President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva’s Workers’ Party has aligned its 2026 electoral strategy around his candidacy for a fourth term, with the April National Congress endorsing a manifesto that prioritizes his re-election and directs resources toward building broader alliances against right-wing opponents. Party president Edinho Silva has publicly committed to advancing Lula’s nomination, including by adjusting state-level tickets, while Lula’s March confirmation of Geraldo Alckmin as running mate and ongoing polling strength reinforce internal cohesion. These steps position formal party registration by the August 1 TSE deadline—and the market’s August 15 cutoff—as a largely procedural outcome, though recent delays in launching the full campaign and alliance uncertainties in key states introduce limited timing risk. Trader consensus at 87 percent reflects this established momentum and the absence of credible internal challengers.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$11,157 ปริมาณ
$11,157 ปริมาณ
Aug 15, 2026
$11,157 ปริมาณ
$11,157 ปริมาณ
Aug 15, 2026
The 2026 Brazil presidential election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. Political parties must file candidate registration applications with the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) for the 2026 Brazil presidential election by August 15, 2026, 7:00 PM Brasília time (UTC−03:00).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Workers’ Party (Partido dos Trabalhadores, PT) files a candidate registration application nominating Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva for President of Brazil by August 15, 2026, 7:00 PM Brasília time (UTC−03:00). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A filing by a coalition (coligação) or party federation (federação partidária) that includes the PT and names Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva as its presidential candidate will also qualify.
This market will resolve based on the filing date (Data de Autuação) of an applicable Application for Registration of Candidacy (Requerimento de Registro de Candidatura, RRC). An Application for Registration of Individual Candidacy (Requerimento de Registro de Candidatura Individual, RRCI) will not qualify for resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official filings from the Superior Electoral Court (TSE); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva’s Workers’ Party has aligned its 2026 electoral strategy around his candidacy for a fourth term, with the April National Congress endorsing a manifesto that prioritizes his re-election and directs resources toward building broader alliances against right-wing opponents. Party president Edinho Silva has publicly committed to advancing Lula’s nomination, including by adjusting state-level tickets, while Lula’s March confirmation of Geraldo Alckmin as running mate and ongoing polling strength reinforce internal cohesion. These steps position formal party registration by the August 1 TSE deadline—and the market’s August 15 cutoff—as a largely procedural outcome, though recent delays in launching the full campaign and alliance uncertainties in key states introduce limited timing risk. Trader consensus at 87 percent reflects this established momentum and the absence of credible internal challengers.
The 2026 Brazil presidential election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. Political parties must file candidate registration applications with the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) for the 2026 Brazil presidential election by August 15, 2026, 7:00 PM Brasília time (UTC−03:00).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Workers’ Party (Partido dos Trabalhadores, PT) files a candidate registration application nominating Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva for President of Brazil by August 15, 2026, 7:00 PM Brasília time (UTC−03:00). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A filing by a coalition (coligação) or party federation (federação partidária) that includes the PT and names Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva as its presidential candidate will also qualify.
This market will resolve based on the filing date (Data de Autuação) of an applicable Application for Registration of Candidacy (Requerimento de Registro de Candidatura, RRC). An Application for Registration of Individual Candidacy (Requerimento de Registro de Candidatura Individual, RRCI) will not qualify for resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official filings from the Superior Electoral Court (TSE); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Workers’ Party (Partido dos Trabalhadores, PT) files a candidate registration application nominating Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva for President of Brazil by August 15, 2026, 7:00 PM Brasília time (UTC−03:00). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A filing by a coalition (coligação) or party federation (federação partidária) that includes the PT and names Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva as its presidential candidate will also qualify.
