Incumbent Toronto Mayor Olivia Chow commands trader consensus at 78.5% implied probability for the October 26, 2026, mayoral election, driven by her incumbency advantage and consistent polling leads over challengers. A Liaison Strategies survey on April 17 showed Chow at 46% support among decided voters, ahead of Ward 11 Councillor Brad Bradford's 35%, with others like Anthony Furey distant at 11%; Bradford's recent gains reflect his early nomination filing after May 1 opening, positioning him as the primary alternative at 19.5%. Undecided voters and former Mayor John Tory's March withdrawal have solidified Chow's edge, though the crowded field and August 21 nomination deadline leave room for shifts amid Toronto's first-past-the-post system.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วOlivia Chow 79%
Brad Bradford 20%
Ana Bailão 1.9%
Kevin Clarke <1%
$29,686 ปริมาณ
$29,686 ปริมาณ
Olivia Chow
79%
Brad Bradford
20%
Ana Bailão
2%
Kevin Clarke
1%
Anthony Furey
1%
Michael Ford
<1%
Marco Mendicino
<1%
John Tory
<1%
Olivia Chow 79%
Brad Bradford 20%
Ana Bailão 1.9%
Kevin Clarke <1%
$29,686 ปริมาณ
$29,686 ปริมาณ
Olivia Chow
79%
Brad Bradford
20%
Ana Bailão
2%
Kevin Clarke
1%
Anthony Furey
1%
Michael Ford
<1%
Marco Mendicino
<1%
John Tory
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 1, 2026, 2:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Toronto Mayor Olivia Chow commands trader consensus at 78.5% implied probability for the October 26, 2026, mayoral election, driven by her incumbency advantage and consistent polling leads over challengers. A Liaison Strategies survey on April 17 showed Chow at 46% support among decided voters, ahead of Ward 11 Councillor Brad Bradford's 35%, with others like Anthony Furey distant at 11%; Bradford's recent gains reflect his early nomination filing after May 1 opening, positioning him as the primary alternative at 19.5%. Undecided voters and former Mayor John Tory's March withdrawal have solidified Chow's edge, though the crowded field and August 21 nomination deadline leave room for shifts amid Toronto's first-past-the-post system.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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