Recent polling from VCIOM and FOM places United Russia’s party-list support in the low-to-mid 30s percent range, down from its official 2021 result, amid ongoing economic slowdown since late 2024. The mixed electoral system—225 single-member districts plus proportional lists—combined with redistricting and administrative mobilization favors the ruling party, which currently holds 314 seats. Inclusion of Special Military Operation veterans on candidate lists and strong incumbency in controlled regions provide further structural support. These factors keep projected seat totals clustered in the 310–354 range, with traders assigning the highest probabilities to bands immediately above and below the 2021 outcome of 324. Final candidate lists and any shifts in wartime economic conditions before the September 2026 vote remain the primary variables that could widen the gap between outcomes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว340–354 33%
355+ 20%
325–339 17%
295–309 14.3%
$24,534 ปริมาณ
$24,534 ปริมาณ
Sep 20, 2026
<280
8%
280–294
7%
295–309
14%
310–324
22%
325–339
17%
340–354
33%
355+
20%
340–354 33%
355+ 20%
325–339 17%
295–309 14.3%
$24,534 ปริมาณ
$24,534 ปริมาณ
Sep 20, 2026
<280
$6,278 ปริมาณ
8%
280–294
$2,828 ปริมาณ
7%
295–309
$1,601 ปริมาณ
14%
310–324
$1,426 ปริมาณ
22%
325–339
$1,963 ปริมาณ
17%
340–354
$1,499 ปริมาณ
33%
355+
$8,939 ปริมาณ
20%
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Recent polling from VCIOM and FOM places United Russia’s party-list support in the low-to-mid 30s percent range, down from its official 2021 result, amid ongoing economic slowdown since late 2024. The mixed electoral system—225 single-member districts plus proportional lists—combined with redistricting and administrative mobilization favors the ruling party, which currently holds 314 seats. Inclusion of Special Military Operation veterans on candidate lists and strong incumbency in controlled regions provide further structural support. These factors keep projected seat totals clustered in the 310–354 range, with traders assigning the highest probabilities to bands immediately above and below the 2021 outcome of 324. Final candidate lists and any shifts in wartime economic conditions before the September 2026 vote remain the primary variables that could widen the gap between outcomes.
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 7, 2026, 5:32 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$24,534วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 7, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Recent polling from VCIOM and FOM places United Russia’s party-list support in the low-to-mid 30s percent range, down from its official 2021 result, amid ongoing economic slowdown since late 2024. The mixed electoral system—225 single-member districts plus proportional lists—combined with redistricting and administrative mobilization favors the ruling party, which currently holds 314 seats. Inclusion of Special Military Operation veterans on candidate lists and strong incumbency in controlled regions provide further structural support. These factors keep projected seat totals clustered in the 310–354 range, with traders assigning the highest probabilities to bands immediately above and below the 2021 outcome of 324. Final candidate lists and any shifts in wartime economic conditions before the September 2026 vote remain the primary variables that could widen the gap between outcomes.
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$24,534วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 7, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling from VCIOM and FOM places United Russia’s party-list support in the low-to-mid 30s percent range, down from its official 2021 result, amid ongoing economic slowdown since late 2024. The mixed electoral system—225 single-member districts plus proportional lists—combined with redistricting and administrative mobilization favors the ruling party, which currently holds 314 seats. Inclusion of Special Military Operation veterans on candidate lists and strong incumbency in controlled regions provide further structural support. These factors keep projected seat totals clustered in the 310–354 range, with traders assigning the highest probabilities to bands immediately above and below the 2021 outcome of 324. Final candidate lists and any shifts in wartime economic conditions before the September 2026 vote remain the primary variables that could widen the gap between outcomes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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