This market will resolve based on the filing date (Data de Autuação) of an applicable Application for Registration of Candidacy (Requerimento de Registro de Candidatura, RRC). An Application for Registration of Individual Candidacy (Requerimento de Registro de Candidatura Individual, RRCI) will not qualify for resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official filings from the Superior Electoral Court (TSE); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 17, 2026, 6:22 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$11,157วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 17, 2026, 6:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The 2026 Brazil presidential election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. Political parties must file candidate registration applications with the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) for the 2026 Brazil presidential election by August 15, 2026, 7:00 PM Brasília time (UTC−03:00).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Workers’ Party (Partido dos Trabalhadores, PT) files a candidate registration application nominating Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva for President of Brazil by August 15, 2026, 7:00 PM Brasília time (UTC−03:00). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A filing by a coalition (coligação) or party federation (federação partidária) that includes the PT and names Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva as its presidential candidate will also qualify.
This market will resolve based on the filing date (Data de Autuação) of an applicable Application for Registration of Candidacy (Requerimento de Registro de Candidatura, RRC). An Application for Registration of Individual Candidacy (Requerimento de Registro de Candidatura Individual, RRCI) will not qualify for resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official filings from the Superior Electoral Court (TSE); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva’s Workers’ Party has aligned its 2026 electoral strategy around his candidacy for a fourth term, with the April National Congress endorsing a manifesto that prioritizes his re-election and directs resources toward building broader alliances against right-wing opponents. Party president Edinho Silva has publicly committed to advancing Lula’s nomination, including by adjusting state-level tickets, while Lula’s March confirmation of Geraldo Alckmin as running mate and ongoing polling strength reinforce internal cohesion. These steps position formal party registration by the August 1 TSE deadline—and the market’s August 15 cutoff—as a largely procedural outcome, though recent delays in launching the full campaign and alliance uncertainties in key states introduce limited timing risk. Trader consensus at 87 percent reflects this established momentum and the absence of credible internal challengers.
The 2026 Brazil presidential election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. Political parties must file candidate registration applications with the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) for the 2026 Brazil presidential election by August 15, 2026, 7:00 PM Brasília time (UTC−03:00).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Workers’ Party (Partido dos Trabalhadores, PT) files a candidate registration application nominating Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva for President of Brazil by August 15, 2026, 7:00 PM Brasília time (UTC−03:00). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A filing by a coalition (coligação) or party federation (federação partidária) that includes the PT and names Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva as its presidential candidate will also qualify.
This market will resolve based on the filing date (Data de Autuação) of an applicable Application for Registration of Candidacy (Requerimento de Registro de Candidatura, RRC). An Application for Registration of Individual Candidacy (Requerimento de Registro de Candidatura Individual, RRCI) will not qualify for resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official filings from the Superior Electoral Court (TSE); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Workers’ Party (Partido dos Trabalhadores, PT) files a candidate registration application nominating Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva for President of Brazil by August 15, 2026, 7:00 PM Brasília time (UTC−03:00). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A filing by a coalition (coligação) or party federation (federação partidária) that includes the PT and names Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva as its presidential candidate will also qualify.
This market will resolve based on the filing date (Data de Autuação) of an applicable Application for Registration of Candidacy (Requerimento de Registro de Candidatura, RRC). An Application for Registration of Individual Candidacy (Requerimento de Registro de Candidatura Individual, RRCI) will not qualify for resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official filings from the Superior Electoral Court (TSE); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$11,157วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 17, 2026, 6:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva’s Workers’ Party has aligned its 2026 electoral strategy around his candidacy for a fourth term, with the April National Congress endorsing a manifesto that prioritizes his re-election and directs resources toward building broader alliances against right-wing opponents. Party president Edinho Silva has publicly committed to advancing Lula’s nomination, including by adjusting state-level tickets, while Lula’s March confirmation of Geraldo Alckmin as running mate and ongoing polling strength reinforce internal cohesion. These steps position formal party registration by the August 1 TSE deadline—and the market’s August 15 cutoff—as a largely procedural outcome, though recent delays in launching the full campaign and alliance uncertainties in key states introduce limited timing risk. Trader consensus at 87 percent reflects this established momentum and the absence of credible internal challengers.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย