Recent term extensions approved by Somaliland's House of Elders in early 2026 have formally postponed the parliamentary election from its prior May 2026 target to March 2027. Factors include security concerns, technical and logistical hurdles, drought conditions, and the formation of a technical committee to reassess timelines. These decisions, building on prior delays, underpin the overwhelming trader consensus reflected in current market pricing that no vote will occur before 2027. Scenarios that could shift outcomes include rapid resolution of security and registration issues through new political agreements or external support, though constitutional procedures and institutional capacity constraints make earlier conduct unlikely without major unforeseen developments.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วSomaliland Parliamentary Election Winner
Somaliland Parliamentary Election Winner
No election before 2027 95%
Justice and Welfare (UCID) 2.8%
Waddani 2.6%
Kulmiye 1.9%
$94,636 ปริมาณ
$94,636 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
No election before 2027
95%
Justice and Welfare (UCID)
3%
Waddani
3%
Kulmiye
2%
No election before 2027 95%
Justice and Welfare (UCID) 2.8%
Waddani 2.6%
Kulmiye 1.9%
$94,636 ปริมาณ
$94,636 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
No election before 2027
$84,777 ปริมาณ
95%
Justice and Welfare (UCID)
$4,279 ปริมาณ
3%
Waddani
$2,522 ปริมาณ
3%
Kulmiye
$3,058 ปริมาณ
2%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).Recent term extensions approved by Somaliland's House of Elders in early 2026 have formally postponed the parliamentary election from its prior May 2026 target to March 2027. Factors include security concerns, technical and logistical hurdles, drought conditions, and the formation of a technical committee to reassess timelines. These decisions, building on prior delays, underpin the overwhelming trader consensus reflected in current market pricing that no vote will occur before 2027. Scenarios that could shift outcomes include rapid resolution of security and registration issues through new political agreements or external support, though constitutional procedures and institutional capacity constraints make earlier conduct unlikely without major unforeseen developments.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 16, 2025, 3:30 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$94,636วันสิ้นสุด
Mar 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 3:30 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).Recent term extensions approved by Somaliland's House of Elders in early 2026 have formally postponed the parliamentary election from its prior May 2026 target to March 2027. Factors include security concerns, technical and logistical hurdles, drought conditions, and the formation of a technical committee to reassess timelines. These decisions, building on prior delays, underpin the overwhelming trader consensus reflected in current market pricing that no vote will occur before 2027. Scenarios that could shift outcomes include rapid resolution of security and registration issues through new political agreements or external support, though constitutional procedures and institutional capacity constraints make earlier conduct unlikely without major unforeseen developments.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$94,636วันสิ้นสุด
Mar 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 3:30 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent term extensions approved by Somaliland's House of Elders in early 2026 have formally postponed the parliamentary election from its prior May 2026 target to March 2027. Factors include security concerns, technical and logistical hurdles, drought conditions, and the formation of a technical committee to reassess timelines. These decisions, building on prior delays, underpin the overwhelming trader consensus reflected in current market pricing that no vote will occur before 2027. Scenarios that could shift outcomes include rapid resolution of security and registration issues through new political agreements or external support, though constitutional procedures and institutional capacity constraints make earlier conduct unlikely without major unforeseen developments.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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