Recent national polls place President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva at 38-40 percent and Senator Flávio Bolsonaro at 33-37 percent for the October 4 first round, with Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, and smaller candidates splitting the remaining vote and leaving roughly 15 percent undecided or blank. This fragmented distribution, reinforced by Ciro Gomes’s withdrawal to run for governor, keeps both frontrunners well short of a majority. Brazil’s multi-party system and unbroken pattern of presidential runoffs since 1989 further support trader expectations that no candidate will secure outright victory on the first ballot.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$65,530 ปริมาณ
$65,530 ปริมาณ
Oct 4, 2026
$65,530 ปริมาณ
$65,530 ปริมาณ
Oct 4, 2026
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Brazil on October 4, 2026. A second round will be held if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent national polls place President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva at 38-40 percent and Senator Flávio Bolsonaro at 33-37 percent for the October 4 first round, with Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, and smaller candidates splitting the remaining vote and leaving roughly 15 percent undecided or blank. This fragmented distribution, reinforced by Ciro Gomes’s withdrawal to run for governor, keeps both frontrunners well short of a majority. Brazil’s multi-party system and unbroken pattern of presidential runoffs since 1989 further support trader expectations that no candidate will secure outright victory on the first ballot.
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Brazil on October 4, 2026. A second round will be held if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 18, 2025, 4:01 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$65,530วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 18, 2025, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Brazil on October 4, 2026. A second round will be held if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent national polls place President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva at 38-40 percent and Senator Flávio Bolsonaro at 33-37 percent for the October 4 first round, with Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, and smaller candidates splitting the remaining vote and leaving roughly 15 percent undecided or blank. This fragmented distribution, reinforced by Ciro Gomes’s withdrawal to run for governor, keeps both frontrunners well short of a majority. Brazil’s multi-party system and unbroken pattern of presidential runoffs since 1989 further support trader expectations that no candidate will secure outright victory on the first ballot.
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Brazil on October 4, 2026. A second round will be held if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$65,530วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 18, 2025, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent national polls place President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva at 38-40 percent and Senator Flávio Bolsonaro at 33-37 percent for the October 4 first round, with Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, and smaller candidates splitting the remaining vote and leaving roughly 15 percent undecided or blank. This fragmented distribution, reinforced by Ciro Gomes’s withdrawal to run for governor, keeps both frontrunners well short of a majority. Brazil’s multi-party system and unbroken pattern of presidential runoffs since 1989 further support trader expectations that no candidate will secure outright victory on the first ballot.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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