Lula maintains a commanding lead in trader pricing for first place in Sergipe’s first-round vote due to his deep roots in the Northeast, where the Workers’ Party has long dominated state-level results and voter loyalty remains high. His formal launch of a fourth-term bid in early August reinforced visibility, while national polls show him ahead of rivals such as Flávio Bolsonaro by double digits in simulated first-round scenarios. Sergipe’s demographic and historical patterns further anchor this position ahead of the October 4 vote. Shifts could occur if opposition turnout surges or late economic discontent spreads regionally, though current evidence points to structural advantages that have proven durable in prior cycles.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLula 94%
Clariana Barao 4.0%
Flavio Bolsonaro 1.3%
Edmilson Costa <1%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Oct 4, 2026
Lula
94%
Clariana Barao
4%
Flavio Bolsonaro
1%
Edmilson Costa
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
<1%
Hertz Dias
<1%
Pablo Marçal
<1%
Renan Santos
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
<1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
<1%
Samara
<1%
Zema
<1%
Lula 94%
Clariana Barao 4.0%
Flavio Bolsonaro 1.3%
Edmilson Costa <1%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Oct 4, 2026
Lula
$4,175 ปริมาณ
94%
Clariana Barao
$895 ปริมาณ
4%
Flavio Bolsonaro
$541 ปริมาณ
1%
Edmilson Costa
$390 ปริมาณ
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
$390 ปริมาณ
<1%
Hertz Dias
$390 ปริมาณ
<1%
Pablo Marçal
$390 ปริมาณ
<1%
Renan Santos
$390 ปริมาณ
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
$390 ปริมาณ
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$390 ปริมาณ
<1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
$390 ปริมาณ
<1%
Samara
$441 ปริมาณ
<1%
Zema
$331 ปริมาณ
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Sergipe, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Sergipe.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Sergipe. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula maintains a commanding lead in trader pricing for first place in Sergipe’s first-round vote due to his deep roots in the Northeast, where the Workers’ Party has long dominated state-level results and voter loyalty remains high. His formal launch of a fourth-term bid in early August reinforced visibility, while national polls show him ahead of rivals such as Flávio Bolsonaro by double digits in simulated first-round scenarios. Sergipe’s demographic and historical patterns further anchor this position ahead of the October 4 vote. Shifts could occur if opposition turnout surges or late economic discontent spreads regionally, though current evidence points to structural advantages that have proven durable in prior cycles.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Sergipe, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Sergipe.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Sergipe. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Sergipe.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Sergipe. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 17, 2026, 6:36 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$9,503วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 6:36 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Sergipe, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Sergipe.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Sergipe. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula maintains a commanding lead in trader pricing for first place in Sergipe’s first-round vote due to his deep roots in the Northeast, where the Workers’ Party has long dominated state-level results and voter loyalty remains high. His formal launch of a fourth-term bid in early August reinforced visibility, while national polls show him ahead of rivals such as Flávio Bolsonaro by double digits in simulated first-round scenarios. Sergipe’s demographic and historical patterns further anchor this position ahead of the October 4 vote. Shifts could occur if opposition turnout surges or late economic discontent spreads regionally, though current evidence points to structural advantages that have proven durable in prior cycles.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Sergipe, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Sergipe.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Sergipe. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Sergipe.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Sergipe. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$9,503วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 6:36 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Lula maintains a commanding lead in trader pricing for first place in Sergipe’s first-round vote due to his deep roots in the Northeast, where the Workers’ Party has long dominated state-level results and voter loyalty remains high. His formal launch of a fourth-term bid in early August reinforced visibility, while national polls show him ahead of rivals such as Flávio Bolsonaro by double digits in simulated first-round scenarios. Sergipe’s demographic and historical patterns further anchor this position ahead of the October 4 vote. Shifts could occur if opposition turnout surges or late economic discontent spreads regionally, though current evidence points to structural advantages that have proven durable in prior cycles.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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