The closely contested MO-02 Democratic primary on August 4 features Tim Bilash, Joan VonDras, and Fred Wellman after Nick Vivio and others withdrew following the March 31 filing deadline. Wellman holds a fundraising and endorsement edge, including from the Missouri AFL-CIO, while VonDras has self-funded significantly and Bilash brings a physician background. Limited public polling, an open primary system, and the candidates' focus on suburban St. Louis issues keep probabilities balanced according to trader consensus. A late candidate forum, additional endorsements, or shifts in cash-on-hand reports could separate the field before ballots are cast.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วTim Bilash 45%
Nick Vivio 45%
Joan VonDras 45%
Fred Wellman 45%
Tim Bilash
45%
Nick Vivio
45%
Joan VonDras
45%
Fred Wellman
45%
Tim Bilash 45%
Nick Vivio 45%
Joan VonDras 45%
Fred Wellman 45%
Tim Bilash
45%
Nick Vivio
45%
Joan VonDras
45%
Fred Wellman
45%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 7, 2026, 7:56 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The closely contested MO-02 Democratic primary on August 4 features Tim Bilash, Joan VonDras, and Fred Wellman after Nick Vivio and others withdrew following the March 31 filing deadline. Wellman holds a fundraising and endorsement edge, including from the Missouri AFL-CIO, while VonDras has self-funded significantly and Bilash brings a physician background. Limited public polling, an open primary system, and the candidates' focus on suburban St. Louis issues keep probabilities balanced according to trader consensus. A late candidate forum, additional endorsements, or shifts in cash-on-hand reports could separate the field before ballots are cast.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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