Hana Ghassan, the incumbent MDB governor who assumed office after Helder Barbalho's resignation to run for Senate, leads recent polling with 38-40% support in the first round against Dr. Daniel Santos (Podemos) at 32-35%, a gap often outside the margin of error. Her broad coalition backing and institutional agenda events in Belém and the interior over the past week reinforce trader consensus around her 59.5% implied probability of winning the October 4 first round or potential October 25 runoff. Daniel's consistent second-place showing and name recognition keep his odds near 32.5%, while other registered candidates like Araceli Lemos and José Moita remain in single digits and below 1% market pricing. The race stays competitive due to high undecided shares near 13-24% and the state's electoral dynamics, with any late shifts in turnout or alliances potentially narrowing the gap before voting.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHana Ghassan 62%
Dr. Daniel Santos 39%
Éder Mauro 1.2%
Dirceu Ten Caten <1%
$46,612 ปริมาณ
$46,612 ปริมาณ
Oct 4, 2026
Hana Ghassan
62%
Dr. Daniel Santos
27%
Éder Mauro
1%
Dirceu Ten Caten
<1%
Zequinha Marinho
<1%
Rogério Barra
<1%
Paulo Rocha
<1%
Hana Ghassan 62%
Dr. Daniel Santos 39%
Éder Mauro 1.2%
Dirceu Ten Caten <1%
$46,612 ปริมาณ
$46,612 ปริมาณ
Oct 4, 2026
Hana Ghassan
$17,312 ปริมาณ
62%
Dr. Daniel Santos
$12,558 ปริมาณ
27%
Éder Mauro
$5,308 ปริมาณ
1%
Dirceu Ten Caten
$2,835 ปริมาณ
<1%
Zequinha Marinho
$2,831 ปริมาณ
<1%
Rogério Barra
$2,892 ปริมาณ
<1%
Paulo Rocha
$2,875 ปริมาณ
<1%
The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Hana Ghassan, the incumbent MDB governor who assumed office after Helder Barbalho's resignation to run for Senate, leads recent polling with 38-40% support in the first round against Dr. Daniel Santos (Podemos) at 32-35%, a gap often outside the margin of error. Her broad coalition backing and institutional agenda events in Belém and the interior over the past week reinforce trader consensus around her 59.5% implied probability of winning the October 4 first round or potential October 25 runoff. Daniel's consistent second-place showing and name recognition keep his odds near 32.5%, while other registered candidates like Araceli Lemos and José Moita remain in single digits and below 1% market pricing. The race stays competitive due to high undecided shares near 13-24% and the state's electoral dynamics, with any late shifts in turnout or alliances potentially narrowing the gap before voting.
The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 9, 2026, 10:18 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$46,612วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 9, 2026, 10:18 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Hana Ghassan, the incumbent MDB governor who assumed office after Helder Barbalho's resignation to run for Senate, leads recent polling with 38-40% support in the first round against Dr. Daniel Santos (Podemos) at 32-35%, a gap often outside the margin of error. Her broad coalition backing and institutional agenda events in Belém and the interior over the past week reinforce trader consensus around her 59.5% implied probability of winning the October 4 first round or potential October 25 runoff. Daniel's consistent second-place showing and name recognition keep his odds near 32.5%, while other registered candidates like Araceli Lemos and José Moita remain in single digits and below 1% market pricing. The race stays competitive due to high undecided shares near 13-24% and the state's electoral dynamics, with any late shifts in turnout or alliances potentially narrowing the gap before voting.
The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$46,612วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 9, 2026, 10:18 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Hana Ghassan, the incumbent MDB governor who assumed office after Helder Barbalho's resignation to run for Senate, leads recent polling with 38-40% support in the first round against Dr. Daniel Santos (Podemos) at 32-35%, a gap often outside the margin of error. Her broad coalition backing and institutional agenda events in Belém and the interior over the past week reinforce trader consensus around her 59.5% implied probability of winning the October 4 first round or potential October 25 runoff. Daniel's consistent second-place showing and name recognition keep his odds near 32.5%, while other registered candidates like Araceli Lemos and José Moita remain in single digits and below 1% market pricing. The race stays competitive due to high undecided shares near 13-24% and the state's electoral dynamics, with any late shifts in turnout or alliances potentially narrowing the gap before voting.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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