Sergio Moro (PL) holds an 82.5% implied probability in the Paraná gubernatorial race due to sustained polling leads of 39–49% in first-round scenarios across recent surveys from AtlasIntel, Paraná Pesquisas, and others, far ahead of Requião Filho (PDT) and Sandro Alex (PSD). The open contest stems from term limits barring incumbent Ratinho Junior (PSD) from a third consecutive run, positioning Moro's name recognition from the Lava Jato operation and active campaign events as key advantages. Second-place contenders trail significantly, with Alex at 16.5% and Requião Filho at 2.3% reflecting their lower support levels and the race's trajectory toward an early October first round.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วSergio Moro 83%
Sandro Alex 16%
Requião Filho 2.3%
Rafael Greca <1%
$186,278 ปริมาณ
$186,278 ปริมาณ
Oct 4, 2026
Sergio Moro
83%
Sandro Alex
16%
Requião Filho
2%
Rafael Greca
<1%
Guto Silva
<1%
Alexandre Curi
<1%
Beto Richa
<1%
Enio Verri
<1%
Luiz França
<1%
Sergio Moro 83%
Sandro Alex 16%
Requião Filho 2.3%
Rafael Greca <1%
$186,278 ปริมาณ
$186,278 ปริมาณ
Oct 4, 2026
Sergio Moro
$121,786 ปริมาณ
83%
Sandro Alex
$18,369 ปริมาณ
16%
Requião Filho
$22,411 ปริมาณ
2%
Rafael Greca
$3,403 ปริมาณ
<1%
Guto Silva
$3,022 ปริมาณ
<1%
Alexandre Curi
$5,452 ปริมาณ
<1%
Beto Richa
$2,625 ปริมาณ
<1%
Enio Verri
$3,396 ปริมาณ
<1%
Luiz França
$5,812 ปริมาณ
<1%
The Paraná gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Sergio Moro (PL) holds an 82.5% implied probability in the Paraná gubernatorial race due to sustained polling leads of 39–49% in first-round scenarios across recent surveys from AtlasIntel, Paraná Pesquisas, and others, far ahead of Requião Filho (PDT) and Sandro Alex (PSD). The open contest stems from term limits barring incumbent Ratinho Junior (PSD) from a third consecutive run, positioning Moro's name recognition from the Lava Jato operation and active campaign events as key advantages. Second-place contenders trail significantly, with Alex at 16.5% and Requião Filho at 2.3% reflecting their lower support levels and the race's trajectory toward an early October first round.
The Paraná gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$186,278วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The Paraná gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Sergio Moro (PL) holds an 82.5% implied probability in the Paraná gubernatorial race due to sustained polling leads of 39–49% in first-round scenarios across recent surveys from AtlasIntel, Paraná Pesquisas, and others, far ahead of Requião Filho (PDT) and Sandro Alex (PSD). The open contest stems from term limits barring incumbent Ratinho Junior (PSD) from a third consecutive run, positioning Moro's name recognition from the Lava Jato operation and active campaign events as key advantages. Second-place contenders trail significantly, with Alex at 16.5% and Requião Filho at 2.3% reflecting their lower support levels and the race's trajectory toward an early October first round.
The Paraná gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$186,278วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Sergio Moro (PL) holds an 82.5% implied probability in the Paraná gubernatorial race due to sustained polling leads of 39–49% in first-round scenarios across recent surveys from AtlasIntel, Paraná Pesquisas, and others, far ahead of Requião Filho (PDT) and Sandro Alex (PSD). The open contest stems from term limits barring incumbent Ratinho Junior (PSD) from a third consecutive run, positioning Moro's name recognition from the Lava Jato operation and active campaign events as key advantages. Second-place contenders trail significantly, with Alex at 16.5% and Requião Filho at 2.3% reflecting their lower support levels and the race's trajectory toward an early October first round.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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