Michele Tafoya commands trader consensus at 78% implied probability for the Minnesota Republican US Senate primary due to a February NRSC poll showing her 30-point lead among GOP voters, unmatched Q1 fundraising exceeding $2 million with $1.85 million cash-on-hand—surpassing all rivals combined—and high name recognition from her NFL broadcasting career. Adam Schwarze holds second at 14% as a retired Navy SEAL appealing to grassroots activists, though a May 13 controversy over his past X follows of transgender content amplified by influencers may cap his momentum. A fragmented field of over 10 candidates splits opposition ahead of the August 11 primary, with no new polls shifting dynamics.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMichele Tafoya 78%
Adam Schwarze 13.8%
Mike Ruoho 5.3%
Royce White 1.4%
$82,974 ปริมาณ
$82,974 ปริมาณ
Michele Tafoya
78%
Adam Schwarze
14%
Mike Ruoho
5%
Royce White
1%
David Hann
1%
Alycia Gruenhagen
1%
Jim Nash
1%
Christopher Brooks
<1%
Tom Weiler
<1%
Julia Coleman
<1%
Kristin Robbins
<1%
Raymond Petersen
<1%
Michele Tafoya 78%
Adam Schwarze 13.8%
Mike Ruoho 5.3%
Royce White 1.4%
$82,974 ปริมาณ
$82,974 ปริมาณ
Michele Tafoya
78%
Adam Schwarze
14%
Mike Ruoho
5%
Royce White
1%
David Hann
1%
Alycia Gruenhagen
1%
Jim Nash
1%
Christopher Brooks
<1%
Tom Weiler
<1%
Julia Coleman
<1%
Kristin Robbins
<1%
Raymond Petersen
<1%
If no 2026 Minnesota Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Minnesota Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 2, 2025, 3:22 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Minnesota Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Minnesota Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Michele Tafoya commands trader consensus at 78% implied probability for the Minnesota Republican US Senate primary due to a February NRSC poll showing her 30-point lead among GOP voters, unmatched Q1 fundraising exceeding $2 million with $1.85 million cash-on-hand—surpassing all rivals combined—and high name recognition from her NFL broadcasting career. Adam Schwarze holds second at 14% as a retired Navy SEAL appealing to grassroots activists, though a May 13 controversy over his past X follows of transgender content amplified by influencers may cap his momentum. A fragmented field of over 10 candidates splits opposition ahead of the August 11 primary, with no new polls shifting dynamics.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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