Lula da Silva and Flávio Bolsonaro remain the leading contenders to advance from Brazil’s October 4, 2026 first round, with recent polling showing them neck-and-neck in runoff matchups amid rising undecided voters. A May-June scandal involving audios of Flávio soliciting funds from a banker under fraud investigation has eroded his support and reopened questions about who will consolidate the right-wing vote. Other registered figures such as Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, and Renan Santos register low single digits but could influence second-place positioning if opposition fragmentation persists. Jair Bolsonaro’s ongoing ineligibility continues to shape the field. Official candidacies are due in July, with the runoff—if required—set for October 25; voter concerns over crime, corruption, and fiscal policy will likely determine which two candidates clear the threshold.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWhich candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff?
Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff?
$406,462 ปริมาณ
Oct 4, 2026
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
95%
Flavio Bolsonaro
66%
Renan Santos
22%
Ronaldo Caiado
19%
Romeu Zema
11%
Fernando Haddad
6%
Michelle Bolsonaro
4%
Jair Bolsonaro
2%
Tarcisio de Frietas
2%
$406,462 ปริมาณ
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
$188,433 ปริมาณ
95%
Flavio Bolsonaro
$37,148 ปริมาณ
66%
Renan Santos
$64 ปริมาณ
22%
Ronaldo Caiado
$90 ปริมาณ
19%
Romeu Zema
$136 ปริมาณ
11%
Fernando Haddad
$59,526 ปริมาณ
6%
Michelle Bolsonaro
$28,196 ปริมาณ
4%
Jair Bolsonaro
$12,829 ปริมาณ
2%
Tarcisio de Frietas
$80,040 ปริมาณ
2%
General elections are scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. If no candidate wins outright in the first round, the top two candidates proceed to a runoff.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to Brazil's presidential runoff election or otherwise wins outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the president is decided in the first round of the election but the listed candidate is not the winner or the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula da Silva and Flávio Bolsonaro remain the leading contenders to advance from Brazil’s October 4, 2026 first round, with recent polling showing them neck-and-neck in runoff matchups amid rising undecided voters. A May-June scandal involving audios of Flávio soliciting funds from a banker under fraud investigation has eroded his support and reopened questions about who will consolidate the right-wing vote. Other registered figures such as Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, and Renan Santos register low single digits but could influence second-place positioning if opposition fragmentation persists. Jair Bolsonaro’s ongoing ineligibility continues to shape the field. Official candidacies are due in July, with the runoff—if required—set for October 25; voter concerns over crime, corruption, and fiscal policy will likely determine which two candidates clear the threshold.
General elections are scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. If no candidate wins outright in the first round, the top two candidates proceed to a runoff.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to Brazil's presidential runoff election or otherwise wins outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the president is decided in the first round of the election but the listed candidate is not the winner or the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to Brazil's presidential runoff election or otherwise wins outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the president is decided in the first round of the election but the listed candidate is not the winner or the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 18, 2025, 1:53 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$406,462วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 18, 2025, 1:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...General elections are scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. If no candidate wins outright in the first round, the top two candidates proceed to a runoff.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to Brazil's presidential runoff election or otherwise wins outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the president is decided in the first round of the election but the listed candidate is not the winner or the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula da Silva and Flávio Bolsonaro remain the leading contenders to advance from Brazil’s October 4, 2026 first round, with recent polling showing them neck-and-neck in runoff matchups amid rising undecided voters. A May-June scandal involving audios of Flávio soliciting funds from a banker under fraud investigation has eroded his support and reopened questions about who will consolidate the right-wing vote. Other registered figures such as Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, and Renan Santos register low single digits but could influence second-place positioning if opposition fragmentation persists. Jair Bolsonaro’s ongoing ineligibility continues to shape the field. Official candidacies are due in July, with the runoff—if required—set for October 25; voter concerns over crime, corruption, and fiscal policy will likely determine which two candidates clear the threshold.
General elections are scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. If no candidate wins outright in the first round, the top two candidates proceed to a runoff.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to Brazil's presidential runoff election or otherwise wins outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the president is decided in the first round of the election but the listed candidate is not the winner or the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to Brazil's presidential runoff election or otherwise wins outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the president is decided in the first round of the election but the listed candidate is not the winner or the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$406,462วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 18, 2025, 1:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Lula da Silva and Flávio Bolsonaro remain the leading contenders to advance from Brazil’s October 4, 2026 first round, with recent polling showing them neck-and-neck in runoff matchups amid rising undecided voters. A May-June scandal involving audios of Flávio soliciting funds from a banker under fraud investigation has eroded his support and reopened questions about who will consolidate the right-wing vote. Other registered figures such as Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, and Renan Santos register low single digits but could influence second-place positioning if opposition fragmentation persists. Jair Bolsonaro’s ongoing ineligibility continues to shape the field. Official candidacies are due in July, with the runoff—if required—set for October 25; voter concerns over crime, corruption, and fiscal policy will likely determine which two candidates clear the threshold.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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