United Russia enters the September 18–20, 2026, State Duma election holding roughly 310 of 450 seats after its 2021 result of 324. The mixed system allocates 225 seats via party-list proportional representation (5% threshold) and 225 via single-mandate districts, where the ruling party’s organizational reach and administrative resources typically deliver the bulk of its total. Recent state pollsters such as FOM and VTsIOM place United Russia at 47–53% in the list vote, ahead of the Communist Party, LDPR, and New People, though independent surveys show softer support. Kremlin adjustments lowered internal performance targets amid stagnant ratings, while opposition parties including Yabloko faced exclusion. These structural factors and polling trends underpin trader pricing that clusters most heavily on the 325–339 seat range.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วUnited Russia seats in the next Russian legislative election?
United Russia seats in the next Russian legislative election?
325–339 43%
340–354 24%
310–324 18.1%
355+ 5.5%
$807,083 ปริมาณ
$807,083 ปริมาณ
<280
2%
280–294
2%
295–309
5%
310–324
18%
325–339
43%
340–354
24%
355+
5%
325–339 43%
340–354 24%
310–324 18.1%
355+ 5.5%
$807,083 ปริมาณ
$807,083 ปริมาณ
<280
2%
280–294
2%
295–309
5%
310–324
18%
325–339
43%
340–354
24%
355+
5%
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 7, 2026, 5:32 PM ET
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...United Russia enters the September 18–20, 2026, State Duma election holding roughly 310 of 450 seats after its 2021 result of 324. The mixed system allocates 225 seats via party-list proportional representation (5% threshold) and 225 via single-mandate districts, where the ruling party’s organizational reach and administrative resources typically deliver the bulk of its total. Recent state pollsters such as FOM and VTsIOM place United Russia at 47–53% in the list vote, ahead of the Communist Party, LDPR, and New People, though independent surveys show softer support. Kremlin adjustments lowered internal performance targets amid stagnant ratings, while opposition parties including Yabloko faced exclusion. These structural factors and polling trends underpin trader pricing that clusters most heavily on the 325–339 seat range.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วที่เกี่ยวข้อง
Will New People (NL) win fewer than 35 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win fewer than 45 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election?
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