Incumbent President Iliana Iotova leads trader consensus at 60.5% implied probability for Bulgaria's presidential election, scheduled by autumn 2026, following her Progressive Bulgaria coalition's landslide victory in the April 19 snap parliamentary election, where former President Rumen Radev secured a mandate to form a government on May 5. This momentum, combined with Iotova's incumbency since January 2026 after Radev's resignation, has elevated her as the clear frontrunner ahead of a likely two-round contest. Pro-EU challengers Nikolai Denkov (12%) of We Continue the Change-Democrats and Sofia Mayor Vassil Terziev (11.9%) trail after their bloc's weak parliamentary performance, while GERB's Rosen Zhelyazkov (4.5%) and Boyko Borissov (2.5%) lag further, reflecting ongoing coalition negotiations and voter fatigue with repeated elections.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วBulgaria Presidential Election
Bulgaria Presidential Election
Iliana Iotova 61%
Nikolai Denkov 12%
Vassil Terziev 11.9%
Rosen Zhelyazkov 5%
$101,230 ปริมาณ
$101,230 ปริมาณ
Iliana Iotova
61%
Nikolai Denkov
12%
Vassil Terziev
12%
Rosen Zhelyazkov
5%
Boyko Borissov
3%
Blagomir Kotsev
<1%
Kostadin Kostadinov
<1%
Atanas Atanasov
<1%
Delyan Peevski
<1%
Rosen Plevneliev
<1%
Krum Zarkov
<1%
Yanaki Stoilov
<1%
Natalia Kiselova
<1%
Iliana Iotova 61%
Nikolai Denkov 12%
Vassil Terziev 11.9%
Rosen Zhelyazkov 5%
$101,230 ปริมาณ
$101,230 ปริมาณ
Iliana Iotova
61%
Nikolai Denkov
12%
Vassil Terziev
12%
Rosen Zhelyazkov
5%
Boyko Borissov
3%
Blagomir Kotsev
<1%
Kostadin Kostadinov
<1%
Atanas Atanasov
<1%
Delyan Peevski
<1%
Rosen Plevneliev
<1%
Krum Zarkov
<1%
Yanaki Stoilov
<1%
Natalia Kiselova
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 19, 2026, 3:12 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent President Iliana Iotova leads trader consensus at 60.5% implied probability for Bulgaria's presidential election, scheduled by autumn 2026, following her Progressive Bulgaria coalition's landslide victory in the April 19 snap parliamentary election, where former President Rumen Radev secured a mandate to form a government on May 5. This momentum, combined with Iotova's incumbency since January 2026 after Radev's resignation, has elevated her as the clear frontrunner ahead of a likely two-round contest. Pro-EU challengers Nikolai Denkov (12%) of We Continue the Change-Democrats and Sofia Mayor Vassil Terziev (11.9%) trail after their bloc's weak parliamentary performance, while GERB's Rosen Zhelyazkov (4.5%) and Boyko Borissov (2.5%) lag further, reflecting ongoing coalition negotiations and voter fatigue with repeated elections.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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