The Chihuahua gubernatorial contest scheduled for June 2027 remains open, with trader pricing reflecting uncertainty over the Morena-PT-PVEM nominee and the competitiveness of PAN standard-bearer Marco Bonilla Mendoza against the eventual coalition choice. Bonilla, the sitting mayor of Chihuahua capital and recently designated PAN candidate, leads individual probabilities at 39 percent amid polls showing him running close or ahead in some head-to-head scenarios versus Cruz Pérez Cuéllar. Pérez Cuéllar, the Juárez mayor with license seeking the Morena coordination role, holds 23.5 percent while senator Andrea Chávez Treviño sits at 21 percent; both trail in several recent surveys but benefit from Morena’s statewide party advantage of roughly 10–20 points in generic ballot tests. Internal Morena polling and coalition dynamics, including PT and Verde positioning, continue to influence positioning, while factors such as turnout in key urban centers, security perceptions, and any late shifts in national alignment could widen or narrow the field before formal campaigning begins in 2027.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMarco Bonilla Mendoza 39%
Cruz Pérez Cuéllar 25%
Andrea Chávez Treviño 21%
Julián LeBarón <1%
$16,920 ปริมาณ
$16,920 ปริมาณ
Marco Bonilla Mendoza
39%
Cruz Pérez Cuéllar
25%
Andrea Chávez Treviño
21%
Julián LeBarón
1%
Martín Chaparro Payán
1%
Daniela Álvarez Hernández
<1%
Mario Vázquez Robles
<1%
Luis Carlos Arrieta Lavenant
<1%
Jesús Valenciano García
<1%
Gilberto Loya Chávez
<1%
Alejandro Domínguez Domínguez
<1%
Graciela Ortiz González
<1%
Alfredo Lozoya Santillán
<1%
Francisco Sánchez Villegas
<1%
Santiago de la Peña Grajeda
<1%
Rosana Díaz Reyes
<1%
Marco Bonilla Mendoza 39%
Cruz Pérez Cuéllar 25%
Andrea Chávez Treviño 21%
Julián LeBarón <1%
$16,920 ปริมาณ
$16,920 ปริมาณ
Marco Bonilla Mendoza
39%
Cruz Pérez Cuéllar
25%
Andrea Chávez Treviño
21%
Julián LeBarón
1%
Martín Chaparro Payán
1%
Daniela Álvarez Hernández
<1%
Mario Vázquez Robles
<1%
Luis Carlos Arrieta Lavenant
<1%
Jesús Valenciano García
<1%
Gilberto Loya Chávez
<1%
Alejandro Domínguez Domínguez
<1%
Graciela Ortiz González
<1%
Alfredo Lozoya Santillán
<1%
Francisco Sánchez Villegas
<1%
Santiago de la Peña Grajeda
<1%
Rosana Díaz Reyes
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Chihuahua gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Chihuahua and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Chihuahua and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 5, 2026, 7:13 AM ET
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Chihuahua gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Chihuahua and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Chihuahua and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The Chihuahua gubernatorial contest scheduled for June 2027 remains open, with trader pricing reflecting uncertainty over the Morena-PT-PVEM nominee and the competitiveness of PAN standard-bearer Marco Bonilla Mendoza against the eventual coalition choice. Bonilla, the sitting mayor of Chihuahua capital and recently designated PAN candidate, leads individual probabilities at 39 percent amid polls showing him running close or ahead in some head-to-head scenarios versus Cruz Pérez Cuéllar. Pérez Cuéllar, the Juárez mayor with license seeking the Morena coordination role, holds 23.5 percent while senator Andrea Chávez Treviño sits at 21 percent; both trail in several recent surveys but benefit from Morena’s statewide party advantage of roughly 10–20 points in generic ballot tests. Internal Morena polling and coalition dynamics, including PT and Verde positioning, continue to influence positioning, while factors such as turnout in key urban centers, security perceptions, and any late shifts in national alignment could widen or narrow the field before formal campaigning begins in 2027.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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