Recent polling in the Piura provincial mayoral race shows Miguel Gerardo Cueva Celi holding a modest lead over Jorge Hilton Flores Bazán, with José Luis Morey Requejo and several others trailing in a fragmented field. The October 4 election date leaves limited time for major shifts, and vote splitting among more than a dozen registered candidates sustains the tight contest reflected in current trader pricing. Primary factors include candidate visibility from party organizations like Somos Perú and Alianza para el Progreso, local economic and infrastructure priorities, and the absence of dominant late-breaking events or exclusions that could consolidate support. Any new polling release or public debate performance could narrow or widen gaps among the top contenders before voting concludes.