Lula maintains a clear lead in recent Pará polling for the October 2026 first round, with surveys from mid-September showing him at 41-45% against Flávio Bolsonaro’s 33-37% and smaller shares for candidates such as Augusto Cury and Renan Santos. This positioning aligns with the state’s historical support for the Workers’ Party and recent federal welfare adjustments that bolster incumbency advantages ahead of the vote. Trader consensus at 91% for Lula reflects these sustained margins and limited movement among challengers. Potential shifts could arise from late-campaign developments, changes in turnout among northern voters, or unexpected gains by rising minor candidates if broader national dynamics intensify.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLula 94%
Flavio Bolsonaro 4.8%
Hertz Dias <1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi <1%
$19,925 ปริมาณ
$19,925 ปริมาณ

Lula
94%

Flavio Bolsonaro
5%

Hertz Dias
<1%

Veterinário Wilson Grassi
<1%

Clariana Barao
<1%

Pablo Marçal
<1%

Edmilson Costa
<1%

Ronaldo Caiado
<1%

Rui Costa Pimenta
<1%

Samara
<1%

Escritor Augusto Cury
<1%

Renan Santos
<1%

Zema
<1%
Lula 94%
Flavio Bolsonaro 4.8%
Hertz Dias <1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi <1%
$19,925 ปริมาณ
$19,925 ปริมาณ

Lula
94%

Flavio Bolsonaro
5%

Hertz Dias
<1%

Veterinário Wilson Grassi
<1%

Clariana Barao
<1%

Pablo Marçal
<1%

Edmilson Costa
<1%

Ronaldo Caiado
<1%

Rui Costa Pimenta
<1%

Samara
<1%

Escritor Augusto Cury
<1%

Renan Santos
<1%

Zema
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pará.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pará. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 17, 2026, 6:32 AM ET
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pará.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pará. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Lula maintains a clear lead in recent Pará polling for the October 2026 first round, with surveys from mid-September showing him at 41-45% against Flávio Bolsonaro’s 33-37% and smaller shares for candidates such as Augusto Cury and Renan Santos. This positioning aligns with the state’s historical support for the Workers’ Party and recent federal welfare adjustments that bolster incumbency advantages ahead of the vote. Trader consensus at 91% for Lula reflects these sustained margins and limited movement among challengers. Potential shifts could arise from late-campaign developments, changes in turnout among northern voters, or unexpected gains by rising minor candidates if broader national dynamics intensify.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
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