The Texas U.S. Senate race remains tightly contested ahead of the November general election, with trader consensus implying a 55% chance for the Republican nominee over Democrat James Talarico at 46%, reflecting Texas' Republican lean despite recent polls showing Talarico leading hypothetical matchups against both John Cornyn (44-41%) and Ken Paxton (46-41%). The GOP primary runoff on May 26 pits incumbent Cornyn against Attorney General Paxton, whose slight polling edge stems from strong base support amid negative ads highlighting Paxton's scandals versus Cornyn's establishment ties. Former President Obama's Austin visit this week boosted Talarico's Black voter outreach post his March primary win over Jasmine Crockett. Separation could arise from the runoff outcome—favoring Cornyn's broader appeal—or shifts in suburban turnout, border security focus, and national midterm dynamics.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วTexas Senate Election Winner
Texas Senate Election Winner
$201,519 ปริมาณ
$201,519 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
55%
Democrat
46%
$201,519 ปริมาณ
$201,519 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
$110,744 ปริมาณ
55%
Democrat
$90,774 ปริมาณ
46%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.The Texas U.S. Senate race remains tightly contested ahead of the November general election, with trader consensus implying a 55% chance for the Republican nominee over Democrat James Talarico at 46%, reflecting Texas' Republican lean despite recent polls showing Talarico leading hypothetical matchups against both John Cornyn (44-41%) and Ken Paxton (46-41%). The GOP primary runoff on May 26 pits incumbent Cornyn against Attorney General Paxton, whose slight polling edge stems from strong base support amid negative ads highlighting Paxton's scandals versus Cornyn's establishment ties. Former President Obama's Austin visit this week boosted Talarico's Black voter outreach post his March primary win over Jasmine Crockett. Separation could arise from the runoff outcome—favoring Cornyn's broader appeal—or shifts in suburban turnout, border security focus, and national midterm dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$201,519วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.The Texas U.S. Senate race remains tightly contested ahead of the November general election, with trader consensus implying a 55% chance for the Republican nominee over Democrat James Talarico at 46%, reflecting Texas' Republican lean despite recent polls showing Talarico leading hypothetical matchups against both John Cornyn (44-41%) and Ken Paxton (46-41%). The GOP primary runoff on May 26 pits incumbent Cornyn against Attorney General Paxton, whose slight polling edge stems from strong base support amid negative ads highlighting Paxton's scandals versus Cornyn's establishment ties. Former President Obama's Austin visit this week boosted Talarico's Black voter outreach post his March primary win over Jasmine Crockett. Separation could arise from the runoff outcome—favoring Cornyn's broader appeal—or shifts in suburban turnout, border security focus, and national midterm dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$201,519วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Texas U.S. Senate race remains tightly contested ahead of the November general election, with trader consensus implying a 55% chance for the Republican nominee over Democrat James Talarico at 46%, reflecting Texas' Republican lean despite recent polls showing Talarico leading hypothetical matchups against both John Cornyn (44-41%) and Ken Paxton (46-41%). The GOP primary runoff on May 26 pits incumbent Cornyn against Attorney General Paxton, whose slight polling edge stems from strong base support amid negative ads highlighting Paxton's scandals versus Cornyn's establishment ties. Former President Obama's Austin visit this week boosted Talarico's Black voter outreach post his March primary win over Jasmine Crockett. Separation could arise from the runoff outcome—favoring Cornyn's broader appeal—or shifts in suburban turnout, border security focus, and national midterm dynamics.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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