Democratic Milwaukee County Executive David Crowley holds an 80.5% implied probability in the Wisconsin governor market after securing his party's nomination in the August 11 primary. Key drivers include Gov. Tony Evers' endorsement, which helped Crowley stage a comeback victory over progressive state Rep. Francesca Hong, unifying much of the Democratic base for the open-seat general election. Recent Marquette Law School polling of likely voters showed Crowley ahead 49-44, with a notable edge among independents, while registered-voter samples remain tied. Republican nominee U.S. Rep. Tom Tiffany won his primary easily but trails in early surveys amid a competitive swing-state environment focused on cost-of-living and economic issues. Traders appear to weigh Crowley's post-primary momentum and structural advantages in turnout more heavily than the narrow polling margins.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWisconsin Governor Election Winner
Wisconsin Governor Election Winner
$511,138 ปริมาณ
$511,138 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
David Crowley (D)
81%
Tom Tiffany (R)
20%
$511,138 ปริมาณ
$511,138 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
David Crowley (D)
$268,697 ปริมาณ
81%
Tom Tiffany (R)
$242,441 ปริมาณ
20%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Democratic Milwaukee County Executive David Crowley holds an 80.5% implied probability in the Wisconsin governor market after securing his party's nomination in the August 11 primary. Key drivers include Gov. Tony Evers' endorsement, which helped Crowley stage a comeback victory over progressive state Rep. Francesca Hong, unifying much of the Democratic base for the open-seat general election. Recent Marquette Law School polling of likely voters showed Crowley ahead 49-44, with a notable edge among independents, while registered-voter samples remain tied. Republican nominee U.S. Rep. Tom Tiffany won his primary easily but trails in early surveys amid a competitive swing-state environment focused on cost-of-living and economic issues. Traders appear to weigh Crowley's post-primary momentum and structural advantages in turnout more heavily than the narrow polling margins.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$511,138วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Democratic Milwaukee County Executive David Crowley holds an 80.5% implied probability in the Wisconsin governor market after securing his party's nomination in the August 11 primary. Key drivers include Gov. Tony Evers' endorsement, which helped Crowley stage a comeback victory over progressive state Rep. Francesca Hong, unifying much of the Democratic base for the open-seat general election. Recent Marquette Law School polling of likely voters showed Crowley ahead 49-44, with a notable edge among independents, while registered-voter samples remain tied. Republican nominee U.S. Rep. Tom Tiffany won his primary easily but trails in early surveys amid a competitive swing-state environment focused on cost-of-living and economic issues. Traders appear to weigh Crowley's post-primary momentum and structural advantages in turnout more heavily than the narrow polling margins.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$511,138วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic Milwaukee County Executive David Crowley holds an 80.5% implied probability in the Wisconsin governor market after securing his party's nomination in the August 11 primary. Key drivers include Gov. Tony Evers' endorsement, which helped Crowley stage a comeback victory over progressive state Rep. Francesca Hong, unifying much of the Democratic base for the open-seat general election. Recent Marquette Law School polling of likely voters showed Crowley ahead 49-44, with a notable edge among independents, while registered-voter samples remain tied. Republican nominee U.S. Rep. Tom Tiffany won his primary easily but trails in early surveys amid a competitive swing-state environment focused on cost-of-living and economic issues. Traders appear to weigh Crowley's post-primary momentum and structural advantages in turnout more heavily than the narrow polling margins.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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