The open gubernatorial seat created by incumbent Democratic Governor Tony Evers’ decision not to seek a third term has shaped trader consensus around a Democratic general-election victory in November 2026. Primaries scheduled for August 11 feature a crowded Democratic field that includes former Lieutenant Governor Mandela Barnes and state Representative Francesca Hong, while Republicans have largely consolidated behind U.S. Representative Tom Tiffany following a Trump endorsement. Wisconsin’s recent voting patterns in statewide contests and the state’s underlying partisan balance continue to support the current 79 percent implied probability for Democrats, with limited general-election polling available this early in the cycle and name recognition for most candidates still developing.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWisconsin Governor Election Winner
Wisconsin Governor Election Winner
$69,328 ปริมาณ
$69,328 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
80%
Republican
21%
$69,328 ปริมาณ
$69,328 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
$12,244 ปริมาณ
80%
Republican
$57,084 ปริมาณ
21%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.The open gubernatorial seat created by incumbent Democratic Governor Tony Evers’ decision not to seek a third term has shaped trader consensus around a Democratic general-election victory in November 2026. Primaries scheduled for August 11 feature a crowded Democratic field that includes former Lieutenant Governor Mandela Barnes and state Representative Francesca Hong, while Republicans have largely consolidated behind U.S. Representative Tom Tiffany following a Trump endorsement. Wisconsin’s recent voting patterns in statewide contests and the state’s underlying partisan balance continue to support the current 79 percent implied probability for Democrats, with limited general-election polling available this early in the cycle and name recognition for most candidates still developing.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$69,328วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.The open gubernatorial seat created by incumbent Democratic Governor Tony Evers’ decision not to seek a third term has shaped trader consensus around a Democratic general-election victory in November 2026. Primaries scheduled for August 11 feature a crowded Democratic field that includes former Lieutenant Governor Mandela Barnes and state Representative Francesca Hong, while Republicans have largely consolidated behind U.S. Representative Tom Tiffany following a Trump endorsement. Wisconsin’s recent voting patterns in statewide contests and the state’s underlying partisan balance continue to support the current 79 percent implied probability for Democrats, with limited general-election polling available this early in the cycle and name recognition for most candidates still developing.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$69,328วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open gubernatorial seat created by incumbent Democratic Governor Tony Evers’ decision not to seek a third term has shaped trader consensus around a Democratic general-election victory in November 2026. Primaries scheduled for August 11 feature a crowded Democratic field that includes former Lieutenant Governor Mandela Barnes and state Representative Francesca Hong, while Republicans have largely consolidated behind U.S. Representative Tom Tiffany following a Trump endorsement. Wisconsin’s recent voting patterns in statewide contests and the state’s underlying partisan balance continue to support the current 79 percent implied probability for Democrats, with limited general-election polling available this early in the cycle and name recognition for most candidates still developing.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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