Trader consensus heavily favors Minnesota Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan at 80% implied probability to win the August 11 Democratic Senate primary for the open seat vacated by retiring Sen. Tina Smith, driven by a May PPP poll showing her leading Rep. Angie Craig 44%-33% among likely Democratic primary voters, expanding to a 55%-25% margin after messaging on records. Flanagan's edge stems from her progressive credentials, rejection of corporate PAC money, 57%-9% favorability, and fresh endorsements including Rep. Ilhan Omar on May 12 and Sen. Tina Smith. Craig trails at 17.5% despite fundraising leads, hampered by voter backlash over her initial Laken Riley Act vote amid heated immigration debates from Operation Metro Surge. Other candidates remain negligible as the race consolidates ahead of DFL conventions.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วPeggy Flanagan 80%
Angie Craig 18%
Jacob Frey <1%
Betty McCollum <1%
$47,040 ปริมาณ
$47,040 ปริมาณ
Peggy Flanagan
80%
Angie Craig
18%
Jacob Frey
<1%
Betty McCollum
<1%
Ilhan Omar
<1%
Melisa López Franzen
<1%
Keith Ellison
<1%
Steve Simon
<1%
Melisa Hortman
<1%
David Wellstone
<1%
Peggy Flanagan 80%
Angie Craig 18%
Jacob Frey <1%
Betty McCollum <1%
$47,040 ปริมาณ
$47,040 ปริมาณ
Peggy Flanagan
80%
Angie Craig
18%
Jacob Frey
<1%
Betty McCollum
<1%
Ilhan Omar
<1%
Melisa López Franzen
<1%
Keith Ellison
<1%
Steve Simon
<1%
Melisa Hortman
<1%
David Wellstone
<1%
If no 2026 Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Minnesota Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 2, 2025, 3:26 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Minnesota Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors Minnesota Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan at 80% implied probability to win the August 11 Democratic Senate primary for the open seat vacated by retiring Sen. Tina Smith, driven by a May PPP poll showing her leading Rep. Angie Craig 44%-33% among likely Democratic primary voters, expanding to a 55%-25% margin after messaging on records. Flanagan's edge stems from her progressive credentials, rejection of corporate PAC money, 57%-9% favorability, and fresh endorsements including Rep. Ilhan Omar on May 12 and Sen. Tina Smith. Craig trails at 17.5% despite fundraising leads, hampered by voter backlash over her initial Laken Riley Act vote amid heated immigration debates from Operation Metro Surge. Other candidates remain negligible as the race consolidates ahead of DFL conventions.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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