Somaliland’s parliamentary elections, originally slated for May 2026, were postponed after the House of Elders approved a 27-month term extension in April 2026 citing security risks, technical shortfalls, and drought-related challenges, shifting the vote to March 2027. This aligns with Somaliland’s pattern of repeated delays, including the two-year postponement of the 2024 presidential contest, and sustains the current legislature and local councils. Trader consensus heavily favors no election before 2027 because the formal extension removes the immediate timetable and preparations remain incomplete. A reversal could occur if security stabilizes rapidly, funding and voter registration advance ahead of schedule, or political negotiations produce an earlier date through emergency legislation or Guurti action.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วSomaliland Parliamentary Election Winner
Somaliland Parliamentary Election Winner
No election before 2027 95%
Justice and Welfare (UCID) 2.7%
Waddani 2.6%
Kulmiye 1.9%
$94,636 ปริมาณ
$94,636 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
No election before 2027
95%
Justice and Welfare (UCID)
3%
Waddani
3%
Kulmiye
2%
No election before 2027 95%
Justice and Welfare (UCID) 2.7%
Waddani 2.6%
Kulmiye 1.9%
$94,636 ปริมาณ
$94,636 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
No election before 2027
$84,777 ปริมาณ
95%
Justice and Welfare (UCID)
$4,279 ปริมาณ
3%
Waddani
$2,522 ปริมาณ
3%
Kulmiye
$3,058 ปริมาณ
2%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).Somaliland’s parliamentary elections, originally slated for May 2026, were postponed after the House of Elders approved a 27-month term extension in April 2026 citing security risks, technical shortfalls, and drought-related challenges, shifting the vote to March 2027. This aligns with Somaliland’s pattern of repeated delays, including the two-year postponement of the 2024 presidential contest, and sustains the current legislature and local councils. Trader consensus heavily favors no election before 2027 because the formal extension removes the immediate timetable and preparations remain incomplete. A reversal could occur if security stabilizes rapidly, funding and voter registration advance ahead of schedule, or political negotiations produce an earlier date through emergency legislation or Guurti action.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 16, 2025, 3:30 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$94,636วันสิ้นสุด
Mar 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 3:30 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).Somaliland’s parliamentary elections, originally slated for May 2026, were postponed after the House of Elders approved a 27-month term extension in April 2026 citing security risks, technical shortfalls, and drought-related challenges, shifting the vote to March 2027. This aligns with Somaliland’s pattern of repeated delays, including the two-year postponement of the 2024 presidential contest, and sustains the current legislature and local councils. Trader consensus heavily favors no election before 2027 because the formal extension removes the immediate timetable and preparations remain incomplete. A reversal could occur if security stabilizes rapidly, funding and voter registration advance ahead of schedule, or political negotiations produce an earlier date through emergency legislation or Guurti action.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$94,636วันสิ้นสุด
Mar 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 3:30 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Somaliland’s parliamentary elections, originally slated for May 2026, were postponed after the House of Elders approved a 27-month term extension in April 2026 citing security risks, technical shortfalls, and drought-related challenges, shifting the vote to March 2027. This aligns with Somaliland’s pattern of repeated delays, including the two-year postponement of the 2024 presidential contest, and sustains the current legislature and local councils. Trader consensus heavily favors no election before 2027 because the formal extension removes the immediate timetable and preparations remain incomplete. A reversal could occur if security stabilizes rapidly, funding and voter registration advance ahead of schedule, or political negotiations produce an earlier date through emergency legislation or Guurti action.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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