**The Parti Québécois maintains a clear lead in recent Quebec voting intention surveys conducted through early August 2026, with support near 30 percent among decided voters, ahead of the Liberals near 25 percent and the CAQ near 20 percent.** This positioning reflects sustained francophone backing for the PQ under Paul St-Pierre Plamondon and the party's regional concentration that translates into majority seat projections (typically 60-plus of 125 ridings) under the first-past-the-post system. The CAQ, now led by Christine Fréchette following the 2026 leadership transition after François Legault’s departure, has seen its support erode sharply from prior levels. The Liberals, under Charles Milliard, remain competitive in popular vote but trail in most seat models. With the election fixed for October 5, 2026, and roughly half of decided voters still open to changing their preference, trader consensus aligns with polling aggregates showing the PQ as the party best placed to form the next government.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วผู้ชนะการเลือกตั้งทั่วไปในควิเบก
ผู้ชนะการเลือกตั้งทั่วไปในควิเบก
PQ 75%
PLQ 15%
พรรคก้าวหน้าควิเบก (CAQ) 13%
พรรคอนุรักษนิยมควิเบก <1%
$757,591 ปริมาณ
$757,591 ปริมาณ
PQ
75%
PLQ
15%
พรรคก้าวหน้าควิเบก (CAQ)
13%
พรรคอนุรักษนิยมควิเบก
<1%
ข้อซ
<1%
PVQ
<1%
PQ 75%
PLQ 15%
พรรคก้าวหน้าควิเบก (CAQ) 13%
พรรคอนุรักษนิยมควิเบก <1%
$757,591 ปริมาณ
$757,591 ปริมาณ
PQ
75%
PLQ
15%
พรรคก้าวหน้าควิเบก (CAQ)
13%
พรรคอนุรักษนิยมควิเบก
<1%
ข้อซ
<1%
PVQ
<1%
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...**The Parti Québécois maintains a clear lead in recent Quebec voting intention surveys conducted through early August 2026, with support near 30 percent among decided voters, ahead of the Liberals near 25 percent and the CAQ near 20 percent.** This positioning reflects sustained francophone backing for the PQ under Paul St-Pierre Plamondon and the party's regional concentration that translates into majority seat projections (typically 60-plus of 125 ridings) under the first-past-the-post system. The CAQ, now led by Christine Fréchette following the 2026 leadership transition after François Legault’s departure, has seen its support erode sharply from prior levels. The Liberals, under Charles Milliard, remain competitive in popular vote but trail in most seat models. With the election fixed for October 5, 2026, and roughly half of decided voters still open to changing their preference, trader consensus aligns with polling aggregates showing the PQ as the party best placed to form the next government.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วที่เกี่ยวข้อง
Will Paul St-Pierre Plamondon be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?
Will Apvienotais Saraksts (AS) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?
Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย