Recent polling from May 2026 shows Eduardo Braide (PSD) holding a clear first-round lead in several surveys, including AtlasIntel figures near 50%, while Orleans Brandão (MDB) trails in the low 20s and Felipe Camarão (PT) sits further back. Braide’s resignation as São Luís mayor to pursue the state executive has clarified his path, yet Econométrica data from the same month indicated a technical tie between Braide and Brandão in one scenario. The market’s compressed pricing around 42% for Braide and lower shares for rivals reflects uncertainty over coalition formation, left-wing fragmentation, and the October 2026 first-round threshold. Upcoming candidate alignments and any new surveys could widen or narrow these gaps ahead of the vote.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMaranhão Governor Election Winner
Maranhão Governor Election Winner
Eduardo Braide 43%
Orleans Brandão 37%
Lahesio Bonfim 11%
Felipe Camarão 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Oct 5, 2026
Eduardo Braide
43%
Orleans Brandão
37%
Lahesio Bonfim
11%
Felipe Camarão
8%
André Luís
4%
Enilton Rodrigues
4%
Eduardo Braide 43%
Orleans Brandão 37%
Lahesio Bonfim 11%
Felipe Camarão 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Oct 5, 2026
Eduardo Braide
$544 ปริมาณ
43%
Orleans Brandão
$69 ปริมาณ
37%
Lahesio Bonfim
$68 ปริมาณ
11%
Felipe Camarão
$64 ปริมาณ
8%
André Luís
$169 ปริมาณ
4%
Enilton Rodrigues
$275 ปริมาณ
4%
The Maranhão gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from May 2026 shows Eduardo Braide (PSD) holding a clear first-round lead in several surveys, including AtlasIntel figures near 50%, while Orleans Brandão (MDB) trails in the low 20s and Felipe Camarão (PT) sits further back. Braide’s resignation as São Luís mayor to pursue the state executive has clarified his path, yet Econométrica data from the same month indicated a technical tie between Braide and Brandão in one scenario. The market’s compressed pricing around 42% for Braide and lower shares for rivals reflects uncertainty over coalition formation, left-wing fragmentation, and the October 2026 first-round threshold. Upcoming candidate alignments and any new surveys could widen or narrow these gaps ahead of the vote.
The Maranhão gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 12, 2026, 10:38 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,189วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 12, 2026, 10:38 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Maranhão gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from May 2026 shows Eduardo Braide (PSD) holding a clear first-round lead in several surveys, including AtlasIntel figures near 50%, while Orleans Brandão (MDB) trails in the low 20s and Felipe Camarão (PT) sits further back. Braide’s resignation as São Luís mayor to pursue the state executive has clarified his path, yet Econométrica data from the same month indicated a technical tie between Braide and Brandão in one scenario. The market’s compressed pricing around 42% for Braide and lower shares for rivals reflects uncertainty over coalition formation, left-wing fragmentation, and the October 2026 first-round threshold. Upcoming candidate alignments and any new surveys could widen or narrow these gaps ahead of the vote.
The Maranhão gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,189วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 12, 2026, 10:38 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from May 2026 shows Eduardo Braide (PSD) holding a clear first-round lead in several surveys, including AtlasIntel figures near 50%, while Orleans Brandão (MDB) trails in the low 20s and Felipe Camarão (PT) sits further back. Braide’s resignation as São Luís mayor to pursue the state executive has clarified his path, yet Econométrica data from the same month indicated a technical tie between Braide and Brandão in one scenario. The market’s compressed pricing around 42% for Braide and lower shares for rivals reflects uncertainty over coalition formation, left-wing fragmentation, and the October 2026 first-round threshold. Upcoming candidate alignments and any new surveys could widen or narrow these gaps ahead of the vote.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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