Incumbent President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva of the Workers’ Party is seeking a fourth term in Brazil’s October 4, 2026, presidential election, facing a polarized challenge from Senator Flávio Bolsonaro of the Liberal Party. Jair Bolsonaro’s December 2025 endorsement consolidated right-wing support behind his son after the former president’s ineligibility ruling. Recent national polls show the two leading candidates statistically tied in simulated runoffs at roughly 46-47 percent each, with Lula holding a modest first-round edge amid approval ratings near 44-47 percent and economic pressures. A fragmented field including Romeu Zema and Ronaldo Caiado keeps the race competitive, and every presidential contest since 2002 has advanced to a second round on October 25. Trader focus centers on vote consolidation, governor endorsements, and economic data releases that could determine which two candidates reach the runoff.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWhich candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff?
Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff?
$319,942 ปริมาณ
Oct 4, 2026
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
83%
Flavio Bolsonaro
72%
Fernando Haddad
8%
Michelle Bolsonaro
4%
Jair Bolsonaro
3%
Tarcisio de Frietas
3%
$319,942 ปริมาณ
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
$134,391 ปริมาณ
83%
Flavio Bolsonaro
$20,597 ปริมาณ
72%
Fernando Haddad
$51,135 ปริมาณ
8%
Michelle Bolsonaro
$26,595 ปริมาณ
4%
Jair Bolsonaro
$11,175 ปริมาณ
3%
Tarcisio de Frietas
$76,048 ปริมาณ
3%
General elections are scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. If no candidate wins outright in the first round, the top two candidates proceed to a runoff.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to Brazil's presidential runoff election or otherwise wins outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the president is decided in the first round of the election but the listed candidate is not the winner or the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Incumbent President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva of the Workers’ Party is seeking a fourth term in Brazil’s October 4, 2026, presidential election, facing a polarized challenge from Senator Flávio Bolsonaro of the Liberal Party. Jair Bolsonaro’s December 2025 endorsement consolidated right-wing support behind his son after the former president’s ineligibility ruling. Recent national polls show the two leading candidates statistically tied in simulated runoffs at roughly 46-47 percent each, with Lula holding a modest first-round edge amid approval ratings near 44-47 percent and economic pressures. A fragmented field including Romeu Zema and Ronaldo Caiado keeps the race competitive, and every presidential contest since 2002 has advanced to a second round on October 25. Trader focus centers on vote consolidation, governor endorsements, and economic data releases that could determine which two candidates reach the runoff.
General elections are scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. If no candidate wins outright in the first round, the top two candidates proceed to a runoff.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to Brazil's presidential runoff election or otherwise wins outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the president is decided in the first round of the election but the listed candidate is not the winner or the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to Brazil's presidential runoff election or otherwise wins outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the president is decided in the first round of the election but the listed candidate is not the winner or the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 18, 2025, 1:53 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$319,942วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 18, 2025, 1:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...General elections are scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. If no candidate wins outright in the first round, the top two candidates proceed to a runoff.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to Brazil's presidential runoff election or otherwise wins outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the president is decided in the first round of the election but the listed candidate is not the winner or the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Incumbent President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva of the Workers’ Party is seeking a fourth term in Brazil’s October 4, 2026, presidential election, facing a polarized challenge from Senator Flávio Bolsonaro of the Liberal Party. Jair Bolsonaro’s December 2025 endorsement consolidated right-wing support behind his son after the former president’s ineligibility ruling. Recent national polls show the two leading candidates statistically tied in simulated runoffs at roughly 46-47 percent each, with Lula holding a modest first-round edge amid approval ratings near 44-47 percent and economic pressures. A fragmented field including Romeu Zema and Ronaldo Caiado keeps the race competitive, and every presidential contest since 2002 has advanced to a second round on October 25. Trader focus centers on vote consolidation, governor endorsements, and economic data releases that could determine which two candidates reach the runoff.
General elections are scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. If no candidate wins outright in the first round, the top two candidates proceed to a runoff.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to Brazil's presidential runoff election or otherwise wins outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the president is decided in the first round of the election but the listed candidate is not the winner or the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to Brazil's presidential runoff election or otherwise wins outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the president is decided in the first round of the election but the listed candidate is not the winner or the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$319,942วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 18, 2025, 1:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Incumbent President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva of the Workers’ Party is seeking a fourth term in Brazil’s October 4, 2026, presidential election, facing a polarized challenge from Senator Flávio Bolsonaro of the Liberal Party. Jair Bolsonaro’s December 2025 endorsement consolidated right-wing support behind his son after the former president’s ineligibility ruling. Recent national polls show the two leading candidates statistically tied in simulated runoffs at roughly 46-47 percent each, with Lula holding a modest first-round edge amid approval ratings near 44-47 percent and economic pressures. A fragmented field including Romeu Zema and Ronaldo Caiado keeps the race competitive, and every presidential contest since 2002 has advanced to a second round on October 25. Trader focus centers on vote consolidation, governor endorsements, and economic data releases that could determine which two candidates reach the runoff.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย