Trader consensus favors the Parti Québécois (PQ) at 57.5% implied probability to win the most seats in Quebec's October 5, 2026 general election, reflecting its vote efficiency under the first-past-the-post system despite recent polls showing PQ and Quebec Liberal Party (PLQ) tied around 30% in popular support. Synopsis (May 9) and Pallas (May 8) surveys place both at 29-30%, with Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ) gaining to 18-19% under new leader Christine Fréchette following François Legault's January resignation amid healthcare and housing discontent. PQ's strength among francophones outside Montreal positions it for a potential plurality or majority in the 125-seat National Assembly, while PLQ's vote concentrates in urban anglophone areas limits seats; CAQ trails as voters prioritize cost of living and direction of the province.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วผู้ชนะการเลือกตั้งทั่วไปในควิเบก
ผู้ชนะการเลือกตั้งทั่วไปในควิเบก
PQ 57%
PLQ 28%
พรรคก้าวหน้าควิเบก (CAQ) 11%
พรรคอนุรักษนิยมควิเบก <1%
$503,223 ปริมาณ
$503,223 ปริมาณ
Oct 5, 2026
PQ
57%
PLQ
28%
พรรคก้าวหน้าควิเบก (CAQ)
11%
พรรคอนุรักษนิยมควิเบก
<1%
PVQ
<1%
ข้อซ
<1%
PQ 57%
PLQ 28%
พรรคก้าวหน้าควิเบก (CAQ) 11%
พรรคอนุรักษนิยมควิเบก <1%
$503,223 ปริมาณ
$503,223 ปริมาณ
Oct 5, 2026
PQ
$52,261 ปริมาณ
57%
PLQ
$55,890 ปริมาณ
28%
พรรคก้าวหน้าควิเบก (CAQ)
$58,633 ปริมาณ
11%
พรรคอนุรักษนิยมควิเบก
$163,325 ปริมาณ
<1%
PVQ
$114,822 ปริมาณ
<1%
ข้อซ
$58,291 ปริมาณ
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Trader consensus favors the Parti Québécois (PQ) at 57.5% implied probability to win the most seats in Quebec's October 5, 2026 general election, reflecting its vote efficiency under the first-past-the-post system despite recent polls showing PQ and Quebec Liberal Party (PLQ) tied around 30% in popular support. Synopsis (May 9) and Pallas (May 8) surveys place both at 29-30%, with Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ) gaining to 18-19% under new leader Christine Fréchette following François Legault's January resignation amid healthcare and housing discontent. PQ's strength among francophones outside Montreal positions it for a potential plurality or majority in the 125-seat National Assembly, while PLQ's vote concentrates in urban anglophone areas limits seats; CAQ trails as voters prioritize cost of living and direction of the province.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$503,223วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Trader consensus favors the Parti Québécois (PQ) at 57.5% implied probability to win the most seats in Quebec's October 5, 2026 general election, reflecting its vote efficiency under the first-past-the-post system despite recent polls showing PQ and Quebec Liberal Party (PLQ) tied around 30% in popular support. Synopsis (May 9) and Pallas (May 8) surveys place both at 29-30%, with Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ) gaining to 18-19% under new leader Christine Fréchette following François Legault's January resignation amid healthcare and housing discontent. PQ's strength among francophones outside Montreal positions it for a potential plurality or majority in the 125-seat National Assembly, while PLQ's vote concentrates in urban anglophone areas limits seats; CAQ trails as voters prioritize cost of living and direction of the province.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$503,223วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors the Parti Québécois (PQ) at 57.5% implied probability to win the most seats in Quebec's October 5, 2026 general election, reflecting its vote efficiency under the first-past-the-post system despite recent polls showing PQ and Quebec Liberal Party (PLQ) tied around 30% in popular support. Synopsis (May 9) and Pallas (May 8) surveys place both at 29-30%, with Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ) gaining to 18-19% under new leader Christine Fréchette following François Legault's January resignation amid healthcare and housing discontent. PQ's strength among francophones outside Montreal positions it for a potential plurality or majority in the 125-seat National Assembly, while PLQ's vote concentrates in urban anglophone areas limits seats; CAQ trails as voters prioritize cost of living and direction of the province.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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