The Democratic primary for Florida’s 25th Congressional District on August 18 pits incumbent Jared Moskowitz against progressive challenger Oliver Larkin in a contest that recent polling shows has narrowed sharply. Early surveys gave Moskowitz double-digit leads, but an August internal poll commissioned by Larkin’s campaign placed the candidates in a statistical tie at 40-38 with substantial undecided voters remaining. Larkin’s grassroots mobilization, focus on Medicare for All and other economic issues, and rejection of certain PAC support have narrowed the gap, while Moskowitz’s fundraising edge, incumbency, and record on bipartisanship and foreign policy continue to anchor his support. This competitiveness sustains market uncertainty around victory margins, with developments in the final days—such as turnout among early voters or shifts among undecideds—most likely to determine separation.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMoskowitz 25%+ 50%
Moskowitz 15–20% 18%
Moskowitz 20–25% 17%
Moskowitz <5% 10%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 18, 2026
Moskowitz 25%+
50%
Moskowitz 20–25%
17%
Moskowitz 15–20%
18%
Moskowitz 10–15%
1%
Moskowitz 5–10%
1%
Moskowitz <5%
10%
Larkin <5%
10%
Larkin 5–10%
9%
Larkin 10–15%
3%
Larkin 15–20%
3%
Larkin 20–25%
3%
Larkin 25%+
3%
Moskowitz 25%+ 50%
Moskowitz 15–20% 18%
Moskowitz 20–25% 17%
Moskowitz <5% 10%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 18, 2026
Moskowitz 25%+
$253 ปริมาณ
50%
Moskowitz 20–25%
$79 ปริมาณ
17%
Moskowitz 15–20%
$73 ปริมาณ
18%
Moskowitz 10–15%
$52 ปริมาณ
1%
Moskowitz 5–10%
$31 ปริมาณ
1%
Moskowitz <5%
$47 ปริมาณ
10%
Larkin <5%
$47 ปริมาณ
10%
Larkin 5–10%
$52 ปริมาณ
9%
Larkin 10–15%
$112 ปริมาณ
3%
Larkin 15–20%
$74 ปริมาณ
3%
Larkin 20–25%
$52 ปริมาณ
3%
Larkin 25%+
$140 ปริมาณ
3%
Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Democratic Primary for Florida's 25th Congressional District (FL-25).
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.The Democratic primary for Florida’s 25th Congressional District on August 18 pits incumbent Jared Moskowitz against progressive challenger Oliver Larkin in a contest that recent polling shows has narrowed sharply. Early surveys gave Moskowitz double-digit leads, but an August internal poll commissioned by Larkin’s campaign placed the candidates in a statistical tie at 40-38 with substantial undecided voters remaining. Larkin’s grassroots mobilization, focus on Medicare for All and other economic issues, and rejection of certain PAC support have narrowed the gap, while Moskowitz’s fundraising edge, incumbency, and record on bipartisanship and foreign policy continue to anchor his support. This competitiveness sustains market uncertainty around victory margins, with developments in the final days—such as turnout among early voters or shifts among undecideds—most likely to determine separation.
Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Democratic Primary for Florida's 25th Congressional District (FL-25).
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Democratic Primary for Florida's 25th Congressional District (FL-25).
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 14, 2026, 5:57 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,015วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 14, 2026, 5:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Democratic Primary for Florida's 25th Congressional District (FL-25).
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.The Democratic primary for Florida’s 25th Congressional District on August 18 pits incumbent Jared Moskowitz against progressive challenger Oliver Larkin in a contest that recent polling shows has narrowed sharply. Early surveys gave Moskowitz double-digit leads, but an August internal poll commissioned by Larkin’s campaign placed the candidates in a statistical tie at 40-38 with substantial undecided voters remaining. Larkin’s grassroots mobilization, focus on Medicare for All and other economic issues, and rejection of certain PAC support have narrowed the gap, while Moskowitz’s fundraising edge, incumbency, and record on bipartisanship and foreign policy continue to anchor his support. This competitiveness sustains market uncertainty around victory margins, with developments in the final days—such as turnout among early voters or shifts among undecideds—most likely to determine separation.
Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Democratic Primary for Florida's 25th Congressional District (FL-25).
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Democratic Primary for Florida's 25th Congressional District (FL-25).
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,015วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 14, 2026, 5:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Democratic primary for Florida’s 25th Congressional District on August 18 pits incumbent Jared Moskowitz against progressive challenger Oliver Larkin in a contest that recent polling shows has narrowed sharply. Early surveys gave Moskowitz double-digit leads, but an August internal poll commissioned by Larkin’s campaign placed the candidates in a statistical tie at 40-38 with substantial undecided voters remaining. Larkin’s grassroots mobilization, focus on Medicare for All and other economic issues, and rejection of certain PAC support have narrowed the gap, while Moskowitz’s fundraising edge, incumbency, and record on bipartisanship and foreign policy continue to anchor his support. This competitiveness sustains market uncertainty around victory margins, with developments in the final days—such as turnout among early voters or shifts among undecideds—most likely to determine separation.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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