against invasion. Absent major developments in the past 30 days—like high-profile defections or battlefield collapses—stability persists despite mobilization strains. Scenarios that could shift odds include elite betrayals, assassination attempts, or sudden territorial losses, though structural loyalty and Western support make these improbable before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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