The fragmented field of over two dozen candidates for the October 4, 2026, Cusco provincial mayoral election has kept probabilities tightly clustered, with no single contender exceeding low-30s implied odds amid Peru’s broader regional and municipal contests. Iván Hurtado Villafuerte leads the listed names, followed closely by Jorge Rogelio Vargas Febres and Eulogio Tapia Deza, reflecting a crowded ballot where vote splitting remains a central dynamic. Recent candidate registrations, party alliances, and early positioning around local issues such as tourism management, infrastructure, and citizen security have yet to produce decisive separation. Upcoming debates, preferential voting mechanics for the council, and any late endorsements or polling shifts within the Cusco electorate could consolidate support and alter the current trader consensus reflected in the market.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWilliam Peña Farfán 43%
Albert Aníbal Arenas Yabar 41%
Iván Hurtado Villafuerte 39%
Eulogio Tapia Deza 25%
William Peña Farfán
43%
Albert Aníbal Arenas Yabar
41%
Iván Hurtado Villafuerte
39%
Eulogio Tapia Deza
25%
Eduardo Zans Loayza
10%
Gabriela Paliza Romero
9%
Elizabeth Mónica Nieto Álvarez
8%
Jesyka Guevara Villanueva
8%
Víctor Vidal Pino Zambrano
8%
Jorge Luis Segura Ttito
6%
Jorge Rogelio Vargas Febres
5%
Delfín Kennedy Quispe Ccalla
5%
Federico Huamán Tapara
2%
Sergio Sullca Condori
35%
William Peña Farfán 43%
Albert Aníbal Arenas Yabar 41%
Iván Hurtado Villafuerte 39%
Eulogio Tapia Deza 25%
William Peña Farfán
43%
Albert Aníbal Arenas Yabar
41%
Iván Hurtado Villafuerte
39%
Eulogio Tapia Deza
25%
Eduardo Zans Loayza
10%
Gabriela Paliza Romero
9%
Elizabeth Mónica Nieto Álvarez
8%
Jesyka Guevara Villanueva
8%
Víctor Vidal Pino Zambrano
8%
Jorge Luis Segura Ttito
6%
Jorge Rogelio Vargas Febres
5%
Delfín Kennedy Quispe Ccalla
5%
Federico Huamán Tapara
2%
Sergio Sullca Condori
35%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Cusco as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 12, 2026, 12:52 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Cusco as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The fragmented field of over two dozen candidates for the October 4, 2026, Cusco provincial mayoral election has kept probabilities tightly clustered, with no single contender exceeding low-30s implied odds amid Peru’s broader regional and municipal contests. Iván Hurtado Villafuerte leads the listed names, followed closely by Jorge Rogelio Vargas Febres and Eulogio Tapia Deza, reflecting a crowded ballot where vote splitting remains a central dynamic. Recent candidate registrations, party alliances, and early positioning around local issues such as tourism management, infrastructure, and citizen security have yet to produce decisive separation. Upcoming debates, preferential voting mechanics for the council, and any late endorsements or polling shifts within the Cusco electorate could consolidate support and alter the current trader consensus reflected in the market.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย